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Date Posted: 13:45:51 09/20/02 Fri
Author: Fred Phillips
Subject: Getting started...

I'll get the ball rolling by posting the op-ed that will appear soon in Portland Business Journal - along with some comments from others on the op-ed and its earlier drafts. As you'll see, early comments were incorporated in the final version.

It drew on earlier columns and articles in PBJ and the Oregonian by Craig Wessel, Don Mazziotti, Ralph Shaw and Ted Sickinger. I'll try to find URLs for these, and post them here later. -FP
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Picture a place with vast natural resources, few people, a great port. With few viable indigenous business firms and losing more of them each week. A plum of a place, just waiting to be exploited by a foreign, imperialistic invader. Is this some Caribbean banana republic? No. It is Oregon, and Oregon is in danger. Here is what we need to do.

1. Fix elementary education. Successful economies as diverse as Japan and Malaysia grew by emphasizing primary education. Oregon can do this too. Entrepreneurs and investors will bring jobs here, if they find a literate, numerate workforce in Oregon, and fine public schools for their own children. Pre-K and K-14 education must be Oregon’s Job One.

2. Get multicultural. The Oregonian recently highlighted the mutual discomfort of Wood-burn’s Anglo and Latino communities. I’ve observed the same in Hillsboro. Anglo Oregonians must reach out vigorously to our Mexican-American neighbors, because we are hospitable people, and also for a selfish reason: Anglos are not having many children. The growing cohort of Mexican-American children will, during their working years, pay the Medicaid taxes that benefit us as we grow old. Let’s ensure that all minority youngsters become productive, valued members of Oregon society.

3. Start crosstalk. The many organizations now engaging in development dialog must talk to each other, to avoid fragmented effort. High-tech people must talk to creative services people, and they with arts and community activists, and all with the tourism sector, finding common ground and efficiencies. We must craft a regional strategy that includes neighboring states and provinces. We must influence federal policies that affect our development.
The world has become global, so to speak, while Oregon remains inward-looking. We must build global contacts that allow our entrepreneurs to find international customers and suppliers quickly.

4. Get entrepreneur-friendly. If we want to grow Oregon companies, investor attitudes and government regulation must change. Oregon VCs have astounded me by complaining, “Entrepreneurs [with clumsy business plans] are wasting my time.” Investors must educate talented but inexperienced entrepreneurs. Otherwise, VCs will continue to return funds uninvested, at a time when new technological developments are opening vast new business opportunities.
Complex zoning, permitting, and licensing processes favor large companies that can afford to navigate and lobby the bureaucracies, and they work against small and new businesses that cannot afford it. We must cut regulation to the minimum needed for consumer protection, and let small businesses run with it.

5. Get real about spreading the wealth. Modern industry clusters must achieve critical mass. A limited state budget cannot create critical mass uniformly across Oregon. We have to pick and choose our industry and geographic targets, and – not to be too Reaganomic about it – make the resulting wealth trickle down to outlying areas. Yes, there’s political pressure to spread opportunities equally to all Oregon counties immediately. In an August op-ed, Portland Development Commission Director Don Mazziotti responded aptly: "We’re committed to Portland’s economic success and ultimately the success of the region."

6. Invest in ourselves. Attracting companies via tax breaks too often leaves us holding the bag. Instead, invest in infrastructure. Attract companies by saying, "You will have the best workforce, roads, schools, air connections, industry associations, and wastewater treatment anywhere." If the company locates here and then fails, we still have the infrastructure. We can use it to attract or grow the next company.

7. Toot our own horn. Even Cleveland – without a fraction of Portland’s quality of life – has Drew Carey to yell, "Cleveland rocks!" Who is shouting "Portland rocks?" The time for quiet pride in Oregon is past. We must become madcap marketers. No out-of-state visitor should leave our offices without a gift bag full of Made in Oregon products, and a pile of brochures. Take your visitors fishing or skiing. See? Marketing can be fun.
And we must get more skillful at it. Have you noticed how hard it is to find a product made in Oregon outside the Made in Oregon store? Have you noticed what an unfocused muddle our new state tourism magazine is? Mazziotti mentioned the Regional Economic Development Partnership. Have you ever heard of it? Neither have I. How can it engage the public’s imagination and energy if the public isn’t aware of it?

8. Break the pattern. “Proactive” must be our watchword. It means not waiting for a crisis. My hometown, Austin, didn’t turn to high technology until the economic crisis of the 1980s. No momentum developed in Portland until the current prolonged recession. From Helsinki to Shanghai to São Paulo, other regions have got sophisticated about attracting the very same people, companies and technologies that Portland wants. What are we waiting for? Proactive means avoiding me-too tactics. Why jump on the biotech bandwagon when its axles are already strained by hundreds of other cities? Let’s find a promising, unfilled biotech niche and build our own wagon.

Why the urgency? First, other regions are investing far more than Oregon in their development strategies. Second, globalization now allows foreign cities and nations to compete with Oregon in ways that were unimaginable ten years ago. Third, new WTO treaties forbid, after a ten-year phase-out period, many of the incentive agreements localities now use for attracting companies. Fourth, the “lock-in” effect that characterizes most highly networked tech clusters means the chance to grow each such cluster comes only once.
If we don’t initiate the kind of growth we’ll like, we’ll be forced to accept the kind we won’t like. We have a narrow window in which to build a new Oregon that Oregonians will still enjoy.

------------------------------------------

Fred...

Well said!  Lots to agree with there, even the k-12 comments.  On the other hand, I wish we could be the first place to focus our attention on pre-K through life, rather than merely k-12...a more accurate portrayal of what the 21st century will require.  Fix k-12, sure, but only because we have bigger fish to fry.

Interesting to note that our metro area does not have strong, visionary, risk taking business-led organizations.  In essence, there is too little vision of partnership and collaboration, and too much concern with 20th century business climate notions....time to move on!  Until business-led groups get real about seeing the region through the eyes of other people, I fear that we won’t do more than polish up the same thinking that keeps us arguing the same points.  

We continue to want to see the economy through what we perceive to be our inputs, when it’s high time we viewed the economy through the lens of what we can truly, creatively offer to the world.  In the end, thought there is money to be made in transactions, it’s high quality stuff that folks want that will be the core for our future success.

Ethan Seltzer, Director
Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies
Portland State University
P.O. Box 751
Portland, Oregon 97207
(503) 725-5170
(503) 725-5199 fax
seltzere@pdx.edu

----------------------------------------

From: "Ralph R Shaw"
To: "'Fred Phillips'"
Subject: RE: economic development
Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2002 21:36:32 -0700

Thanks, Fred, for sending me a copy of your message to Craig Wessel. You are on target, as I see it!

                            Best regards,
                                  Ralph

---------------------------------

From: "Larry Wade"
To: "'Fred Phillips'"
Cc:
Subject: RE: economic development
Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2002 16:28:16 -0700

Fred - Thanks for copying me on your Op-Ed. On my first reading I find myself agreeing on most of your points. If you get encouragement to expand and clarify, I would be happy to be a reviewer. My additional two cents worth.

I can see the argument on K-12 but I think you need to be more specific. Motherhood and apple pie aren't good enough for what we need now. I would like to ping on two points that I feel strongly about. The first is the K. I think the opportunity really starts with Pre-K, meaning starting with 3 year olds. We need to focus on Early Childhood education and do everything we can to prepare these babies to enter K well-prepared, socially, physically and intellectually. My wife is an early childhood educator so I get to see more of the issues than the average person, but I worry greatly that we frame the problem as K-12 and ignore the fact that much of the human potential is developed before age 5. On the other end of the spectrum let me gore the other ox, 12. I propose changing that number to 65. I think the fundamental problem is continuing education, not higher education. The rate of obsolescence of new graduates is higher then ever, and yet we don't have a corporate culture that encourages continuing education, nor do we have the higher ed capacity to accommodate it. 

The other major issue for me is our poor transportation system, which I see as a quality of life issue. For me the most precious commodity is time, and I really resent having my and everyone else's time wasted by our poor transportation system. Why aren't we outraged by it? Why do we accept the endless traffic jams on Hwy 26 and the freeways? Don't we care about the drain on the quality of life, the time lost for business productivity, the time lost to our families from burdensome commuting, the erosion of relationships with our families?

----------------------------------

To: , Ethan Seltzer
From: Fred Phillips
Subject: economic development

Thanks, guys, for the thoughtful replies. Ethan and Larry, you both zeroed in on pre-K and lifelong education - I agree of course, and thought you'd want to see each other's comments.

As someone who has been preaching this stuff (strategic focus on technology & economic development) for a long, long time, I was trying in yesterday's message to reveal my impatience with all the talk and blather. If I STILL committed platitudes, then mea culpa. I didn't think urging that we drop everything else to fix K-12 was motherhood and apple pie, but perhaps, Larry, you meant that it needed specifics. I'm not the one to provide them, being an expert only in graduate education. I only see what ordinary citizens see, a timid legislature and scandals and inefficiencies at the top levels of the school districts.

As for transportation, I believe in a Parkinson's Law of traffic: if you build more capacity, traffic will expand to fill it, and we'll be back where we started ;-) It seems inevitable that we'll have commercial passenger flights from Hillsboro or McMinnville, and the north-south commuter rail should help reduce car trips too. As Max adds new lines, ridership will rise more than proportionately. Dean Kamin's gadget won't work in Portland until it gets a rain hood!

East Portland is nice because of multiple village centers that let people walk to shops and restaurants. Beaverton and westward, there are vast tracts of housing without village centers, and that just pushes people into their cars. So a lot of the problem is not transportation infrastructure, but neighborhood design and zoning.

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