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Date Posted: 00:12:11 10/12/05 Wed
Author: LB
Author Host/IP: pool-70-108-95-120.res.east.verizon.net / 70.108.95.120
Subject: All together now to the turne of My Old Kentucky Home: Smirk No More, Dick Cheney...
In reply to: Allegra 's message, "The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg are working on stories that point to Vice President Dick Cheney as the target of special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald's investigation into the leaking of CIA operative Valerie Plame's name." on 00:01:16 10/12/05 Wed


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[> (oh-oh) NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll reports 2% (two percent) of Afro-Americans give President Bush a positive rating - - - -- Allegra, 16:02:15 10/13/05 Thu (12-214-202-55.client.mchsi.com/12.214.202.55)

washingtonpost.com

A Polling Free-Fall Among Blacks



By Dan Froomkin
Special to washingtonpost.com
Thursday, October 13, 2005; 3:09 PM

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2005/10/13/BL2005101300885.html?nav=rss_nation/special


In what may turn out to be one of the biggest free-falls in the history of presidential polling, President Bush's job-approval rating among African Americans has dropped to 2 percent, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

The drop among blacks drove Bush's overall job approval ratings to an all-time low of 39 percent in this poll. By comparison, 45 percent of whites and 36 percent of Hispanics approve of the job Bush is doing.

A few months after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found Bush's approval rating among blacks at 51 percent. As recently as six months ago, it was at 19 percent.

But Bush's bungled response to Hurricane Katrina -- seen by many blacks as evidence that he didn't care about them (see my September 13 column ) -- may have brought support for the president in the African American community down to nearly negligible levels.

Tim Russert called attention to this startling statistic on the NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams yesterday: "Brian, listen to this," he said. "Only 2 percent -- 2 percent! -- of African-Americans approve of George Bush's handling of the presidency -- the lowest we have ever seen in that particular measure."

So this morning, I called Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff, to get a better sense of the significance of the results.

"African Americans were not supporters, but I don't think that they outright detested him -- until now," Hart said. "The actions in and around Katrina persuaded African Americans that this was a president who was totally insensitive to their concerns and their needs."

Hart said he has never seen such a dramatic drop in presidential approval ratings, within any subgroup.

This latest poll included 807 people nationwide, and only 89 blacks. As a result, there is a considerable margin or error -- and the findings should not be considered definitive until or unless they are validated by other polls.

David Bositis, a senior political analyst at the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, which tracks African American public opinion, told me this morning that it's clear that Bush's job approval among blacks "has taken a hit from both the ongoing things in Iraq and what happened with Katrina."

But down to 2 percent? "I doubt that it's actually 2," he said.

"But would I be surprised if it's 10 or 12? No." And 10, he said, is typically "about as low as you can go" when it comes to approval ratings.

The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll, released September 13, about two weeks after Katrina hit, found Bush's job approval among blacks at 14 percent, compared to 42 percent among the general population. Exit polls showed that 11 percent of black voters voted for Bush in November 2004.

[Late Update: The Pew Research Center is just out with its latest poll, which has a larger sample, and it finds Bush's approval rating among blacks at 12 percent, down only slightly from 14 in July. Here are those results .]

More from the Poll

Mark Murray writes for NBC News: "It has been weeks since Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Gulf Coast; since gas prices began spiking to record highs; and since Cindy Sheehan, whose son was killed in Iraq, held her antiwar vigil outside President Bush's Texas ranch. But, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, the fortunes of the Bush administration and the Republican Party have not yet begun to recover.

"For the first time in the poll, Bush's approval rating has sunk below 40 percent, while the percentage believing the country is heading in the right direction has dipped below 30 percent. In addition, a sizable plurality prefers a Democratic-controlled Congress, and just 29 percent think Supreme Court nominee Harriet Miers is qualified to serve on the nation's highest court.

John Harwood writes in the Wall Street Journal: "The American public, concluding that President Bush values friendship and party loyalty over qualifications in his appointments, is less supportive of Harriet Miers's Supreme Court nomination than the earlier choice of Chief Justice John Roberts.

"A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows Americans are reserving judgment on Ms. Miers, the White House counsel, who last week became Mr. Bush's choice to succeed Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, who is retiring. Some 27% support her confirmation and 21% oppose it, while 51% say they don't know enough to say. . . .

"By 40%-24%, Americans say her long service to the president makes them feel less positive about her potential court service."

And, Harwood writes: "Looming over Mr. Bush's second term is what Mr. McInturff calls a 'very difficult, sour' public mood. Just 28% of Americans say the nation is heading in 'the right direction,' the lowest figure in nearly 10 years, according to the Journal/NBC survey."

Here are the overall results of the poll. The cross tabs, showing results by race and party, are not included.

Looking at the latest crop of presidential polls, Catholic University Professor John Kenneth White recently wrote for pollingreport.com that "for the remainder of his presidency, George W. Bush will govern without the consent of the governed."

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[> [> I hope that everyone regardless of color has had the scales removed from their eyes. The poverty level in this country combined with the people who have no medical insurance + the rising number of working poor has to be a wake up call for this country. There is not much to take pride in as far as being an American anymore. -- cyndi, 17:36:29 10/13/05 Thu (216-166-252-9.dsl.peknil.grics.net/216.166.252.9)


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[> [> Re: (oh-oh) NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll reports 2% (two percent) of Afro-Americans give President Bush a positive rating - - - -- mymmfopsl (KakzTlRpyL), 23:17:02 08/20/07 Mon (nc2-rba-1b.cache.isnet.net/196.209.251.3)

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