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Subject: I think we will agree to disagree


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 14:25:25 03/06/17 Mon
In reply to: An Observer 's message, "It's A Question of Merit versus Happenstance" on 14:13:08 03/06/17 Mon


As I said in another post, I think any HCA here means that Princeton might not win by as much on Saturday than if the game was at a neutral court or at Jadwin.

Whereas if they played a strong Penn team in the finals, they might actually lose because of HCA.

If Princeton plays bad enough on Saturday that they actually lose the game, I'm going to have a hard time accepting any "if only we were playing on a neutral court we would have shot better than 10% in our treys" arguments.

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[> [> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I think we will agree to disagree


Author:
An Observer
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Date Posted: 14:33:03 03/06/17 Mon

So you're saying that Princeton is a 100% probability to win on Saturday, the only question is by how much? Wow, I can barely believe that you think that.

I guess you and I simply don't agree on the nature of sporting events. No team is a 100% probability to win any game.

Princeton might lose on Saturday. It would be an upset, just like Penn losing to your team Dartmouth last Friday night was an upset. But it's a very real risk for the Tigers. If you're so sure that Princeton will win, I assume that you are mortgaging your house to bet the Tigers on the money line. Right?

Princeton and all #1 seeds, especially those which are undefeated, deserve the right not to play a tournament game on their opponent's home court because they might lose outright, not because it affects the margin of victory.

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[> [> [> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I think we will agree to disagree


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 14:45:09 03/06/17 Mon


Of course, if Princeton plays like crap, they will lose. But that's true regardless of where the game is played.

How much advantage do think HCA is worth? Three or four points? Princeton is better enough than Penn that they should cover that. If they lose on Saturday, it will be because they laid an egg, not because of Penn's HCA.

But if Penn was a strong team, those three or four points could very well be the difference even if Princeton plays well.

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