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Subject: Re: I think we will agree to disagree

An Observer
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Date Posted: 14:33:03 03/06/17 Mon
In reply to: Go Green 's message, "I think we will agree to disagree" on 14:25:25 03/06/17 Mon

So you're saying that Princeton is a 100% probability to win on Saturday, the only question is by how much? Wow, I can barely believe that you think that.

I guess you and I simply don't agree on the nature of sporting events. No team is a 100% probability to win any game.

Princeton might lose on Saturday. It would be an upset, just like Penn losing to your team Dartmouth last Friday night was an upset. But it's a very real risk for the Tigers. If you're so sure that Princeton will win, I assume that you are mortgaging your house to bet the Tigers on the money line. Right?

Princeton and all #1 seeds, especially those which are undefeated, deserve the right not to play a tournament game on their opponent's home court because they might lose outright, not because it affects the margin of victory.

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Go Green
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Date Posted: 14:45:09 03/06/17 Mon

Of course, if Princeton plays like crap, they will lose. But that's true regardless of where the game is played.

How much advantage do think HCA is worth? Three or four points? Princeton is better enough than Penn that they should cover that. If they lose on Saturday, it will be because they laid an egg, not because of Penn's HCA.

But if Penn was a strong team, those three or four points could very well be the difference even if Princeton plays well.

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