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Subject: Also interesting that the folks at Massey Ratings...


Author:
Ghost of Bob Blackman
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Date Posted: 09:20:14 10/08/18 Mon
In reply to: Tad 's message, "Interesting..." on 19:07:18 10/07/18 Sun

...continue to raise the probability that Dartmouth will defeat Princeton. The probability after this past weekend's results has risen to a season-high of 44%, with Princeton currently projected to win by 3 points. Toss out Princeton's home field advantage and it's a pick 'em. Play up in Hanover and Dartmouth would be favored. Maybe the Massey algorithm doesn't look kindly on team's that like to run up the score in games that are effectively over at halftime?

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[> [> [> Subject: Re: Also interesting that the folks at Massey Ratings...


Author:
jerrylh
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Date Posted: 09:25:52 10/08/18 Mon

And what did he want Surace to do?? He was playing 3rd and 4th string players including many freshmen in the second half. They were still scoring against Lehigh starters.

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[> [> [> [> Subject: Yep


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 09:49:33 10/08/18 Mon


No one disputes that Princeton has the best third-string in the league.

:)

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[> [> [> [> [> Subject: Re: Yep


Author:
jerrylh
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Date Posted: 10:32:55 10/08/18 Mon

If the Princeton Dartmouth game is close at halftime, we will unleash our 3rd string and destroy you guys.

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[> [> [> [> [> [> Subject: Do it!


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 10:40:56 10/08/18 Mon


Might work!

:)

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[> [> [> [> Subject: Re: Also interesting that the folks at Massey Ratings...


Author:
UAalum72
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Date Posted: 22:58:44 10/08/18 Mon

Massey says a diminishing returns principle is manifested in his Game Output Function. There is some advantage to winning "comfortably," but limited benefit to running up the score. A team will not be penalized just for playing a weak opponent (although it becomes much harder to improve its rating by blowing someone out).

BTW is it really true that attendance at Princeton was only 1,013?

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