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Confusing capitalism @ET, ALL -- journeyman, 14:25:38 11/28/03 Fri

Hi ET, ALL!

Ron Paul speaks of "free market capitalism."

What's the other kind?

I concurr that saving and investing is a good idea and generally beneficial not only to the folks behaving in this way, but also to many of the rest of us as well.

And if you wanted to call the clearer notion of free trade in free markets, say, "saverism" or perhaps "investmentism" rather than "capitalism" -- which glorifies money and people that have it rather than what people do to get it -- I think that would be an improvement, but I'd still suggest that "free trade" and/or "free market" is clearer and much more defensible.

See, it's not me that finds the term "capitalism" confusing -- it's just about everyone.

The average person "confuses" the abuses of mercantilist/fascist behavior directly with "capitalism" and "capitalists" exhibiting that behavior. And rightly so because thru time immemorial, those labeled "capitalists" repeatedly behave just as the mercantilist/fascists the average person perceives them to be. Anyone who understands why this is the case might skip the next few paragraphs - - -

As hard as it is to accept, most modern current symbols of "capitalism" -- Kovlovsky, etc. -- were just clandistine mercantilist/fascists, taking every advantage of every aspect of their business environment that they possibly could -- including especially various partnerships with governments, the primary one being the limited liability protection afforded by incorporating under the auspices of government.

There are good, sound business reasons for all this mercantilist/fascist behavior unfortunately - - - A particularly disappointing example you may have seen before:
This second clue came in a story related to me by a libertarian, let's call him "Jim," running for office in Colorado. Jim got an appointment with Adolph Coors Jr., purportedly a libertarian sympathizer himself. During small-talk, Coors expressed admiration and support for the Libertarian Party and its "bold pro-freedom platform" about which he proved himself well informed. However when Jim asked for a campaign contribution, Mr. Coors declined.
+
"If you were elected, you'd eliminate the ICC (Interstate Commerce Commission) wouldn't you?" he asked. Jim responded that, in accordance with the LP Platform, indeed he would. Mr. Coors explained that because of a regulatory technicality, Coors trucking subsidiaries didn't have to "dead-head" and could bring their trucks back full, something ICC didn't permit other trucking companies to do at the time. (ICC defined a truck returning full as "illegal competition" with the railroads.) Coors Jr. forth- rightly told Jim that elimination of the ICC would thus weaken Coors' competitive advantage and so he couldn't take the chance of supporting Libertarian candidates. -L. Reichard White, Ayn Rand's Greatest Mistake

Now, ET, you've suggested that not all "captains of industry," and particularly small enterpreneurs, are mercantalist/fascists and so represent the "captialist" ranks well.

I hope you're right, but as a professional gambler, I would not bet on it -- because the good, sound business motivation of these "capitalists" to also be mercantalist/fascists is so strong. And here's an example of that motivation being expressed by small business, presumably "capitalist" type folks:
      My first clue to [Ayn] Rand's greatest mistake, though I failed to understand it at the time, came as a friend of mine (Larry) and I gave a talk to the Las Vegas Junior Chamber of Commerce (the "jaycees"). We presented two libertarian issues; heroin decriminalization to demonstrate civil liberties and free trade in free markets to demonstrate economic freedom. Since jaycees are business folks, we figured we'd get resistance on decriminalization, but if we addressed the free-trade issues last, we would leave them with a positive impression.
+
      Sure enough, immediately after the decriminalization presentation one jaycee stood up, and in a very agitated manner let us know that we were crazy to propose such a thing. Before we could answer, another jaycee said, "Sit down Bob. They're right." There was a murmur of assent from the rest of the thirty or so in the audience. Larry and I looked at each other amazed. We figured we were over the hump.
+
      After our free market presentation, however, there was dead silence. We felt a chill. Someone murmured something like "You can't have that sort of thing going on." This audience of business people, which had accepted decriminalization, figuratively turned it's collective back on us. We had violated some hallowed but unstated rule. It was as if actually mentioning free markets, acknowledging they even existed, was unacceptably foul manners. What was going on here? -L. Reichard White, "Ayn Rand's Greatest Mistake, Why Almost Everyone Hates Free-Trade, and Where Totalitarianism Comes From"

J.D. Rockefeller said it best for all businessmen: "Competition is a sin." Consider what they have to do to avoid that "sin."

Thus mercantalist/fascist behavior is integral to any business person, that is capitalist, who has access to a government to help hir protect hir saved money, hir business, hir partners, and hir employee's jobs. That's why "capitalism" has historically always been synonymous with mercantilism/fascism. That's why the average person perceives "capitalists" the way they do.

Now of course, business people aren't the only folks who don't like free trade in free markets -- see Free Trade: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly -- The Bad, but that's a whole nother issue.

What is your reason, ET, for defending a term that, rightly or wrongly -- rightly in my opinion -- carries such negative baggage with large numbers of people?

What's your "categorical imperative" for using this term when free trade in free markets is more primary and more easily defensible?

Why, other than historical accident and habit, won't you try, just as an experiment, a different tack the next time you're confronted with someone who, correctly or not, "confuses" capitalism with mercantilism/fascism?

Regards,
Journeyman

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@ Journeyman & "Capitalism" -- Flinter, 10:45:59 11/28/03 Fri

If you throw in the towel on language, Journeyman, you've Thrown In the Towel!

Period.

You have accepted "relativism". History can have no meaning, no lessons, no truths.

Oh, sorry...I'm in error.

Need some "truth"... just check with the Ministery of Truth and they'll fix you up. It is, after all, All Relative (as the Socialists like to say).

When I hear someone decry "capitalism" these days, I tell them that America has not been Capitalist since (at least) 1913. And declining in level since. Which steers the conversation away from relativist non-language and non-positions toward reason and a chance for meaningful dialogue.

Same with the term "liberal". I ask if they are correlating the views of...say...Thomas Jefferson to Bill Clinton? I suppose, by the same logic, you would call, say, Teddy Kennedy a "liberal"?

I know you wouldn't...but what's the difference?

It's a slippery slope, J-man. And pervasive.

By the way, Capitalism is not an "ism" as are those others. Without "Capital", there would be no society or civilization. We would go back to even before "hunter gatherer", since gathering is capital. NO society would advance without the ethical accumulation of Capital in one form or another. It is a prime driver behind progress. Looting societies, I think you would agree, do not prosper in the long term. No matter what you chose to call it, Capitalism is a FACT and has been since we stood on two legs.

I understand your argument, but encourage you to "check your premises"....less you lose the ability to argue against, say, "eternal war for eternal peace".

Regards,
Flinter

[Edit]


apll -- volavka, 10:31:04 11/28/03 Fri

Some of you need to get serious on some of these juniors,
acquisitions.

This is a 6.00 stock.

[Edit]


j-man -- ET, 09:41:39 11/28/03 Fri

Hey j-man – thanks again for your thoughts. I think I’m beginning to understand your confusion on this issue. Let’s take a couple of things you’ve written and see if we can’t get to the bottom of this. BTW – I don’t disagree with your assessment that terms have been corrupted but why fight the battle where you seem to feel the odds have been stacked against you? Perhaps I can show you why. You wrote the other day in part:

“And the fact is, ‘capitalism’ IS INDEED JUST ANOTHER WORD FOR MERCANTILISM, AND ALWAYS HAS BEEN.”

Of course, j-man, this isn’t true. That is what Mises was trying to say. The communists obviously tried to obscure the reason why the liberal, capitalistic society was such a success. Let’s call it their way of competing for power. Mercantilism is not capitalism, and it never has been.

“The name confesses the fact: in ‘capitalism’ the rules favor those with ‘capital.’"

I think here is part of the problem we’re having. Capitalism is the act of saving capital (which can be money, previous investments, etc.) and investing in enterprise to make a profit. Saving and investing is the heart of the matter. The only rules involved here might be the rule of law guaranteeing property rights and contractual rights. There are no rules I’m aware of that favor the act of saving and investing. There is simply the economic fact that those that do save and invest are more likely to raise their standard of living than those that don’t.

“Those folks with ‘capital’ regularly bribe those folks in ‘governments’ to pass rules which favor the ‘capitalists.’"

And as Mises pointed out, it is generally the other way around. Those that don’t wish to save and invest tend to be the ones running to government for special favors that the market economy wouldn’t support. And as Mises also pointed out, yes, some so-called capitalists might indeed find government to be a way to continue the status quo even as the marketplace evolves away from what made them successful in the first place. You've also made this point.

“The ‘capital’ in the word ‘capitalism’ suggests that there's something ‘special’ about capital and those who have it -- other than the obvious advantages to having ‘capital’ that exist, rules or no rules.”

Now this is simply supposition on your part. I’m not aware of anything special about capital other that it is savings where other things are not savings. It is the term used to identify savings which can be put to use to improve one’s standard of living.

”That is, ‘capitalism’ is closely identified, and rightly so, with the mercantilism it actually is.”

Perhaps in your head and others, this is true. But you are wrong, plain and simple. Capitalism is not mercantilism, nor is it “closely identified” with mercantilism, communism, socialism, or fascism. Mercantilism is “closely identified” with fascism. You and others apparently haven’t been able to discern the difference, but different they are. By encouraging the continuation of what is obviously a fallacy, I can see why you might suffer some difficulty when asked to explain your view of economics. Capitalism cannot be both a free market and not a free market.

“Should people with ‘capital’ get special treatment?

”If your answer is, ‘No,’ then why would you want to elevate such people to an exalted status?”

And here is where you seem to have a problem, as I see it. First, I haven’t attempted to elevate anyone at all to any particular status. We were talking about capitalism, the free market, the market economy, etc. Are you saying that because people tend to use their savings in ways that you disapprove, that savings and investment is a bad idea? Because some successful entrepreneurs and capitalists, having accumulated additional capital, now attempt to use these additional savings in a mercantilist manner, does not make capitalism a bad idea. This is like saying that spending my savings on a car to rob a bank makes the idea of savings a bad idea.

In the end, I think you’ve fallen prey to the oldest of tricks in the socialist’s bag. When confronted with the fact that capitalism is by any measure the more successful system to elevate the standard of living of all, they pick out the very problem with the competing system of socialism, central planning of investment, and attempt to call that by the name of the successful system. People with little knowledge of either system won’t know the difference. Playing to people’s ignorance has always been the hallmark of socialism. You’ll have to excuse me if I find appeals to people’s ignorance a poor substitute.

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APLL about +50% in 2 days -- Woody, 09:20:23 11/28/03 Fri

Last Change Bid Ask Vol Time
APLL 0.44 +0.09 0.44 0.45 1,961,497 12:17:33

[Edit]


Capitalism vs. free trade in free markets Chapter X @ET, Flinter, ALL -- journeyman, 07:36:22 11/28/03 Fri

Hi ET (Flinter ALL)!

Good choice from the master to defend your position. And of course I agree almost completely with his over-all analysis, as I do with yours. And I don't often disagree with Mises in any aspect - - - - -

For us "free trade in free markets" folks, though, the historical use of the confusing term "capitalism" is tactically most unfortunate. Mises, as are all of us, is prisoner of his own epoch. Human Action was originally written in the 1930s if memory serves, and the on-line version last revised in 1966, 37 years ago. This was all in the midst of the communist flap, and the mongers managed to polarize us between the false alternatives of "communism" vs. "capitalism." [1] Many folks internalized this mis-directive terminology --- you still see a lot of hardcore right wingers worrying about the "communist menace."

If you'll notice in your excerpt ET, Mises uses the much clearer terms "market economy," "market society," "free trade," "free enterprise" etc. more often than he uses the term "capitalism." I won't presume to guess his frame of mind in this historical period, but in a post "red scare" world where the term "capitalism" is equated, correctly in my opinion, with the mega-capitalists (just as communism became, paradoxically, associated with the mega-dictators [2]) this is not a term I personally could defend in good conscience, let alone as sound P.R. tactics.

Let me ask you a simple question, ET, Flinter, ALL:

Should people with "capital" get special treatment?

If your answer is, "No," then why would you want to elevate such people to an exalted status? As the show-trial of Tyco's ex-ceo, Koslovsky (sp) shows, they elevate themselves quite well without this extra help.

The thing is, free markets, in contrast to corporatism [3] and capitalism, tend to be great levelers: I see you doing something extremely profitable. I decide to do the same thing. In a free market, we must compete, and neither of us like it. Espceially when ET, hAug, Tai, Flinter, auspec, jomama, Rex, Cinnamon, Endgame, etc. enter the market too. But as long as the markets remain truly free, the competiton shrinks our bottom line -- "levels" us -- because the competiton (labeled a "sin" by J.D. Rockefeller) forces us to "share" the results of our expertise thru lower prices and better products.

This is the selling point of "free markets" to the socialist/liberal (in today's terminology) half of the population.

So, if "capitalists" don't deserve any extra laws or priviliges that they don't come by naturally as a result of possessing "capital," why would we want to name a system after them? Especially since it's free trade in free markets, not the accumulation of capital per se, that is not only the well-spring of specialization, division of labor, and thus increasing standards of living, but also eminently more defensible in the modern semantic context.

As far as "abandoning" the term "capitalism" goes and then losing the next battle, that could happen. [4] But if folks are shooting at me and I'm in the open, do I stand up and take it like a British Redcoat, or, like our forefathers, do I take to the woods and fence rails?

The confusing term "capitalism" today gives you no cover while "free trade" and "free market," because they are more directly descriptive and thus more easily explainable terms, are much better tactical positions in the battle for hearts and minds.

Just as an experiment, try shifting your terminology in your next argument with someone who doesn't like "capitalism." Tell them you agree (even if you have to bite your tongue), and launch into a condemnation of "mercantalism" -- you might even call it that. Then explain the advantage of people being able to trade with one another freely without unwanted third parties involved. You might find Free Trade: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly helpful in this endeavor. If you choose, you might even call that situation a "free market."

My guess is you'll be amazed at the results. If you want to fight a pitched battle with the odds against you, continue to defend the confusing term "capitalism." If, instead, you want to change people's hearts and minds and convert them to your way of thinking, tout free trade in free markets.

I don't often make predictions, but I predict after one or two experiences with this tactic, you'll never go back to defending "capitalism."

Unless you enjoy pitched battles with the odds stacked against you.

Regards,
Journeyman

NOTES:

[1] The battle wasn't actually between so-called "communism" and so-called "capitalism," it was between gangs of hierarchist thugs (governments) and the least centralized -- paradoxically in light of the philosophical underpinnings of communism, the U.S. -- won because "spontaneous order" is way more efficient than central planning. return

[2] Remember, socialism (voluntary communism) had as one of it's most motivating slogans, "The withering away of the state." But, as we all no doubt know from Bond flix if from nowhere else, far from withering, communist states became total -- everything -- totalitarian. The original socialist/communist thinkers, many explicit anarchists, would have been as appalled at this result as would the framers of the U.S. Constitution (and PARTICULARLY the Declaration of Independence) at the current situation in the united States. return

[3] Corporations are creatures of the state, and the limited liability they confer facilitates capital pooling. However, the state doesn't need to be involved: Private contractual trusts can perform the same function. return

[4] The worst aspects associated with the term "capitalism" are indeed tainting the term "free market" -- because the mega-capitalist/mercantilist interests are, as usual, getting "governing bodies" -- in this case particularly the WTO (World Trade Organization) to institute rules to favor themselves and thus reduce competition at a cost to division of labor and thus the general standard of living. The anti-WTO folks are dedicated and right to oppose this process, though usually for the wrong reasons. We have to defend the social dislocation -- as business guru Peter Drucker points out -- inherent in the constant changes caused by free markets. That and ubiquitous competition are the main and only aspects of free trade in free markets that people don't easily understand and accept. So, ET, sharpen your quill -- we've got quite a job to do - - - return

[Edit]


Current POG, POS, POP & U$D Live Price -- CHARTs, 22:45:14 11/27/03 Thu

US$/POGUS$/POSEURO/POGU$D




LbS/POG London Fix LbS/POS



PLAT

PALL


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god -- number six, 19:13:38 11/27/03 Thu

All of Omar's Islam posts have got me thinking about the Bushies and their weird take on Christianity. They seem to have totally misinterpreted that "Suffer little children" bit, and, when it comes to "giving alms to the poor," they heard that as "arms to the poor," and obviously the poor can't afford modern weapons systems, so pentagon researchers spend trillions inventing delivery systems that can deliver armaments to the poor at no charge.

Tangetially, there was that photo of that poor bastard Iraqi kid who got his arms blown off... a local magazine ran that as the front cover picture with "Iraq Disarmed" as the headline. Maybe we're too cynical down here.

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Troubled waters ahead? -- Netking, 17:24:01 11/27/03 Thu

Al-Adhal’s nom de guerre is al-Yamani, signer of al Qaeda warning of countdown for big attack in America [revealed Monday on Debka.com]

Whether al Qaeda made the latest hreat, if it was real or not this time, or if it was some other entity who made it appear that way...it doesn't really matter to the eventual outcome...

Vice President Dick Cheney said on 13 May 2003 that:
"Clearly, we are locked in the kind of the struggle that will continue for a good many years, that calls upon the very best in the United States military.... The only way to deal with this threat ultimately is to destroy it. There's no treaty can solve this problem. There's no peace agreement, no policy of containment or deterrence that works to deal with this threat. We have to go find the terrorists.... the only sure way to security and stability and the protection of our people and those of our friends and allies is to go eliminate the terrorists before they can launch any more attacks. And this President is absolutely bound and determined to do that."

So what wil happen if the United States is attacked again by terrorists using say strategic weapons this time? Will Americans will scrap the Constitution and set up a military government. What would this mean to us all? One thing for sure, the impact of an American military government on the USA and the world would be incalculable . . . and some would say now it's sadly even inevitable. What would this mean to freedom on both a micro & macro level to the free markets as well as one's assets [esp. PM's] warrants thought . . . one thing for sure the road ahead for us all will not be smooth one.

[Edit]


Flinter, j-man -- ET, 16:08:59 11/27/03 Thu

Hey Flinter - oh yes, I saw your note. I just started reading the link and I couldn't help myself. Thanks again.

Hey j-man, thanks for the viewpoint. I'm afraid I'll continue to fight the lonely battle. Once you start down the slope of changing definitions to suit the collectivists, soon you'll have no words left to describe even your "free markets." The following is from Mises' 'Human Action'. Hope this helps to explain my point of view.

"The analysis of the problems of the market society, the only pattern of human action in which calculation can be applied in planning action, opens access to the analysis of all thinkable modes of action and of all economic problems with which historians and ethnographers are confronted. All noncapitalistic methods of economic [p. 267] management can be studied only under the hypothetical assumption that in them too cardinal numbers can be used in recording past action and planning future action. This is why economists place the study of the pure market economy in the center of their investigations.

"It is not the economists who lack the 'historical sense' and ignore the factor of evolution, but their critics. The economists have always been fully aware of the fact that the market economy is the product of a long historical process which began when the human race emerged from the ranks of the other primates. The champions of what is mistakenly called 'historicism' are intent upon undoing the effects of evolutionary changes. In their eyes everything the existence of which they cannot trace back to a remote past or cannot discover in the customs of some primitive Polynesian tribes is artificial, even decadent. They consider the fact that an institution was unknown to savages as a proof of its uselessness and rottenness. Marx and Engels and the Prussian professors of the Historical School exulted when they learned that private property is 'only' a historical phenomenon. For them this was the proof that their socialist plans were realizable[8].

"The creative genius is at variance with his fellow citizens. As the pioneer of things new and unheard of he is in conflict with their uncritical acceptance of traditional standards and values. In his eyes the routine of the regular citizen, the average or common man, is simply stupidity. For him 'bourgeois' is a synonym of imbecility [p. 268] [9]. The frustrated artists who take delight in aping the genius's mannerism in order to forget and to conceal their own impotence adopt this terminology. These Bohemians call everything they dislike 'bourgeois.' Since Marx has made the term 'capitalist' equivalent to 'bourgeois,' they use both words synonymously. In the vocabularies of all languages the words 'capitalistic' and 'bourgeois' signify today all that is shameful, degrading, and infamous[10]. Contrariwise, people call all that they deem good and praiseworthy 'socialist.' The regular scheme of arguing is this; A man arbitrarily calls anything he dislikes 'capitalistic,' and then deduces from this appellation that the thing is bad.

"This semantic confusion goes still further. Sismondi, the romantic eulogists of the Middle Ages, all socialist authors, the Prussian Historical School, and the American Institutionalists taught that capitalism is an unfair system of exploitation sacrificing the vital interests of the majority of people for the sole benefit of a small group of profiteers. No decent man can advocate this 'mad' system. The economists who contend that capitalism is beneficial not only to a small group but to everyone are 'sycophants of the bourgeoisie.' They are either too dull to recognize the truth or bribed apologists of the selfish class interests of the exploiters.

"Capitalism, in the terminology of these foes of liberty, democracy, and the market economy, means the economic policy advocated by big business and millionaires. Confronted with the fact that some--but certainly not all-wealthy entrepreneurs and capitalists nowadays favor measures restricting free trade and competition and resulting in monopoly, they say: Contemporary capitalism stands for protectionism, cartels, and the abolition of competition. It is true, they add, that at a definite period of the past British capitalism favored free trade both on the domestic market and in international relations. This was because at that time the class interests of the British bourgeoisie were best served by such a policy. Conditions, however, changed and today capitalism, i.e., the doctrine advocated by the exploiters, aims at another policy.

"It has already been pointed out that this doctrine badly distorts both economic theory and historical facts[11]. There were and there will always be people whose selfish ambitions demand protection for vested interests and who hope to derive advantage from measures restricting competition. Entrepreneurs grown old and tired and the decadent heirs of people who succeeded in the past dislike the agile [p. 269] parvenus who challenge their wealth and their eminent social position. Whether or not their desire to make economic conditions rigid and to hinder improvements can be realized, depends on the climate of public opinion. The ideological structure of the nineteenth century, as fashioned by the prestige of the teachings of the liberal economists, rendered such wishes vain. When the technological improvements of the age of liberalism revolutionized the traditional methods of production, transportation, and marketing, those whose vested interests were hurt did not ask for protection because it would have been a hopeless venture. But today it is deemed a legitimate task of government to prevent an efficient man from competing with the less efficient. Public opinion sympathizes with the demands of powerful pressure groups to stop progress. The butter producers are with considerable success fighting against margarine and the musicians against recorded music. The labor unions are deadly foes of every new machine. It is not amazing that in such an environment less efficient businessmen aim at protection against more efficient competitors.

"It would be correct to describe this state of affairs in this way: Today many or some groups of business are no longer liberal; they do not advocate a pure market economy and free enterprise, but, on the contrary, are asking for various measures of government interference with business. But it is entirely misleading to say that the meaning of the concept of capitalism has changed and that 'mature capitalism'--as the American Institutionalists call it--or 'late capitalism'--as the Marxians call it--is characterized by restrictive policies to protect the vested interests of wage earners, farmers, shopkeepers, artisans, and sometimes also of capitalists and entrepreneurs. The concept of capitalism is as an economic concept immutable; if it means anything, it means the market economy. One deprives oneself of the semantic tools to deal adequately with the problems of contemporary history and economic policies if one acquiesces in a different terminology. This faulty nomenclature becomes understandable only if we realize that the pseudo-economists and the politicians who apply it want to prevent people from knowing what the market economy really is. They want to make people believe that all the repulsive manifestations of restrictive government policies are produced by 'capitalism.'"

[Edit]


LOTR - III -- Middle Earth, 15:12:43 11/27/03 Thu

The Return Of The King . . . World Premiere Middle Earth Monday

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@Journeyman -- Flinter, 14:30:35 11/27/03 Thu

Hi J-man.

I correlate Capitalism with Free Markets. Free Markets generate profits, and in doing so wages...and savings for both "earners". Savings which can be invested. Is this savings not capital in the True sense of the word?

True Free Markets are, in affect, the ethical standard underpining what Rand called Capitalism.

Contrast this with a Fiat system, there is lip service to "Free Markets" and something called "profits"...but gradually (and at an increased pace) "profit" comes to be secured by "playing ball" with those who control the printing press; Government & Cental/Private banks.

The whole economy, over time, becomes politicized, centralized, internationalized, controlled.

Centralized (Big Business) become those closest to the wellspring of "money". The source of Fiat.

Can you now call what such a system produces "profit"?
Can you call the securing entities "earners"?
Is not "looters" a more accurate word?
Is the resulting exchange of goods and services still ethical?
Can you call such exchange a "Free Market"?
Can Capitalism & Fiat co-exist in any meaningful way?

Think it through.

Rand was right!

Best Wishes,
Flinter

[Edit]


Captialism vs. free markets, Chapter IX -- journeyman, 12:44:05 11/27/03 Thu

Hi ET, ALL!

I agree with the analysis in your "Flinter -- ET, 08:12:29 11/27/03 Thu" just about 100%.

BUT - - -

You can save yourself a lot of writing if you realize that most people agree with Mr. Berry's identification of "capitalism" as the cause of many of the world's most egregious ills.

And, as you probably know -- and despite the fact I cut my teenage teeth on "The Virtue of Selfishness," "Atlas Shrugged," "We The Living," "The Fountainhead" and, yes, "Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal" -- I agree with both Berry and "most people."

And I agree with you as well -- what Berry identifies as "capitalism" is indeed merchantilism.

And the fact is, "capitalism" IS INDEED JUST ANOTHER WORD FOR MERCANTILISM, AND ALWAYS HAS BEEN. The name confesses the fact: in "capitalism" the rules favor those with "capital." Those folks with "capital" regularly bribe those folks in "governments" to pass rules which favor the "capitalists." The "capital" in the word "capitalism" suggests that there's something "special" about capital and those who have it -- other than the obvious advantages to having "capital" that exist, rules or no rules.

That is, "captialism" is closely identified, and rightly so, with the mercantilism it actually is.

Even if you disagree with all this ET, we don't need "capitalism" if we have free markets. Free markets come first and are primary and more important than the accumulation of capital, particularly the part of capital that is called "money." Free markets guarantee "capital" of various sorts will be pooled. The problem is, these pools, once formed and especially when no longer competitive, buy governments to keep themselves in tact. That's where merchantilism/capitalism comes from.

Why insist on fighting a battle to defend a term, "capitalism," simply because Rand chose to be confrontational rather than informative?

Let me give you an example of the advantages of defending free markets rather than having to try to correct what you believe are people's incorrect understandings of the word "capitalism" before you can defend it.

O.K. Here goes:

Mr. Berry is absolutely correct when he identifies the problems associated with international capitalism: Unnatural concentration of wealth, unchecked degradation of the environment, etc. which is, as he ironically admits, "ratified and licensed by the new international trade agreements." Clearly these "international trade agreements" must have been "ratified and licensed" by governments. Mr. Berry, obviously ignorant of the one-to-one correspondence between international capitalism and it's direct predecessor and memetic sire, "mercantilism," (and thus ignorant of the built-in connection between business and government) suggests more of the same -- government interference in free markets -- as a solution.

This is one more example of how capitalism intentionally subverts free markets, and thus those who want real solutions need to oppose capitalism/mercantilism -- and governments -- in favor of free markets.

Regards,
Journeyman

[Edit]


@ET @HBM @OmarD -- Flinter, 12:16:20 11/27/03 Thu

Great posts, you guys... on this Thanksgiving day.

ET, in ref. to Berry, perhaps you missed my addendum to a Berry quote "If I could just teach the guy that a fiat currency and capitalism are mutually exclusive. Though fiat and fascism get along famously."

Needless to say, I cuncur completely with you comments re Berry. I see little of material difference between Mercantilism and Fascism... matter of semenatics and degrees of some specifics. That said, Berry does some great writing. Pick and choose.

Happy Thanksgiving, All.
Flinter

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So she slaved all day in the kitchen: -- volavka, 11:48:55 11/27/03 Thu

well buddy your days are numbered.

I think woody Allan has the patent on this one.

http://www.msnbc.com/news/998740.asp?0cv=CB20

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650.00 bring um on. -- volavka, 11:40:06 11/27/03 Thu

from sinclair,"Since no regulator has ever seen fit to expose the derivative contracts of a gold hedger in their entirety to stockholders, the lack of transparency of all these documents guarantees that the last person to know the details will be the shareholders - and that will happen after disaster strikes.

Something smells a lot worse than the New York subway and it is the awful stench of a derivative crisis that may well put gold totally into the stratosphere on a close of $401.

I certainly believe that gold will break $400 and $450 but I hope we don’t reach $600 too soon."





Too bad, tuff, no mercy, 650.00 or bust, too much turkey,too bad 650.00 anyway.
You all have been conditioned to price levels being hit then selling off like 79/80.

Times have changed, you will have only minor sell offs.
end of story...

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@All -- goldus, 10:47:42 11/27/03 Thu

Happy Thanksgiving -Thanks to ALL for continuing to bring your many good thoughts and knowledge and moral support that is like nothing else on the web.
@Slatt- Great posts. I agree with your future energy assessment. A few minor things to point out. One is that the alternative energy future in this country will increasingly be determined by the progress of the Swedish, Japanese, Russians and others who have less vested interest in suppressing progressive technology and more in the survival of their people. U.S. based research seems to be picking up though. Much going on to inspire hope.
Thank you for your excellent farm discussion also.
@HBM -Regarding your last. Nice work, and merits a reread here.
@Omar- Nice work and consistent with the efforts of all world faiths towards lasting world harmony and progress- the immutable destiny of our sacred race.

[Edit]


Adverse Possession -- HBM, 09:30:49 11/27/03 Thu

To my knowledge there are only three ways to take possession of things.

First of all there is the method of force. There are and always will be those who exercise force without regard to the moral questions that may arise.

Secondly, there is the old fashion method, that of earning it. This method has been the most acceptable to civilization in general, yet we have no exception in recorded history whereby the method of “earning” is not abrogated in favor of the method of force.

Thirdly, there is the gift. One can obtain possession of things, yeah, I say, even life itself by having it either imputed or imparted. It is not at all a difficult concept, that of giving and receiving. The difficulty lies in whether the giver has irresistible powers beyond those of the recipient of the gift. The art of giving is worthy of another treatise but must be passed over in order to stay on the topic at hand.

The realms in which this “questions of ownership” arise are as varied as they are diverse. The lines of demarcation between these realms are often blurred, but the careful observer can make the proper distinctions if real truth is the goal.

There is the natural realm which is subject to the natural laws of ownership. There is the civil realm in which civil law provides at least the hope of quiet possession. There is a realm beyond the four dimensions to which our physical existence is confined. The laws of that realm of course govern that realm. Let us call it the realm of the spirit and thus call the governing laws in this “spiritual realm”, spiritual laws.

The concept that one realm might be contained or at least in subjection to other realms is, IMO, at least worthy of consideration. The thought is that the one is higher in every facet to the realm below it. For the sake of argument I will place the level of the above-mentioned realms in descending order as to prior existence, containment and subjection. By that I mean that one realm might be in subjection to another not only by virtue shear power but also by virtue of its being the cause of existence of a realm lower plane. This premise would entail that the realm on the lower plane be under total subjection and power to the realm which exists upon a higher plane.

The highest in order would be the spiritual realm, followed by the natural realm and then the civil/political realm. A problem immediately arises.

There are those who attempt to confine their every being to the civil/political realm and deny the existence of and or the excellence of both a natural realm and a spiritual realm. By doing so they can ignore any subjection of the civil/political realm along with the concept that the civil/political realm is a self-existing realm, one which owes no other realm or entity for its existence.

Then there are others who acknowledge the civil/political realm as existing within the natural realm. Being within this natural realm, it follows that the civil/political realm is inferior to it in both power and excellence.

However here is where the line is generally drawn. It is posited by some that a realm of higher authority and power then these two does not exist. With such a premise it follows that these two realms do not owe their existence any power apart from themselves.

Finally there are those, myself among them, who acknowledge that there exists at least three realms on three different levels, realms which are beholden to their a self-existing creator. It is this self-existing creator to which most refer when they say, “He giveth and He taketh away.”

Lest we ignore the long-accepted rule used to settle disputes over ownership, let us clearly deal with that rule now. That rule, “Possession is nine-tenths of the law”, is not to be denied. Let us state emphatically that the rule is a good one. Though this good rule it is often misconstrued it is not often misapplied.

The misconstruction of the rule could be explained in that many view it in much the same way in which an iceberg is viewed, only the view is inverted. In the case of this particular rule, 90% of the rule stands in clear view while the other 10% is hidden below the surface.

It goes without saying, that if we acknowledge the 90% rule as a given, then we must also acknowledge of necessity that there exists another 10% which is excepted from the rule.

As we revert back to the subject at hand, that of THE METHODS OF ACQUIRING OWNERSHIP, let us not leave out the exception to the rule. The important thing here is recognition of the fact that, though possession will give an indication of true ownership, it is not always the case. There is the instance in which the 90% rule is negated by a different rule. Let us call it the 100% rule.

The 100% rule: “What can only be obtained through imputation or impartation is subject to be taken back by the entity who initiates the imputation or impartation.” A strong hint as to how this rule operates is well known to all but those who have their hands deeply implanted into the sand. A clear example, “The Lord giveth and the Lord taketh away, blessed be the name of the Lord”, Job 1:21.

Most often this bible scripture is quoted out of context, for Job was referring to all that he had in this world except for his very life, his soul. When we see this quoted today, almost without exception, the reference is to death, the separation of the physical body from the soul and the spirit.

Though a direct quote of Job 1:21 at a gravesite appears to be out of context, one would be hard pressed to deny that the ultimate principle contained in the quote is unquestionable, for one who did not put his soul and or spirit into his body certainly cannot prevent the One who put it into his body from separating that soul and or spirit from the body at will.

There are those who consider the total depravity of man as a result of the fall of Adam to be pure fabrication of the imagination. I am trying to approach this question on an intellectual basis for that I perceive that most on our forum use the intellectual approach. By no means do I expect to be considered an intellectual yet I make this attempt. I hope to offer more in the development of this my contention, that the Puritans were absolutely correct in their position that man became hopelessly and totally depraved upon the fall of Adam and can only be relieved of his debased state by the self-existing one, the Creator God.

I hope to show that we do not and have never owned ourselves. That an attempt claim that ownership is truly advers to the will of Almight God. Let us call it adverse possession. If I am right, then those who take adverse possession will discover eventually that they are opposing an irrestible force.

HBM

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@ Net king re YIKES! on silver -- Galearis, 08:43:50 11/27/03 Thu

Hi Murray,
Occasionally I forget that we “need” either a default on Ag Comex or some “official” or some“strong” case that there are some severe supply problems for physical silver. So, when I see a rocket style spike on a Kitco chart like the one seen recently, I have this disneyesque break with reality and post statements like that on forums, when I know that the market is still a sham. But then again, maybe somewhere there is breaking news that I haven’t heard that the world is out of silver…And we get this spike,,,ya know.


G

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Flinter -- ET, 08:12:29 11/27/03 Thu

Hey Flinter – sorry for the tardy response. Thanks for the link. From the link by Wendell Berry:

“It is easy to see the similarity between this accounting of the price of war and our usual accounting of “the price of progress.” We seem to have agreed that whatever has been (or will be) paid for so-called progress is an acceptable price. If that price includes the diminishment of privacy and the increase of government secrecy, so be it. If it means a radical reduction in the number of small businesses and the virtual destruction of the farm population, so be it. If it means the devastation of whole regions by extractive industries, so be it. If it means that a mere handful of people should own more billions of wealth than is owned by all of the world’s poor, so be it.

“But let us have the candor to acknowledge that what we call “the economy” or “the free market” is less and less distinguishable from warfare. For about half of the last century, we worried about world conquest by international communism. Now with less worry (so far) we are witnessing world conquest by international capitalism.

“Though its political means are milder (so far) than those of communism, this newly internationalized capitalism may prove even more destructive of human cultures and communities, of freedom, and of nature. Its tendency is just as much toward total dominance and control. Confronting this conquest, ratified and licensed by the new international trade agreements, no place and no community in the world may consider itself safe from some form of plunder. More and more people all over the world are recognizing that this is so, and they are saying that world conquest of any kind is wrong, period.”

I certainly agree with Mr. Berry in that war is a racket. However, Mr. Berry seems to make the tired mistake of blaming all the Earth’s problems on capitalism. Perhaps if Mr. Berry had included some sort of definition of “international capitalism”, his meaning might be clearer.

If, what he describes as capitalism, were indeed the capitalism as it was described in the past, he would have a point. Unfortunately, what he describes is mercantilism. Mercantilism can basically be described as the linking of business interests and government to accomplish what the “free market” would reject out of hand. Government use of force is what propels this “international capitalism” and it basically comes about via runaway credit and currency depreciation.

This can hardly be described as the free investment of capital to hopefully produce a profit based on the free will of both producers and consumers. That would be a more appropriate definition of capitalism. I’m afraid Mr. Berry could stand a course in economics. He goes on to add:

“At present, in the face of declining finite sources of fossil fuel energies, we have virtually no energy policy, either for conservation or for the development of safe and clean alternative sources. At present, our energy policy simply is to use all that we have. Moreover, in the face of a growing population needing to be fed, we have virtually no policy for land conservation and no policy of just compensation to the primary producers of food. Our agricultural policy is to use up everything that we have, while depending increasingly on imported food, energy, technology, and labor.

“Those are just two examples of our general indifference to our own needs. We thus are elaborating a surely dangerous contradiction between our militant nationalism and our espousal of the international “free market” ideology. How do we escape from this absurdity?

“I don’t think there is an easy answer. Obviously, we would be less absurd if we took better care of things. We would be less absurd if we founded our public policies upon an honest description of our needs and our predicament, rather than upon fantastical descriptions of our wishes. We would be less absurd if our leaders would consider in good faith the proven alternatives to violence.”

As perhaps you noted, Mr. Berry seems to think all answers can be found in one policy or another. Not coincidentally, policies made by central planners. He doesn’t seem to think there is an easy answer. He is wrong.

Public policy has been a dismal failure for at least one hundred years. He admits the failure of what he advocates. Like I said, he could stand a course in Austrian economics as he would then learn not only the theory behind his failed reasoning but also learn how capitalism works.

Flinter, I don’t disagree with Mr. Berry’s assessment of the situation, only the cause and solution. Central planning never works, look at the Soviet Union as an example of central planning run amuck. The disaster of the Aral Sea is something that continues to haunt all of us today. Free market solutions are better solutions because they reflect the views of billions of people, not the few.

I’m hopefully not so foolish to believe that things are going to get better overnight, but I do see the world headed back to “real” capitalism. I happen to believe this is the result of the so-called information revolution as the individuals in the world are becoming more powerful in the marketplace relative to the centralized corporations and governments. Small business is making a comeback as the financial edifice that supports the centralized players continues to erode. I don’t think anything can change this trend, as it’s part of the balance of nature. Mr. Berry is wrong in that there is no easy answer. These things tend to fix themselves when people start to rely on themselves and reject the notion of omnipotent central planning.

I will quickly now put my soapbox back in the garage and enjoy the holiday. Happy Thanksgiving!

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HBM -- SLATT, 06:32:24 11/27/03 Thu

I do not share your gloom and doom view of the future. I do not see oil being cut off from the Persian Gulf. It is the only source of income in the region that can buy influence. And the US controls the shipping lanes. If there was a severe reduction in Persian Gulf oil to the world market the slack to the US will be taken up by production in our our hemisphere and Africa. The higher prices will force necessary changes to our transportation infrastructure. Much needed changes which are long overdue. Changes that will free us of the dependency on foreign oil and in time nearly all oil for transportation/heating/electrical uses. Oil will be limited to petrochemicals and pharmaceuticals and other uses for which there isn't a economically viable alternative. Our economy and republic will be the stronger for these changes.

Yes nuclear power will be one of the necessary pieces during the transition. So will wind, solar and geothermal sources. These areas and others have been ignored for the past 30 years. Forget about oil shale. Not going to happen any time soon. Coal and nat. gas will be used instead. Fuel cell technology is transitional IMO. Fusion technolgy may be realized within the next 50 years. Tremendous energy projects will only advance beyond theory if there is a compelling economic/security reason to do so. Change rarely occurs without upset.

The invasion of Iraq was and is increasingly seen correctly as a terrible mistake. If we as a nation are wounded economically and politically because of it, so be it. I have faith that our nation when left to our own devices will succeed in all that we committ our energies toward. I look forward to the day when American industry and jobs takes precedent over cheap profits gleaned from overseas at the expense of our fellow citizens. I look forward to our nation turning inward to heal ourselves, cognizant that a strong/vibrant/sovereign USA is a necessary template for others to emulate worldwide.

I welcome the challenges of the future. I've been preparing to take part in the rebuilding for a long time. Each challenge presents an opportunity to get it done right. Our nation has been denied such opportunities for the past 40 years.

Regarding Islam, I am unimpressed with the nature of the "threat". It was our president who was stupid enough to describe our military effort in Afghanistan as a "crusade". Bring the troops home and let the "righteous" fight amongst themselves around the world for all I care. Our military should protect and defend the US in our own hemisphere. Time for the rest of the world to grow up and catch up if they can.

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@HBM -- OmarD, 06:21:33 11/27/03 Thu

HBM..Thanks for another "opportunity"

RE: The true weapon of mass destruction -- HBM, 22:09:30 11/26/03 Wed


"... Islam gives us a sucker punch on 911 day and laughs in our collective faces with good reason. For we are impotent now and cannot stop the inevitable holy war between Islam and the infidels (those who do not believe as they do) and they know it. Their weapon of mass destruction is oil and they know it..." - HBM


Hi HBM...Sure sounds to me you have again been spending too much time listening (and believing) the "hateful," recurring spiel from your favorite TV evangelists and other "lost and misguided" individuals of your stated "faith," (including most in current Administration) that have fallen into a very well set propaganda trap by those that assume they will be the winners of a "inevitable holy war between "Islam" and the "infidels"

"Islam" had nothing to do with 911. - though, am sure you can find many who, like you, mistakenly believe and state so.

It is the ever present and ever growing universal "worldwide Islamic Consciousness and Enlightenment" that is keeping the hateful, biased, & ignorant (or as we Muslims would say, "misguided") from turning this world once again back into the "dark ages" complete with all its historic evils represented by 400 years of its faith based "inquisition." - and currently working with a vengeance to restart it once again (along with its "Crusades") - and which clearly demonstrates the true "infidels" are those who conduct/condone murder, rape and pillage in the name of their "God" on all those who are not blinded by their own particular delusion of "belief" (whether it be "religion," political, or economic "system") --sorry, you have that one, completely backwards, my friend.

The world and "believers" have been through this cycle of hatred and ignorance before, and seems like we will have to go through a "cleansing" process before all, "once again," learn to respect the rights, beliefs, values and property of others.

And, as it has since the beginning of "conscious" thought, human or otherwise, Islam will be standing in the background, guiding "misguided" mankind to the Truth ... and providing a counter to the "evils" of those blinded by ignorance.

Regards and best "Thanksgiving" wishes to you and yours...

OmarD





Holy Quran

Sura III, 67



Abraham was not a Jew

Nor yet a Christian;

But he was true in Faith,

And bowed his will to God's.

(Which is Islam)

And he joined not gods with God.


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SLATT -- ET, 05:54:13 11/27/03 Thu

Hey SLATT – sorry about the tardy response. Thanks for the comprehensive point of view. You wrote in part:

“What is generally accepted as good farmland today I believe tomorrow will be seen as poor. Large tracts of the farmland that have all three positive soil attributes are very rare in areas not requiring irrigation. But the land still exists. And at tremendously undervalued prices.”

Well, that is kind of what I was thinking. I’ve several friends looking for alternative investments in tangibles. I think we may put together an investment corp specifically for farmland purchases. I can tell right now I’ll have to find an expert out this way.

”I do see farming becoming a profitable endeavor in the future. I do not believe organic farming will demand the prices currently received. Rather I see the consumers demanding the nutritional baseline to be raised. While that should equate to greater opportunity for small organic farms, it will also hurt overall domestic produce sales. The family garden plot will come back with a vengeance. Most people can grow high value produce at home given the nutritional/monetary incentive. The organic operations will have to be plugged into a large urban market in order to prosper. Grain production will have to remain in the realm of Big Ag while domestic consumption for food decreases. Yet Big ag grain production for fuel or other industrial uses further degrades the land, increasing the value of high quality land.”

Good points. I don’t know if you have a “Whole Foods Market”, or something similar in your neck of the woods. These guys are getting premium, and I mean premium prices for so-called organic products. I’ve seen their stores in the urban areas, as you mention, and they seem to be doing well. I used to converse with a cotton farmer in California. He grows a specialty cotton that trades at about twice the price of regular cotton. He does very well, but depends on the irrigation in the valley, like so many of the Cal farmers do. I think water may end up being the bigger issue for some of these guys.

I don’t think this grain production for fuel has the legs. Without the subsidy, they would be dead in the water. If you’ve ever been to Iowa, you know what I mean. Ethanol laced fuel is cheaper at the pump by a couple of cents, but they have to put a big sign on the pump pointing to the fact. At this time, I don’t see it as feasible.

I think you’re right about the family garden. Inflation in grocery prices will create a new generation of family gardeners. We still grow some of our own, but only for the quality. On a cost per hour basis, it still isn’t close, but then again, I can afford good produce. Down the road, that may change.

Thanks for your input. You’ve confirmed what I’ve been thinking for a while. I’d like to buy some land and other commodity-based stuff for the longer term. Maybe in 15-20 years I’ll see a good payoff.

[Edit]


HAPPY THANKSGIVING!! -- SLATT, 05:41:47 11/27/03 Thu

Unless you're a turkey.

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Mexico Introduces 100-Peso Silver Coin - Circulating and Proof Coins Being Minted -- Netking, 23:52:40 11/26/03 Wed

Fair use snippet from The Silver Institute:

Mexico's national mint, Casa de Moneda, has begun the introduction of a new 100-peso silver circulating coin. Additionally, the mint is issuing two proof versions of the coin.

The coin, which is already in circulation, celebrates the Union of the States of the Mexican Republic into one Federation. A total of 32 different coins will be issued - one each month through 2005, for each Mexican state, in reverse alphabetical order, with Zacatecas being first and finishing with Aguascalientes. This coin is bimetallic with the center of the coin being of 0.925 silver, and the outside ring of the coin an alloy of bronze and aluminum. Each coin contains 16.812 grams of silver. The Banco de Mexico will determine mintage levels, and it is believed that they will authorize 250,000 coins for each of the 32 states. This coin program could potentially consume over four million ounces of silver when completed in 2005.

A silver one-troy-ounce proof coin, with a 10-peso face value, will also be issued with a mintage of 10,000 coins. A bimetallic proof coin, with a face value of 100 pesos, made of gold and silver, will also be issued with a mintage of 1,000 coins.

Paul Bateman, Executive Director of the Silver Institute, said, "The Silver Institute has been meeting with the various mint masters of several countries in an effort to encourage the development of silver coinage programs. We are very pleased with the exciting new silver circulating coinage program underway in Mexico, and are hopeful that the trend continues elsewhere throughout the world."

In 2002, world fabrication demand for coins and medals grew by almost three percent to 31.1 million ounces.

The Silver Institute is a nonprofit international industry association headquartered in Washington, D.C. Established in 1971, the Institute serves as the industry's voice in increasing public understanding of the value and many uses of silver.

http://www.silverinstitute.org/news/pr21nov03.html

For Further Information Contact:

Mike DiRienzo
The Silver Institute
1200 G Street, N.W., Suite 800
Washington, D.C. 20005
Tel: (202) 835-0185
Fax: (202) 835-0155

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Galearis -- Netking, 23:15:35 11/26/03 Wed

Re: 06:29:54 Something is happening in Ag...
Me: What do you see G? As suggested some months back, I still see containment until early New Year...2004 a good year for Ag in store :-)

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"Were it not that God's Word reveals so clearly -- HBM, 22:55:51 11/26/03 Wed

the power of that darkness which rests on the understanding of all who are not taught by the Spirit, it would be surprising beyond words to see so many intelligent people supposing that holiness consists in abstinence from human comforts, garbing themselves in mean attire, and practicing various austerities which God never commanded." A. W. Pink

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"The closer we are permitted to walk -- HBM, 22:44:50 11/26/03 Wed

with God and the more we see ourselves in His light, the more conscious are we of the deformity of sin and of our baseness.” A. W. Pink

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“What was it -- HBM, 22:39:00 11/26/03 Wed

that Adam had and lost? What was it which distinguished him from all the lower creatures?

"Not simply the possession of a soul, but that his soul had stamped upon it the moral image and likeness of his Maker. This it was which constituted his blessedness, which capacitated him for communion with the Lord, and which qualified him to live a happy life to His glory. And this it was which he lost at the fall. And this it is which the last Adam restores unto His people”, A. W. Pink.

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"No greater delusion -- HBM, 22:27:34 11/26/03 Wed

"can seize the minds of men than that defiled nature is able to cleanse itself, that fallen and ruined man may rectify himself, or that those who have lost the image of God which He created in them, should create it again in themselves by their own endeavors." – A. W. Pink

Methinks that:

There are only two styles of religious belief in the world. There are those who look to God to restore them, to redeem them from their fallen estate. Then there are those who look to themselves for restoration and redemption. The second class have had their minds siezed by that "great delusion"

HBM

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The true weapon of mass destruction -- HBM, 22:09:30 11/26/03 Wed

Be’uns it’s a little slow I thought I might get away with a little lip from the hip.

Here goes:

From the beginning I have been convinced that the modus operandi, the so-called protecting of our national interest concerning Iraq under George Bush Sr. was, really a move to secure the free flow of oil. Saddam Hussein Attacked Kuwait and attempted to take control of the oil giving Papa Bush an excuse to action in the interest of the oil needs of the moneyed powers.

I wondered why he let Saddam get away at the time. It now seems clear that TPTB looked at Saddam as a stabilizing force in the region and no longer a threat when they decided to let him off the hook. It makes sense that the goal, all along, was stability and not so much the thwarting a Hitler-like aggression. What was sought was a balance of “lack of power” in the region.

Well, a decade passes and things don’t go so well. Islam gives us a sucker punch on 911 day and laughs in our collective faces with good reason. For we are impotent now and cannot stop the inevitable holy war between Islam and the infidels (those who do not believe as they do) and they know it. Their weapon of mass destruction is oil and they know it.

When Jimmy Carter was in office we had the opportunity to take control of our destiny by engineering a long range strategy of self-sufficiency and we blew it. When I say we, I mean we little people who allowed them to lure us into complacency by taking the easy way out. We could have sucked it up back then, yet we chose the pleasures of the world for a season. Now we reap the whirlwind.

Why have we not taken it upon ourselves to get energy self-sufficient? Why have we not closed our borders to thugs and let them go at each other. The answer is simple. We are not they. By they, I mean those in control of our land, our economy and our politics. Let us hang our heads in shame, for we allowed this to happen. They did not take the power from us. We reliquished it to them and our children and our grandchildren will bare the brunt of our cowardice. Now we are not they and will never be they until they leave us with nothing but our bootstraps.

Now George, Jr. dubs those who threaten the free flow of oil, the axis of evil. He brilliantly turns the rhetoric away from oil and to fatherland security and feigns to fear his so-called weapons of mass destruction. All the while the modus operandi has never changed. The weapon of mass destruction, you see, is still oil.

The oil must remain in the control of TPTB. Nothing else counts. All hope swings on the hinges of Mideast oil supplies. Iraq is nothing to the festering power kegs of Iran and Saudi Arabia. They hate our guts and we pretend that we can pull a Rodney King, and just whimper, “Cant we just all try to get along?”

Now we have a situation that looks very much like a “Viet Nam” on our hands. I say, “Looks like”. Do not believe it for a moment. This is no “Viet Nam.” Why! Well, again we say, the very purpose of U.S. presence in the Mideast is, has been and will continue to be oil, only oil. Nothing but oil!!!

In Viet Nam we could pull out and make the mamas in the U. S. feel better. Yes, we did have to pull the rug out from under some companies who were doing a good war business but it did not risk the total ruination of the national economy.

Why is this no Viet Nam? Because George, Jr. has a tiger by the tail and this tiger, neither he nor any future successor can opt to let go, for at the end of all this lies the absolute ruin of the U. S. economy.

As in Viet Nam, the mamas are going to scream bloody murder but this time, to no avail. No continued U. S. presence, no oil flow. It’s just that simple. We are not energy self-sufficient and never will be. The opportunity has passed us by. This will lead to the unthinkable option, the nuclear option. That is the only thing that will satisfy the mamas in the U. S.

Here we are trying to recover from Bill Clinton and George is handing the baton over to Hillary. God help us. The only thing I can think of which could be worse than George right now is Hillary. I greatly fear that that will be the choice for those fools who think they can get us out of this mess at the polls.

This little dervish is out of here before your guys and gals start digging for my email address for non-benevolent reasons.

HBM

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HiHat @ 17:42:16 11/26/03 Wed -- HBM, 20:38:20 11/26/03 Wed

And a hearty hail to you my friend.

I am reminded of a redneck (or was it a “cool papa bell”) quip? Can’t remember.

It went something like this" “Brutus say, Hail Caesar. Caesar say, why hail yes!"

Where have you been? You have been sorely missed

I just now asked Rex to send you my email address.

Yes darkness is again upon the face of the deep. Keep that machete handy.

Highest respect to you, my brother.

HBM

[Edit]


california merging with mexico -- qwerty, 19:28:47 11/26/03 Wed

i thought this may add a chuckle

===
"The governor would be open to reviewing legislation as long as it addresses security issues," Sollitto said, declining to be more specific.

Schwarzenegger pledged during the gubernatorial recall campaign that he would move to repeal SB 60, which was signed by former Gov. Gray Davis -- in an effort, critics contend, to attract Latino voters.

The new governor called the Legislature into special session to overturn the law within hours of his taking office last week.

Cedillo speculated Schwarzenegger would be willing to support a measure similar to one Davis vetoed in 2002. That bill would have allowed illegal immigrants in the process of obtaining legal status in the United States to qualify for a license once they had completed a criminal background check and submitted proof of employment.

===

if arnold does approve such a bill, it will essentially mean the border between mexico and california becomes just a formality that is essentially irrelevant

the california democrats and republicans take turns reaming the voters and selling out the country just like they do in washington, dc ... btw independents don't act much different either

[Edit]


Hail and Greetings................HBM -- HiHat, 17:42:16 11/26/03 Wed

HBM..........I attempted to e-mail you from
address obtained through REX,..way back when
..........message returned undelivered............

Wickedness....now so thick, you could cut it with
a knife......and we may have to...............

Hi and brotherly Regards.....to ALL

[Edit]


Sorrows of Empire............ -- HiHat, 17:28:03 11/26/03 Wed

"Although tyranny, because it needs no consent, may successfully rule over foreign peoples, it can stay in power only if it destroys first of all the national institutions of its own people."

Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism

"Four sorrows, it seems to me, are certain to be visited on the United States. Their cumulative effect guarantees that the U.S. will cease to resemble the country outlined in the Constitution of 1787. First, there will be a state of perpetual war, leading to more terrorism against Americans wherever they may be and a spreading reliance on nuclear weapons among smaller nations as they try to ward off the imperial juggernaut. Second is a loss of democracy and Constitutional rights as the presidency eclipses Congress and is itself transformed from a co-equal "executive branch" of government into a military junta. Third is the replacement of truth by propaganda, disinformation, and the glorification of war, power, and the military legions. Lastly, there is bankruptcy, as the United States pours its economic resources into ever more grandiose military projects and shortchanges the education, health, and safety of its citizens. All I have space for here is to touch briefly on three of these: endless war, the loss of Constitutional liberties, and financial ruin"

http://www.presentdanger.org/papers/sorrows2003.html

[Edit]


Woody says: -- RossL, 15:40:15 11/26/03 Wed

Massive buying in PM stocks today. Woody sez yeah! and happy Thanksgiving!

[Edit]


You guys don't play fair -- volavka, 10:43:58 11/26/03 Wed

I'm gonna quit.
Run it up and then bring it back to 396.00, you creeps.
Guess we'll just have to gap it up to punish you.

[Edit]


Let's see if the math rules today: -- volavka, 05:52:00 11/26/03 Wed

restricted trading cause 2 days off forthcoming.
So we have a mkt dec capped @ 396 breakout point, floor @ 387/388.

Mkt holds within today, then sunday nite/monday breakout to upside.

Watch, wait, and see:

[Edit]


There R No sacred Cows {or {gold} bulls} -- auspec, 21:54:53 11/25/03 Tue

PASSION....OBJECTIVITY........BIAS.......you must be the Judge.

While the pot is being stirred it might just be time to take a peek at possible angles of influence used by influential members of the "gold" community. We are constantly reading the works of the brightest in our market niche........men like James Turk, Ted Butler, John Hathaway, James Sinclair, Harry Schultz etc, etc. I absolutely love reading these and many more experts as they impart their knowledge and experience to the rest of us. For the most part they share freely and graciously what they have come to believe. A debt of grattitude is owed to them and I am most grateful. That being said there is more to carefully analyze.

The gold/silver market is also fraught with many dangers and entanglements & I would like to point out a few at the risk of stepping on a few toes, or hooves {smile}. There are few sacred cows or mammals for that matter here at ER. I am not picking on any of the people I mention in the rest of this article {except Sinclair}, just making sure that all potential disciples of these leaders remain as objective as possible.

Let's start with John Hathaway. His articles and insights are terriffic on thge gold market. He has decades of experience and knows gold as well as anyone. He also runs a gold mutual fund.........tis his livelihood. That's great, who else would you want to run a gold mutual fund. His track record is second to none and I believe him to be as objective as he possibly could be.......still...he runs a gold mutual fund. Simply something to be aware of imh&so. Do you expect him to ever come out with bearish gold projections other than a "pause" or a "breather"?

Let's look at Ted Butler. I get all worked up when one of his new articles comes out and have devoured them all. His attention to detail and tenacity are simply great. The downside...........he derives a living via promoting silver by writing for a coin company. Ted wrote basically in the same style and manner prior to joining up w this company and, for the most part, I believe he still remains true to his original convictions. Lately I have been a somewhat loud proponent of taking on the COMEX fraud by demanding they have sufficient product for delivery and actually recommending taking delivery there. Here's the potential conflict of interest w Ted. He's not for doing this because he believes, from what I understand, that COMEX is a historic institution in the US. Is it also difficult for him to recommend that anyone buy silver on COMEX instead of through some "dealer".........??? I can't say for sure but the potential conflict of interest is there. Am I wrong?

How about James Turk? One of the finest minds and men you will ever find, in my opinion. He is a pioneer in the gold-money field and of course, has his own related business. Does this make him unobjective? I don't really think so, but we must always "filter" what we hear and read from ANY source in order to remain free from potential bias.

How about the gold web sites that also sell product and have a strong handed approach to controlling editorial content? Do you really think they would go along with strong recommendations for buying CRIMEX gold via delivery, for one example, which might detract from their primary purpose? Those of us who have run afoul of commercial interests of internet gold web sites can attest to these problems. In some places, anything that is contrary to "house" interests is taboo, regardless of truth or merit. There is NOTHING quite like an open forum on a non-commercial web site.

The guys that I have the utmost admiration for are the various newsletter writers that make their living from promoting their investment ideas. WOW!! They better be right a great % of the time or they're CANCELLED!!! Some provide such expert commentary over decades or even generations that they can maintain a hugely devoted subscriber base. Legends like Richard Russell, Harry Schultz and many others. They sell their knowledge and advice............what could be a better example of free-market capitalism? Do some buy "product" prior to recommending same to subscribers? Sure they do, tis called "home cooking" and I want them to be invested in what they recommend. The best amongst them will have open disclosure policies about their own stock participations. the worst.........? Well, let's not go there.

How about Bill Buckler and his Privateer which sells absolutely nothing but knowledge and insights into the way the world actually works? Kudos!

What about our "ombudsman", Sir James? He gives of himself tirelessly for sure. He's a real bulldog and loves a fight.........a good one to hitch up the wagon to in many regards. Technical analysis extraordinaire. What's the pitfall? He's got a company to sell for one. He's also got a track record with the likes of Barrick and pretty much refuses to acknowledge that they are involved in blatant manipulations. It's just a "common interest" phenomenon. He's also hopelessly wedded to the derivative game himself.........Mr Gold has become Mr Paper as he has failed to stay abreast of the deeper shennanigans underlying the gold market. Elitist ties and ambitions of his own as well as a voracious ego. Grain of salt is required. He can rant and rave all he wants about his Tan Range being the only company honestly run or gold conferences having conflicts of interest, but I don't see him stepping up and defending his own practices of enticing gold players into derivative games. The man is a hopeless hypocrite who denounces others as being "elitist". I will persist in requesting that he defend his position of advocating paper derivatives on a crooked market instead of physical gold via COMEX or other delivery. Frankly, I don't think he even understands fully how the paper tail has been used to criminally wag the dog for YEARS! Myopia. His badmouthing of other gold companies and their executives is also apalling.

Me? I'm just a bit of a troublemaker and hopelessly flawed, as most humans are, myself. Calling them like I see them, hoping to resonate with a few.

Eyes wide OPEN, RIGHT?

[Edit]


Site down again today? -- Questioner, 20:18:24 11/25/03 Tue

Was this site down again today? Any one out there know the reason? Is it because of Voy being a low cost provider?
Is it because homeland security folks are after someone?
Am I being too paranoid?

Walk in balance, Questioner

[Edit]


GATA.............More Barrikk -- gata, 20:14:35 11/25/03 Tue

10p ET Tuesday, November 25, 2003

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Delightful speculation continues about Barrick Gold's
abrupt decision to stop hedging for 10 years.

This is offered by an expert especially respected by
GATA:

"Either Barrick Chairman Peter Munk took the wrong speech
with him to the London conference or Barrick's banks pulled
the plug.

"I suppose that it is also possible that Barrick is talking
up the gold price so the company can increase its hedge book.
But this isn't likely, because Barrick probably would do
that when the spotlight was shining on the company when it
was presenting at the conference, not the day after.

"In other words, I don't really think Munk grabbed the wrong
speech on his way out the door. Something happened overnight
to cause the about-face. A phone call from Barrick's bankers
is the most logical answer.

"As for that supposed urgent trip of Barrick CEO Greg Wilkins
to New Orleans. ... Well, Bourbon Street is a big draw to some
people. And the food is pretty good down there. Other than
that, I would just be speculating on motives."

Jim Sinclair has more comment on Barrick as well as several
short essays tonight:

http://www.jsmineset.com

Then there's a lot of interesting news out of the San
Francisco precious metals conference.

CBSMarketWatch Editor Thom Calandra is there and
interviews Bob Bishop of Gold Mining Stock Report on
gold's challenge at $400 and Bishop's recent trip to
inspect Nevsun's property in Eritrea:

http://cbs.marketwatch.com/tvradio/player.asp?guid={028291D8-56C7-
47F3-8CB8-CC8B1F4347E3}&siteid=mktw

Or try this abbreviated link:

http://ls.shapebyforce.com/sbf/354

Robert Friedland of Ivanhoe Mines made a presentation
in San Francisco that was reported in the Marin
Independent Journal:

http://www.marinij.com/Stories/0,1413,234~24407~1789838,00.html

MineWeb got comment in San Francisco about gold
prospects in Ghana:

http://www.mips1.net/mgf03.nsf/Current/80256DE10032DB9888256DE90008FE2
D?OpenDocument

Or try this abbreviated link:

http://ls.shapebyforce.com/sbf/355

MineWeb also got comment in San Francisco about
Harmony Gold's plans:

http://www.mips1.net/mgf03.nsf/Current/80256DE10032DB9880256DE90011B84
D?OpenDocument

Or try this abbreviated link:

http://ls.shapebyforce.com/sbf/356

Also of interest. ... NovaGold has won a listing on
the American Stock Exchange:

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/031125/255725_1.html

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

[Edit]


Micro-Analysis of Markets w a Personal Bias -- auspec, 19:24:38 11/25/03 Tue

"Gold didn't go up 2Day"
"The Dollar didn't go down 2Day"
"The Stock Market didn't collapse"
"Gold & the Buck didn't go in opposite directions"

Had to be the work of the cabal, the ESF or the PPT. There is no longer any such thing as normal market forces or ALL these markets would act according to my knowledge and desires.

Where do we draw the line w all this micro-analysis of markets on an hour to hour and day to day basis? At some point this type of commentary becomes a clanging gong show. I'm sorry if that offends some but it is entirely true and the truth is most often appropriate. The immediate gratification demands of the American psyche has permeated even the gold advocate crowd. It is beyond silly.

Better to step back, take a deep breath and look at the larger picture. All this day to day expectation and hype simply leads to weak hands bailing out on their positions on nearly a moment's notice.

Could it possible be that on some days gold simply has more buyers than sellers and that is sufficient explanation? Goldman Sachs and JPM are the scum of the earth as far as I'm concerned but is every singly gold transaction they undertake an act of conspiracy? They don't trade for anyone who might want to be short gold besides the USG and Friends?

When does this biased commentary become so over the top that it loses its impact? I'm all for enthusiasm and cheering on the faithful, but NO market is going to perform according to anyone's pre-conceived ideas ALL THE TIME. Yep, we see painting of the tape, coordinated selling of gold, market support via Index options, etc..........and all these need to be pointed out, BUT everything that doesn't go our way isn't automatically collusion. There is a danger in excessively painting a picture that is entirely too broad.

Enough already.

Just a few thoughts..............

[Edit]


What @Tai, can we expect... -- Gand, 19:08:13 11/25/03 Tue

...a six pack of Flinter beer to go for?

[Edit]


Ag ? Yikes! -- Galearis, 06:29:54 11/25/03 Tue

Something is happening in silver.....
http://www.kitco.com/images/live/silver.gif

G.

[Edit]


@All - "Eid Mubarak!!!" -- OmarD, 05:35:47 11/25/03 Tue











OmarD



[Edit]



"Expert Testimony"? -- auspec, 04:25:39 11/25/03 Tue

I'll bet Oliphant wouldn't like to be housed amongst the buggerers...........

[Edit]


Today's 100% UnManipulated "Price" -- CHARTs, 03:21:02 11/25/03 Tue

US$/POGUS$/POSEURO/POGU$D




LbS/POG London Fix LbS/POS



PLAT

PALL


[Edit]


Teflon Paint... Any Corner Will Do... -- Tai, 03:14:27 11/25/03 Tue

HBM, 08:29:33 11/24/03 Mon -- Says:

[snip]
Tai, I have been tracking the relationships of changes in the $USD, POG, and POS for quite some time. By my calculations, as
of 11/19/03, the $USD has fallen against the Euro in SDR equivalents by 13.5% since Dec. 31, 2002. During that same time
frame POG has risen by 13.4% and POS has risen by 10%.

The case is building rather strongly that the $USD and POG move inversely in lockstep with each other and the only real
abrogation from this established-by-God rule is, when TPTB enter into their manipulative activities. Because God has made this
irresistible rule of economics under the umbrella of His irresistible law of mathematics, all of these manipulations are of necessity
temporary in nature.

Tai, I believe that we agree in principle on this; however, you seem in the past to have taken the position that TPTB will be able
to continue the manipulation (in the same direction) indefinitely, or almost so. I contend that not only can we see the limits of this
manipulation by the numbers, but also, we can see end is very near. The best clue to the fact that the end is near is the
increasing volatility in these price swings. Of course I am not telling you anything that you do not already know.
[unsnip]

-and-

auspec, 15:08:49 11/24/03 Mon: -- Says:

[snip]
We can't even get Tai to see a LONG TERM inverse dollar/gold relationship, how can we expect him to believe the two
should behave in a particular pattern on a daily or even weekly basis?
[unsnip]

Hello Guys...

I'll try not to "swear" too much, so HBM won't need to flinch as he reads this.

...But, I swear, you guys are painting me into a corner which doesn't fit me.

Yes, I have said, often, that POG and US$ are not necessarily always "inverse".
Because they are not. Not short-term. Not long-term. Nor mid-term. EXAMine the
charts and histories of them and you cannot come to any other conclusion.

However, having said that, I'll consent that you are both right. At this time.

Yet, both of you should be prepared for what I asked originally: "Are you
prepared, then, to see $250 POG should the US$ rise (unexpectedly.?.) back up
to the "120" area vis-a-vis other fiats, Euro's notwithstanding.?."
Whatever that word means.

And, even "worse:, are you prepared to, someday, see $50 POG face value coins
circulate side by side with (gasp) a US$ fiat six times stronger than it is
nowadays, and sixty times more honest, as money, demanded by markets tired of
being fooled and conned worldwide out of their honest work, produce and value.

Countries, that nowadays, are haplessly locked into the fiat-pump-loop(s) and
cannot do any better themselves, with their own printing presses and pretty
colored papers. The US$ press is still top dog, because someone wants it that
way. Someone Powerful enough to -let's say- "insist" upon it.

The point is, my point, that there are many unseen and unwholesome and unfettered
forces at work constantly, pragmatically, to make these government fiats perform
magic that would make Pharaoh and Moses seem like kid's stuff.

Infact, were there no such forces suppressing "inflation" as much as they suppress
the POG, the Gold and Silver Eagle's face values would be about exactly what you'd
pay for them with bonafide real paper dollars. That is not the case...

Therefore, it is my contention, that those entities with the Power can, and will,
CONTINUE to make EITHER of them (POG or US$) go in ANY direction they prefer, when
they prefer it, whether we GoldBugs like it or not.

Until something changes. For the better. We are, I believe, nearing such a point.

Will it mean we'll see Gold to the Moon; or $30,000/oz; or forcasts inbetween.?.
No, I insist. We will see instead, reality; demanded; foreseen; and, US$50/oz Coins.
And 5-cent cigars. Yes.

Thanks for waking me up. Now, back to snoozing...

...Tai

[Edit]


ag&ag -- number six, 00:04:08 11/25/03 Tue

For you guys interested in agriculture as well as metals, itro.ob might be a stock you would like... they recycle photochemical waste, turning it into very good fertilizer, while reclaiming the silver. I personally am sick of waiting for them to get it together, and their shareprice is really stuck in an orbit around .15, but I would like to buy and hold some, oneday. Another good lead for diy farming etc is Permaculture by Bill Mollison. It's more the dreadlocked-aussie-hippie version of farming, rather than the Old MacDonald type, but it can produce amazing results....total garden of Edens with hundreds of edible species growing symbioticly, and with minimal energy inputs. There's a whole scene/cult grown up around it.

Now, about itro, they had some news recently which could be very important for silver. From more or less "same-store sales" they've had a big increase in the amount of photochemicals they're receiving, and they explain that this is because of large increases in the use of digital photography!

It would be seriously huge news for silver if it turns out that digital photography is leading to INCREASED consumption of silver rather than decreased, because this would kick away the only plausible idea that the silver bears ever had. Anyhow, read the thing..
--------------

Digital Imaging Increases Demand for Itronics' Photochemical Silver Recycling Services by 45 Percent in Third Quarter 2003
Tuesday November 18, 7:00 am ET

RENO, Nev., Nov. 18 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Itronics Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: ITRO; Frankfurt Stock Exchange: ITG) reported today that used silver-bearing photoliquid volumes received by its subsidiary, Itronics Metallurgical, Inc., were up 45 percent in the third quarter compared to the third quarter of 2002. The volumes in the first nine months this year were up 18 percent compared to the first nine months of 2002. The bulk of this growth is occurring within the Company's existing base of customers, including consumer color photo processing labs.


"The shift by consumers to increased use of digital imaging is significantly increasing the number of long-life, high-quality color prints being developed in the U.S.," said Dr. John Whitney, Itronics president. "This is directly increasing the amount of used photochemical liquids being generated. Any claim that digital photography would decrease our business has proven to be completely wrong."

more
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/031118/latu021_1.html

[Edit]


That's a BINGO -- auspec, 19:18:22 11/24/03 Mon

RossL steps back and takes a look @ the big picture. Oil for cheap gold. Not to be overlooked in the fiat vs gold battles. ALL economies supporting the fiat banana derive benefit also from available oil.

Winners:

Dollar
Global economies
Middle East Oilers
All GOLD accumulators

Losers:

{long term} Gold squanderers

Bingo Prize------A synthetic oil derivative {smile} or a Sinclair Paper Gold certificate

P.S. There was no joy in Oxford either Sat

[Edit]


@ Auspec -- RossL, 17:50:30 11/24/03 Mon

Saturday was a sad day for Buckeyes, but there's always next year. This year was a strange one and tainted by scandal.

As for Barrick, they will probably be bailed out since they have all the bigwigs on the board of directors, no? Or maybe Enron-ed?

I was re-reading the original "Another" and if there is a shred of truth to any of his story (I'm not talking about all the subsequent FOA noise) then the Barrick tale fits in.

The bigwigs are managing the gold price to keep oil under control, this was "Anothers" original message. Easy gold for the Saudis in return for tho oil coming out of ther spigot.

If there is a shred of truth to any of that story then it now means the controls are coming off both gold and oil and a new era is dawning.

What better way to control gold than to use Barrick and it's hedgebook? Why are Bush and all those CFR guys on the board of a gold mine anyway?

[Edit]


ScuttleButt{ox Gold} -- auspec, 16:56:21 11/24/03 Mon

From LeMet w permission:

No matter how you look at it, Barrick’s stunning reversal of their hedging policy last Friday is very bullish for the reasons discussed in Friday’s MIDAS. The buzz in the gold world is about what happened to Barrick between Thursday and Friday? There is only one explanation in my book. It has to have something to do with the Blanchard & Co. case. What we know:

*Barrick’s Peter Munk unexpectedly announced a change in Barrick’s hedging policy from one day to the next, coming across like a chairman who either can’t make up his mind, or was suddenly TOLD what to say.

*CEO Wilkins was supposed to be speak in London, but left for New Orleans on "urgent business" according to MineWeb. New Orleans Federal District Court is where the gold manipulation court case has gone into the Discovery phase.

*I have been told Barrick has learned of the expert witnesses who will be called to testify against them and they were stunned. I have also been informed there is discussion about some damning emails. This is only conjecture as I received this information second-hand, but it comes from a good source and it all fits. You don’t tell the world how great hedging is one day and then do a complete about face the next day without a compelling reason.

*One of the objectives of the Blanchard case is to seek immediate injunctive relief from Barrick, which is a demand they lift their hedges. Perhaps Barrick and Blanchard are working on a settlement, with one of the stipulations being an immediate cessation of hedging.

*Barrick extolled hedging at $300, but is giving it up at $400, not just now but for the next 10 years. Very strange to say the least. Something has to be wrong.

*Barrick is cutting all non-essential spending world-wide. That screams cash flow pinch. What’s causing the cash crunch? Could scared bankers be cutting their credit lines?

END

*******************************************

Comments: Barrick also is a major silver hedger, fyi. The problem with Blanchard and its case is that they might just settle it, being they are so newly outside the box. Wasn't too long ago they were scorned for being basically clueless in regards to the gold market. Obviously their learning curve has a more productive slope than Mr. Paper's.

Barrick and Bre-X, Barrick and Silver, Barrick and hedging, Barrick and JPM, Barrick and Bush, Barrick and spooks, Barrick and our "ombudsman" Sinclair, Barrick & the Queen {haha}........not many FOB's {Friends Of Barrick} are friends of mine. They can have a few of my juniors so I can process their paper, otherwise I'd rather not make deals w the devil. They are a giant hedge fund, meaning a derivative factory.........derivatives, theirs included, are the major tools of our current central planning created out of the Likes of Mary Shelley's famous novel. Only a ranking insider can be an apologist for Barrick, imh&so.

BARRICK...........you are the veekest link. GOODBYE!!

[Edit]


650.00 1-1-04 -- volavka, 16:27:09 11/24/03 Mon

count down.

[Edit]


HBM re Gold & Dollar Relationships -- auspec, 15:08:49 11/24/03 Mon

Hello Friend! Personally I don't like to "micro-analyze" the gold/dollar relationship..........that is....try to make it fit into preconceived patterns on a daily basis. That is exactly what Wall street does every day when there are simply more sellers than buyers or more buyers than sellers, yet they have to project some immediate term rationale for exactly WHY this has transpired. Is Pavlov's dog hungry or did he just hear a bell? Know what I mean?

We can't even get Tai to see a LONG TERM inverse dollar/gold relationship, how can we expect him to believe the two should behave in a particular pattern on a daily or even weekly basis? It becomes nothing more than commentary, in fact it's immediate gratification commentary American style.

Gold Up.....Dollar Up
Gold Down...Dollar Down
Gold Up.....Dollar Down
Gold Down...Dollar Up

These are all perfectly normal market gyrations, imho, for a short term market basis. Bill Murphy's job is to privide analysis and commentary for short term market movements; frankly, it's not a job I envy. These entities are simply not on an absolute teeter totter, they merely have an historical statistical correlation.

We, myself included, are so dollar conscious that it's hard to think in terms of gold in relationship to other currencies. Turk's recent charts of gold in numerous other curriencies was a powerful tool, no? THAT is big picture and those are powerful charts telling a most bullish international picture for gold. Most likely, not many of us believe those patterns will resolve in a manner unfavorable to us gold advocates.

Short term expectations often lead to major disappointments. I simply expect gold to continue to do what it has vs. the banana over the last couple years. The trend is your friend {now where did I hear that before?}. The dollar/gold historical inverse relationship will have its day {smile} in the end. If anyone knows of macro events that are dollar positive I'd love to hear them. That is sufficient reason to hold gold long term. That is exactly what the vast majority of Americans don't comprehend.

Your imput is always appreciated.

a

P.S. Your $1T budget deficit prediction {is that right? If not I'll claim it} isn't going to be too far off this fiscal year. Privateer is all over it.

[Edit]


Flinter -- SLATT, 11:16:33 11/24/03 Mon

No not at all. I see value exchanged for value in the future. The sun allegory was a reference to gold. Sorry to be so obtuse. I've been putting up wood for the past few days and I'm "bushed".

[Edit]


Mad Farmer Disease -- Flinter, 09:47:43 11/24/03 Mon

Well ET, now you’ve done it. Got me going on Wendell Berry (again).
(If I could just teach the guy that a fiat currency and capitalism are mutually excluseive.
Though fiat and fascism get along famously.)

Enjoy,
Flinter

Fair Use Clause of International Copyright Law 


Manifesto:
The Mad Farmer Liberation Front

by Wendell Berry

Love the quick profit, the annual raise,
vacation with pay. Want more
of everything ready-made. Be afraid
to know your neighbors and to die.

And you will have a window in your head.
Not even your future will be a mystery
any more. Your mind will be punched in a card
and shut away in a little drawer.

When they want you to buy something
they will call you. When they want you
to die for profit they will let you know.

So, friends, every day do something
that won't compute. Love the Lord.
Love the world. Work for nothing.
Take all that you have and be poor.
Love someone who does not deserve it.

Denounce the government and embrace
the flag. Hope to live in that free
republic for which it stands.
Give your approval to all you cannot
understand. Praise ignorance, for what man
has not encountered he has not destroyed.

Ask the questions that have no answers.
Invest in the millenium. Plant sequoias.
Say that your main crop is the forest
that you did not plant,
that you will not live to harvest.

Say that the leaves are harvested
when they have rotted into the mold.
Call that profit. Prophesy such returns.
Put your faith in the two inches of humus
that will build under the trees
every thousand years.

Listen to carrion -- put your ear
close, and hear the faint chattering
of the songs that are to come.
Expect the end of the world. Laugh.
Laughter is immeasurable. Be joyful
though you have considered all the facts.
So long as women do not go cheap
for power, please women more than men.

Ask yourself: Will this satisfy
a woman satisfied to bear a child?
Will this disturb the sleep
of a woman near to giving birth?

Go with your love to the fields.
Lie down in the shade. Rest your head
in her lap. Swear allegiance
to what is nighest your thoughts.

As soon as the generals and the politicos
can predict the motions of your mind,
lose it. Leave it as a sign
to mark the false trail, the way
you didn't go.

Be like the fox
who makes more tracks than necessary,
some in the wrong direction.
Practice resurrection.

[Edit]


@E.T. @SLATT -- Flinter, 09:08:25 11/24/03 Mon

Hi Folks,

ET:

It’s hard to recommend specifid books, Berry especially paints a huge mural. I’ll give it a whirl:
Berry: Home Econcomics
Logsden: The Contrary Farmer

Check out the web, if interested. For example here is an essay by Berry on War:

http://www.futurenet.org/20spirituality/berry.htm

“I’m still trying to decide how this might shakeout on the US vs. other producers with the currency thing thrown in there. I think perhaps that US producers might stand to gain vs. the other guys. Any thoughts?”

Oh, I have plenty of thoughts on this, question is are they worth a damn. SLATT, for instance, has some in his recent posts.


SLATT:
It sounds like you are saying that the “Strong dollar” era will continue indefinitely and the resources of the world will continue to flow to the US for fiat promises. Least that's how I interpret it.

That’s one possibility, I suppose.


Best to you each,
Flinter

[Edit]


Bankers/lawyers/politicians -- volavka, 08:38:16 11/24/03 Mon

Will continue to rape you:

new form:

http://www.trakrs.com/

[Edit]


Tai, dottie, auspec, all --see auspec @ 04:29:20 11/24/03 Mon -- HBM, 08:29:33 11/24/03 Mon

Excerpt from Sinclair quote:

…“Now let’s look at the strange market action of gold on Friday. When you review the three minute chart of gold posted here, you will note that the rise in gold from the time of the announcement of Mr. Munk’s reversal of his previously stated position on hedging until the high was reached was one hour and six minutes. It was slow and orderly in form.

"The time required when Goldman entered the market as a seller hitting every bid in sight at consecutive sales to lower levels took but 15 minutes. It was clearly not orderly.

"A review of the US dollar chart with which gold has been trading in a virtually lock-step relation did nothing that would validate a violent line of selling at consecutively lower levels."

HBM comment:

I did not need Mr. Sinclair to tell me the above which is emphasized in bold. Friday was only one of several instances in which the lock-step inverse moves between the $USD and gold have been abrogated. The abrogation goes both ways. There have been short periods also when gold has risen simultaneously with the rise in the $USD.

IMO, when the $USD falls or stays the same while gold falls, the culprit is very simply, “the manipulation of either or both markets by TPTB to stave of the inevitable loss of friendly hind ends.” When the $USD rises simultaneously with a rise in POG, it is generally the result of the backing off from manipulation temporarily to relieve the pressure they have caused. This is a must for them in their quest to keep the POG rise and the $USD fall as orderly as possible.

I can’t wait for the day when they finally get themselves positioned to profit from the fall of the $USD and the rise of POG and OIL. Soon, soon.

Tai, I have been tracking the relationships of changes in the $USD, POG, and POS for quite some time. By my calculations, as of 11/19/03, the $USD has fallen against the Euro in SDR equivalents by 13.5% since Dec. 31, 2002. During that same time frame POG has risen by 13.4% and POS has risen by 10%.

The case is building rather strongly that the $USD and POG move inversely in lockstep with each other and the only real abrogation from this established-by-God rule is, when TPTB enter into their manipulative activities. Because God has made this irresistible rule of economics under the umbrella of His irresistible law of mathematics, all of these manipulations are of necessity temporary in nature.

Tai, I believe that we agree in principle on this; however, you seem in the past to have taken the position that TPTB will be able to continue the manipulation (in the same direction) indefinitely, or almost so. I contend that not only can we see the limits of this manipulation by the numbers, but also, we can see end is very near. The best clue to the fact that the end is near is the increasing volatility in these price swings. Of course I am not telling you anything that you do not already know.

Dottie, concerning Sinclair, I take what I can use from him and spit out the rest. The above quote from him, especially the portion in bold, shows that he is smart enough at least to admit to the glaring facts. The glaring fact is that POG and $USD will move in lockstep inversely over any period in excess of the short-term manipulations of TPTB.

Do not take my comments to mean that I am a fan of Sinclair’s. I read almost anything I can get my mind on. I have an insatiable thirst for information. About the only thing that causes me to pass over information is when the information is presented in a distasteful (to me) way. If profanity is unduly used or filth (as I see it) is forced upon my eyes or ears, I just try to avoid future communications from those people.

My reason is religious in nature. As far as is within me I simply try to abstain from all appearance of evil (as I see it).

HBM

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Flinter -- SLATT, 08:00:00 11/24/03 Mon

"If I may, could I add a question, SLATT?

Why would the rest of the world flood the US will products? (or continue to). In exchange for what?"

If we are talking ag here then I would say because we represent a large market for year round produce. And because productive ag capacity has always been a necessary pillar of strength for all nations so blessed.

And we approach the day in which value is exchanged for value. I value sunshine in both wavelength and solid form. While many covet the wavelength variety so too will they demand the solid variety!

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ET -- SLATT, 07:42:56 11/24/03 Mon

SLATT -- ET, 20:13:42 11/21/03 Fri

"What effect do you see the coming dollar decline as having on the farming scene? I would think that relatively, the cost of production in the US could actually be pretty low. Producers here suffer from an exaggerated currency value. As the dollar declines, do you think that farming will once again become a profitable enterprise? Should we all be buying farmland on the cheap over the next few years as overleveraged players sell at distressed prices?"

Good to see you around here!

I have no idea how the future of our currency will effect the profitability of farming. Too many variables of the political variety both domestic and foreign.

I see the trend in ag-biz developing just as the stock markets since 1982. The trend is always bigger. Yet the product isn't getting better. In fact the product is declining in both $ and food value. And competition is becoming fierce.

I view high quality ag land as the best long term investment available. Just as the stocks P/E are ignored in a stocks valuation, so is the true quality of ag land. The true quality of ag land is its productive capacity for high quality food. Today we mass produce food, but not high quality food.

Valuation has to start with the soil itself. Most farmland in the US is severely degraded in nutrients, tilth, and soil. All three lead to declining yields and an inferior nutritional product. What is generally accepted as good farmland today I believe tomorrow will be seen as poor. Large tracts of the farmland that have all three positive soil attributes are very rare in areas not requiring irrigation. But the land still exists. And at tremendously undervalued prices.

I do see farming becoming a profitable endeavor in the future. I do not believe organic farming will demand the prices currently received. Rather I see the consumers demanding the nutritional baseline to be raised. While that should equate to greater opportunity for small organic farms, it will also hurt overall domestic produce sales. The family garden plot will come back with a vengeance. Most people can grow high value produce at home given the nutritional/monetary incentive. The organic operations will have to be plugged into a large urban market in order to prosper. Grain production will have to remain in the realm of Big Ag while domestic consumption for food decreases. Yet Big ag grain production for fuel or other industrial uses further degrades the land, increasing the value of high quality land.

I think every one needs to evaluate a purchase of farmland based upon their own set of criteria. I insist upon high quality soil, climate, water, improvements, standing timber for fuel, mineral potential, and location for an eye towards both ag market access and future real estate sales.

In general a good rule of thumb is that land which was passed by the settlers by 1890 is land to stay away from if high quality sustainable, profitable, ag production is desired. Poor land back then is worse now. And high quality farmland that has been urbanized will remain too costly to rehabilitate.

Speaking about the nutritional value of cropland, I see it as a growth opportunity for PMs. The day will come when PMs and other off the radar depleted nutrients will be applied to degraded ag land as a necessity of doing business due to the grading of the nutritional content of the food rather than simple eye appeal.

And then there is always the opportunity to ingratiate yourself to the new neighbors. I can dig farming in the nude while putting my hog pen upwind of a certain dentist. Now if my neighbor was the honey king I would be more accomodating with the hog pen while farming in the nude only on the night shift. (Big toothy SMILE!)

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