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Subject: Some pricing analysis 25/11--26/11


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 22:39:01 11/25/02 Mon


Subject: Some pricing analysis--25/11/02


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 13:00:22 11/24/02 Sun

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ERG ASX 0.160 0.165 0.155 N/A 0.000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 7:51:48 Buy | Sell

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--9:46:02 20820 0.16 25/11/02


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 14:52:51 11/24/02 Sun
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--25/11/02" on 14:52:51 11/24/02 Sun

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Time Units Price Time Units Price
25/11/02 9:48:33 20820 0.16 25/11/02 9:46:02 20820 0.16

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--22/11---25/11


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 21:48:47 11/24/02 Sun
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--9:46:02 20820 0.16 25/11/02" on 21:48:47 11/24/02 Sun

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO 22/11/2002
------------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
246 6,911,945 16 15.6
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25/11/2002
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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
158 3,451,116 15.5 15.9
-----------------------------------------------------------

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--Early October---25/11 15.5--14.944452314---15c


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 21:56:11 11/24/02 Sun
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--22/11---25/11" on 21:56:11 11/24/02 Sun

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At the lowest point of 15.5--this would work out to be 41,486,967 times 40c---equalling 16,594,78680 if ERG has paid them already and the entity has overshot it's budget--ie one of two things happened on October 1st---either ERG paid the noteholders the interest payment---or the noteholders agreed at some date--either then or by October the 15th to become shareholders.
All up the noteholders have to get back 22.8 mill---so to subtract 16,594,7860 from 22.8 leaves 6.2 mill rounded---therefore if they are now shareholders and they intended to sell (I don't think they will--as Motorola for one is not in financial difficulty anymore--and the other two are alliance partners and have a long term vision)---if they did though--the equation works out at a minimum price of 14.944452314---15c rounded---with the share price having recently been 15.5---not many went through at 15.5---unless it was an off market transaction (ie a crossing) and it is not recorded till later
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Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 10.20am---16 -- anonymous, 15:46:44 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 11.10am---16.02 -- anonymous, 16:33:52 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 12.50am---16 -- anonymous, 18:13:52 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 1.31pm---16 -- anonymous, 18:55:31 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 2.41pm---15.97 -- anonymous, 20:11:42 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 3.39pm---15.91 -- anonymous, 21:00:55 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 4.05pm---15.9 -- anonymous, 21:17:15 11/25/02 Mon
Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 4.05pm---15.86 -- anonymous, 21:28:09 11/25/02 Mon

Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 10.20am---16


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 15:46:44 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--Early October---25/11 15.5--14.944452314---15c" on 15:46:44 11/25/02 Mon

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Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
29 565,447 16.5 16
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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 11.10am---16.02


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 16:33:52 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 10.20am---16" on 16:33:52 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
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Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
46 1,119,366 16 16.02

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 12.50am---16


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 18:13:52 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 11.10am---16.02" on 18:13:52 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
----------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
64 1,287,339 16 16

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 1.31pm---16


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 18:55:31 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 12.50am---16" on 18:55:31 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
72 1,435,339 16 16
* Volume Weighted Average Price

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 2.41pm---15.97


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 20:11:42 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 1.31pm---16" on 20:11:42 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
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Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
82 1,548,382 15.5 15.97

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 3.39pm---15.91


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 21:00:55 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 2.41pm---15.97" on 21:00:55 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
------------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
91 1,775,373 15.5 15.91

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 4.05pm---15.9


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 21:17:15 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 3.39pm---15.91" on 21:17:15 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ASX 0.155 0.160 0.155 291,127 0.000 N/A 1,831,548 0.160 0.165 0.155 16:01:10 Buy | Sell

16.01pm
-----------------------------------------
ERG ASX 0.155 0.160 0.140 291,127 0.000 N/A 1,831,548 0.160 0.165 0.155 16:02:01 Buy | Sell

16.02pm
----------------------------------------
ERG ASX 0.155 0.155 0.160 315,016 0.000 N/A 1,985,665 0.160 0.165 0.155 16:05:44 Buy | Sell

16.05pm
-----------------------------------------
ERG ERG Ltd FPO
-----------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
94 1,829,273 15.5 15.9

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Subject: Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 4.05pm---15.86


Author:
anonymous
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Date Posted: 21:28:09 11/25/02 Mon
In reply to: anonymous 's message, "Re: Some pricing analysis--26/11/2002---vwap at 4.05pm---15.9" on 21:28:09 11/25/02 Mon

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ERG ERG Ltd FPO
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total Trades Total Volume Last Trade V.W.A.P*
106 1,985,665 15.5 15.86

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Replies:
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Re: Some pricing analysis 25/11--27/11anonymous01:31:12 11/27/02 Wed


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