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Subject: 暫時預測賽日會跑好至快地,結合卡士單講馬以灰燕子最好,但愚見騎者作客大賽未必助這只在主場贏過頭馬的佳駟取勝.緬甸皇城同具卡士但有與灰燕子同一缺點,騎師在英愛馬場跑打折扣,但未失過三甲的馬可保位置.愛什麼哩半氣量有疑,紐百利馬場一千米長直路是真正考驗馬力,無法偷雞.Eswarah始終未輸過,加上受讓十五磅也可一戰.其他次好馬個人會較憧憬有一級班底的無敵駒跑入冷位,不過會面對現實機會很渺茫.


Author:
Lincoln
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Date Posted: 01:41:49 07/22/05 Fri
Author Host/IP: pcd418082.netvigator.com/203.218.208.82
In reply to: Lincoln 's message, "排位表(見內文)" on 00:49:09 07/22/05 Fri
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Replies:
Subject Author Date
順序喜歡3.緬甸皇城,6.灰燕子及12.Eswarah. (NT)Lincoln
(pcd418082.netvigator.com/203.218.208.82)		01:43:05 07/22/05 Fri
    同意Lincoln兄分析及見解. 看過Racecard及外圍倍率,今仗頭馬好像真的離不開三匹熱門! 不過再細心去想想,其實它們各有隱憂,如大熱Azamour始終未有哩半長力根據,Bago似要在法國才交出最佳水準(出外爭全是位置),而Grey Swallow亦也未曾在英國馬場勝出,在值搏率不高下,投注它們winner的真要三思! 反而Eswarah相對較有根據,因已在Newbury好快地上兩度贏馬,血統及賽績已proven其長力,大家只懷疑這匹unbeaten馬女是否夠級數爭勝,但今仗它在WFA下有受讓15磅之優勢,現英國外圍book它8倍為第四熱門亦頗看好其機會. 從搏彩角度看是較值搏的一匹,因此最後推介Eswarah單W/P. 看看那15磅有是否成為今仗勝負的關鍵! (NT)kk/richard
    (NoHost/202.71.202.202)    		15:17:27 07/22/05 Fri

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