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Sunday, April 19, 11:33:01pm [ Login ] [ Contact Forum Admin ] [ Main index ] [ Post a new message ] [ Search | Check update time | Archives: [1] ]

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Date Posted: 12:15:34 08/09/04 Mon
Author: The_Cycloman_PR
Subject: NHC special disturbance statement

Se emitio un boletin especial sobre la onda tropical en el este del Caribe. Barbados reporto rafagas de 53mph, y hay reportes de presiones bajando en las islas...


000
WONT41 KNHC 091351
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
945 AM EDT MON AUG 9 2004

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED JUST EAST OF TOBAGO IN THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVERALL THIS
MORNING...AND SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. BARBADOS REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH DURING
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.

THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CENTER.
HOWEVER...IF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WAVE
AXIS...THEN A CLOSED CIRCULATION COULD FORM AND THE SYSTEM COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR OVER MUCH OF
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECASTER STEWART

...No hay signos de una circulacion cerrada en los bajos niveles pero podria ser posible que se desarrolle una. Un avion de reconocimiento esta pautado para visitar el sistema manana. La onda a desarrollado una impresionante area convectiva sobre Martinica y Dominica. Vea el tropical weather outlook a continuacion.

PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS/TPC CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT LUNES 9 DE AGOSTO DE 2004

PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

LOS REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL DOS ESTAN CENTRALIZADOS EN EL
EXTREMO SURESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO COMO A 75 MILLAS AL NORTE DE LA
COSTA DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. AUNQUE LOS VIENTOS EN LA ALTA
ATMOSFERA SE HAN TORNADO UN POCO MENOS FAVORABLE...ESTE SISTEMA
CONTINUA MUESTRA DE ORGANIZACION Y PODRIA RE-DESARROLARSE EN UN
CICLON TROPICAL A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A
ALREDEDOR DE 10 MPH. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA
FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO PARA INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA ESTA
TARDE.

LA FUERTE ONDA TROPICAL EN LA VECINDAD DE TOBAGO SE ESTA MOVIENDO
HACIA EL OESTE A 20 A 25 MPH. AUNQUE LAS OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE
NO INDICAN UNA CIRCULACION CERRADA EN ESTOS MOMENTOS...ESTE SISTEMA
ESTA BIEN ORGANIZAD0 Y TIENE POTENCIAL PARA DESARROLLARSE EN UN CICLON
TROPICAL MAS TARDE HOY. AUN SI UN CICLON NO SE FORMARA...ES PROBABLE
QUE OCURRAN TURBONADAS CON ALGUNAS RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS DE HASTA FUERZA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO HOY...ESPECIALMENTE
SOBRE TERRENO ALTO. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE UNA UNIDAD DE LA
RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA PROGRAMADO PARA INVESTIGAR LA ONDA EL
MARTES. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN EL MAR CARIBE ORIENTAL Y CENTRAL DEBEN
DE SEGUIR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS
DOS DIAS.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
HASTA PASADO EL MARTES.

PRONOSTICADOR PASCH

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Cycloman.

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