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Date Posted: 20:57:40 07/31/04 Sat
Author: The_Cycloman_PR
Subject: Discusion del tropico 8pm onda tropical 31W

Han introducido la onda de la 31 finalmente en la discusion del tropico mas reciente. Segun NHC la onda tiene vientos fuertes del este en los altos niveles "Easterly winds" lo que provoca que la convecion o tronadas de la onda esten al oeste de su eje. Esto por el momento NO es favorable para su desarrollo pero, en el mismo parrafo tambien se pronostica que los "easterly winds" van a disminuir pronto permitiendo entonces que el desarrollo convectivo de la onda sea sobre su eje. Si sucede como se ha pronosticado entonces pronto esta onda podria tener exelentes oportunidades de fortalecimiento!

"Stay Tuned"

Cycloman

Discusion del tropico de la onda...INGLES

EAST ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 31W S OF 16N MOVING
W 15-20 KT WITH A 1012 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 11N. THE WAVE
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP EASTERLY FLOW...BUT UPPER LEVEL WINDS
ARE RATHER STRONG AND HAVE PRODUCED 20-25 KT OF ELY SHEAR OVER
THE SYSTEM. THUS...TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW/WAVE HAVE BEEN
FOCUSED W OF THE AXIS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
8N-13N BETWEEN 32W-36W. THE SHEAR SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX SOMEWHAT
AS THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL ATLC...WITH THE TSTMS TENDING
TO CONSOLIDATE CLOSER TO THE WAVE AXIS.

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