Re: One Week Till Tip Off - Predictions? -- Fairfield Stags Hoops Forum

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Date Posted: 12:06:07am 11/11/05 Fri,
Author: JCM
Subject: Re: One Week Till Tip Off - Predictions?
In reply to: Stagman 's message, "One Week Till Tip Off - Predictions?" on 09:13:24pm 11/10/05 Thu,

I think Stagman really got it right.

I am really concerned about the out of conference schedule. I'm afraid 2-7 is a real possibility. I'm hopeful we can go 3-6 and I would consider 4-5 a major coup.

When the Maac season roles along I think the stags will fair well. I think they will finish either 12-6 or 13-5, but the maac is well balanced and anything from 10-8 to 14-4 seem realistic possiblities. The two powerforwards MD2 well be key to the stags resurgence in the maac portion of the schedule.

I expect the stags to have a winning season with 15-17 wins by the end of the maac tournement.

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Replies:

[> Re: One Week Till Tip Off - Predictions? -- Stagman, 07:41:12am 11/11/05 Fri, [1]

My prediction is with Maxwell coming back. Even with Max, I think the Stags struggle mightily with their out of conference schedule. I'm not sure that there is even one OOC game we go into as a favorite.

I'm really hoping that O'Sullivan, Middleton, Hawkins can provide something in the middle. The reality is that they are all severely inexperienced. The reports that they have looked good in pre-season intrasquad scrimmages is virtually meaningless since they are playing against each other (i.e. If MOS looks really good, is it because he has improved or because Middleton can't play D?)

Unless they have really improved (MOS & Middleton), opponents should really take it to the hoop against us. End result? A team shooting layups and a lot of free throws usually beats a team shooting three pointers.

I hope that I'm wrong, but I fear that the imbalance between frontcourt and backcourt is really going to hurt.

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[> [> Maxwell -- SonofDoc, 08:04:33am 11/11/05 Fri, [1]

Even if Maxwell comes back, is it realistic to hope he will be as effective/more effective after the suspension?

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[> [> [> Re: Maxwell -- JoeStag, 09:30:24am 11/11/05 Fri, [1]

Stagman, I agree that we cannot win by just shooting 3-pointers. We have to get to the hoop and get fouled, but I do not think its going to be by low-posting a big man like MOS and Middleton..... its not their game. The inside scoring will have to come from guards like Todd, Han and Herbie driving to the hoop and either scoring inside or dishing off to a MOS/Carter/Max/Mamadou/Reedal for inside hoops/fouls. I think we will be able to go inside like that, and with pick and roles..... and be successfull

But I would not minimize the loss of Max. He is a 3rd team All MAAC, but at times he is the best player on the court, takes over games and plays like a first team player..... and he has played at that highest level for at least 6 games a year.... which I would equate to 6 wins a year. But Son of Doc is right that Max could be rusty. I think he might be able to practice before Dec22, and then he has got a week of practice, then a game vs Cal State-Northridge, before the MAAC Season. I would expect him to provide impact right of way. All indications are that he will be eligible.

I agree with JCM that we will be significantly better come MAAC season because of the easier MAAC and Max....... but we also are getting Mamadou, and he should help right of way.

So we got the following predictions:
12-15
14-13
15 to 17 wins including tourney

Anybody else going to step out on a limb.

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