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Date Posted: 08/20/15 4:27:56pm Thu
Author: Maven
Subject: Re: How much of a game we make in the 1st 2 and 50% for Yale
In reply to: pigskin 's message, "Re: How much of a game we make in the 1st 2 and 50% for Yale" on 08/20/15 12:11:01pm Thu

>>Playing Navy and New Hampshire tough and not getting
>>blown out is more meaningful than just acknowledging
>>the probability of winning the game.
>>
>> I.E., Navy 30 'gate 21 ( Competitive for full game,
>>few big mistakes, no major injuries, and we become
>>cohesive and better as a team from the competition )
>> NH 21 'gate 10 ( Competitive for full game,
>>few big mistakes and no major injuries and we become
>>cohesive and better as a team from the competition )
>> 'gate 27 Yale 26
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>Predictions for Navy, New Hampshire and Yale?
>>>
>>>Making wild guesses regarding the probability of
>>>winning each game (5% for Navy, 20% for New
>Hampshire,
>>>and 50% for Yale) and doing some multiplication
>>>predicts a 38% chance Colgate will be 0-3 going into
>>>the Holy Cross game.
>>>
>>>I may have given us too good a chance against Navy,
>>>but a boy can dream. Do the New Hampshire and Yale
>>>probabilities seem fair?
>
>Likely first game mistakes and jitters will hurt us vs
>Navy. I see a 35-7 loss. UNH we recover a bit after a
>week of correcting some glitches but Catamounts just
>too strong - looks like a 32-14 loss. Yale has
>possibilities. Is this their first game of season? If
>so we have a chance. I see a possible upset on our
>home turf, 21-17. In any case this is all a tuneup for
>HC and the PL schedule.


1-2. Beat Yale and give good efforts vs Navy and UNH.

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