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Date Posted: Saturday, July 05, 01:16:43pm
Author: Peacock
Subject: Kind of intersting.
In reply to: loyal 's message, "Re: More on Sutton" on Saturday, July 05, 10:28:37am

Without taking into account the coaching issue, I have found some serious doubters. Least of which is the rest of the MAAC fans. I have never felt that last years team was as poor as they showed and do believe that this year’s additions address various faults in that team. The problem is this.

I projected 10-12 wins last season and one sees how far that was off. Many others also felt that was a reasonable expectation. Now this season many think getting to 10-12 is a stretch. Now this is premised on their analysis of the total team. I personally don't think it is a stretch but since I was wrong last season I won't get too strong this year. However the problem then becomes that this is your team for the next two seasons with no additions other than Conley if it goes as printed in the public press.

Based on last season we are potentially in a position to lose a scholarship for last year’s team. Three points were deducted from the total and if one more player leaves it would go to four which would drop us below the 925. Now this all supposes that no other points were lost for unknown academic performance, for if there was we would definitely lose a ship. Now it is complex and the timings of any leavings effect the levy, but we get 52 points in a 13 ship year. We have lost one and possibly two for Hogga on retention and if he wasn't up to snuff academically a second one. It appears Orta left school after the season so he most likely failed that semester and also did not graduate giving us two points. Now if Orta can be remedied, we would be in luck, but that would be for a more informed person. So you can see why , what you see now as the team is the team for the next two years. One figures Traore's ship goes to Conley and if we get penalized for last season, someone will have to leave the team next year.

So I find it very pessimistic for those who can not see us winning 10-12 next year or potentially going 500 in the MAAC, yet think we are two years away. I for one don't feel that bad, but would like to hear from those who carry much distress over the performances so far shown by the team and why two years is the projection with little added than what you know already. My personal opinion is that we rise quite a lot this season and become a contender the following year.

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[> [> [> [> [> Re: Kind of intersting. -- oldtimer#1, Saturday, July 05, 02:05:32pm [1]

I also projected a 10-12 win season last year. Whether it was coaching or a combination of things including Orta's injury and disappearance, Hogga's and Bacon's problems or the realization that some of the recruits were overhyped, what happened, happened.

What makes me most cautious for this year is that the lessons of projecting performance without seeing the recruits perform in a D1 competition were well learned last year. However, I think that we now have a handle on what each of last year's players can contribute. The new additions seem to fit areas we were lacking. Thus put me in the optimistic camp in that this should be a much better and stronger team than what took the floor for us last season. Anxious to see how the newbies look on the court and how well the pieces are put together.Thru all of this the players seem remarkably upbeat and I am told are working hard in the off season.

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