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Date Posted: 11:58:04 12/23/99 Thu
Author: Jay
Subject: Patty, I agree. The only variable that determines anything besides the "no bad news"

effect seems to be if CNBC & CNNfn don't ignore it or bash it/ report it in a wek light. Otherwise I think you are right & sooner or later they all have a moment when they POP. It may still be way too soon to see what can make 1 vs another sustain the high or grow up further. But I do agree. I just do the sam eas you 7 focus on a handful that have no bad news & appear to be solid enough to do well.

My #1 indicator & #2 are intertwined, that is:
1- their business has to be hot or a forever, type business, ie tech or switches & buttons.

#2- They have to have significant rev.s or explosive rev, growth & a declining loss line. I will look at 1 that simply has huge revenue, w/ psome profit or potential and DOES have an expanding loss line but it is slowing & being way outpaced by rev & profitability gains.

on your picks, I assume you wanted my opinion. You already knw how much i like IMAN. Didya see the bounce up off 32 intraday today. Glad I wasn't paying attention or I woulda died. and forgot it was a buying oppty. I really need to sell something to generate some bucks to accumulate more of this 1. I will probably in the grave holding this SOB & it still banging around in the low 30s. haha. oh well.

ECTX is another 1 I like but am starting to doubt it will pick up steam. Since Harmon liked it, it should be solid here & go up in time. It has an overly specialized market niche, but you know those israli telco/tech co.s. Sooner or later.!!!

ASDS, still sick I had on 230 shares. got lazy & didn't add on the way up off 13 & change. Close your eyes & scroll down cause I'm gonna cuss now.........

CRUD

MPLX, this 1 is a Sherry & your's pick, ya'll are the MPLX experts. I never did see this 1 or pay any attention to it. obviously the MMs knew this & said "let's piss Colvin off".

JNIC, look at the weekly chart on this 1 & you tell me!!! BUTT UGLY. Now with that said, it is probably now time to buy. Kind of a NTOP looking deal from hear forward., ie NTOP pre recent pop up & retrace.

ARCC, NO WAY ain't even gonna go into it. I may be ignorant saying NO WAY but I get asked a LOT about this 1 & still don't like it. see #2 above.

NAVI - what more can be said on this 1 than what has been all over CNBC lately! When the hype slows, we''ll see what happens. i like this 1, everything about it, just don't like the pop on CNBC coverage & hype. Reasonable target if this price range holds, 78. If support breaks down, LOOK OUT & aim for low 50s. Don't lagh, seen some of what my targets from the other day have done, bnbn excluded. VRTS, CTS, RTHM, QWST, QNTS...and I didn't get to buy any cause I screwed up & overbought bnbn. and SUNW hit low 70s. Hi 60s are possible in next 2 - 3 weeks ( I hope ). SIDENOTE, NOTICE EFNT'S CONSOLIDATION IN LOW 70S!!!!!!!!!!!!

anyway, MSLV is a good 1, target 73 - 74. seems to hve gained support & market favor. Only thing is it will be a regional, not national player. hopefully I will be wrong for your sake. SBC, midwest & nearwest has a lot of mom & pop & indepent/ competetive smaller phone CLECs. No need in the South ( BLS ) , BEL, NYNEX, North Central areas for this out fit. SBC, USW, PACTel & others in these regions are pitiful 7 have allowed a plethora of small CLECS that can use these guys services. I wish I had noticed earlier & bought I would be a seller here 7 wait for another significant move.

RMKR - I have a rule which this 1 fits to a T. If the profile or S-1 is too prolific or floweredy in its description, RUN, don't look back, wish them well & don't worry about it. I have read 3 different things that describe what these guys do & listened to On24 4 Xs & smell BS. So, I'll tell you Good Luck 7 be careful here.

PRDS, LIKE IT. need my MANY reasons. When i get out of BNBN in 20s!!!, I will ad this 1 I will wait on a low. Only 1 negative, way complicated business & Joe Average will probably never heat this 1 up. And yet, this may be a good thing!The weekly chart has 2 interesting things about it, HIGHER HIGS that are always retraced & LOWER LOWS. I have not seen this before. I am going to say, target 45, & don't laugh til you see the weekly chart on this 1. This last spike finally broke the pattern so a cup 7 saucer as ya'll say may be forming.My goal is 1/2 at low 40s & wait a while. This 1 has the most interesting chart of all.

Now I am tired, as I am old & need to rest. I shall return someday, someday.

Hope this helped. Sorry, but I got way too into this & way too prolific. I needed the distraction today, also. Some of us need a special prayer these days.

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