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Date Posted: 12:03:55 12/15/11 Thu
Author: Danny Boy
Subject: Stick with a winner!!!?
In reply to: Danny Boy 's message, "Practice bubble, schmactice bubble" on 11:51:03 12/15/11 Thu

>>> (excerpted from Washington Post) The McNabb trade, as second- and fourth-round picks went out the door, may have been the end of an era. Shanahan, like New England Coach Bill Belichick, wants young players to mold to his systems and to his entire NFL zeitgeist.

How much will the Redskins’ world change? Ignore the crazy Allen years (eight straight drafts without a first-, second- or third-round pick). Instead just look at the last 30 Redskins drafts, since 1982, the first Joe Gibbs Super Bowl season. The Redskins should, in theory, have gotten 120 players in the first four rounds: 30-30-30-30. Just pick when it’s your turn.

Here’s what the Redskins’ distribution of picks actually looked like in those rounds: 19-26-24-20 for a total of only 89 players.

Now, look at the Patriots. Their distribution of picks in the first four rounds of the last 30 drafts is: 34-41-38-43. That’s a total of 156 picks compared to 89 for the Redskins. Talk about a huge deficit in young talent.

In the last 10 drafts, with Robert Kraft at the top of the pyramid in New England and Snyder in Washington, the disparity has been even greater. The number of Pats picks stands at 10-15-11-13 for 49 in the first four rounds compared to a 7-7-7-4 and a total of 25 for the Redskins.

How do the Pats replenish their roster with young Rob Gronkowskis while the Redskins founder? Over a decade, it helps a ton if the Pats have 49 bullets in the first four rounds to 25 for the Redskins. The Patriots’ record over that time is 120-37 while the Redskins are 64-93. Yes, the Pats have Tom Brady, the Redskins a revolving cast of comedians. But the draft philosophy matters, too.

It’s commonly parroted that Shanahan is a superior coach but some kind of dolt as a personnel evaluator. The facts contradict that, at least partially. In his 13 Denver drafts, Shanahan hoarded picks almost as much as the Patriots with a 12-15-14-19 distribution in those first four rounds. That’s 60 prime players rather than the normal allotment of 52 you might expect.

So, how good were the men Shanahan tabbed? In the first four rounds of the last 30 drafts, the Redskins have drafted only 15 players who reached a Pro Bowl. In 13 drafts, Shanahan nailed 12 future Pro Bowlers.

Of course, Shanahan had the odds on his side because he’d maxed the number of picks he held in his hands, including some as gifts of the Redskins.

After nearly 20 years of futility, fans howl, “When are the Skins going to emphasize the draft, show patience and rebuild with a solid foundation?”

It’s being attempted right now. Unless too many losses or too many bad picks bring us Regime No. 7, we may even get a chance to see if it works. <<<

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Replies:

  • Redskins's?? -- [Ed.], 12:27:04 12/15/11 Thu

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