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Date Posted: 14:10:24 09/09/04 Thu
Author: chris t
Subject: how will valverde time trial?

last year
lost 3'48'' (22) to Nozal in the 1st 44k tt
lost 2'44'' (13) to Nozal in the 2nd 53k tt
lost 14'' (2) to Heras in the 11k mountain tt

by contrast Heras

lost 3'35'' (18)
lost 1'45'' (7)
won the mountain tt

he gave Heras 1'26'' in the time trials last year.

This year will be more indicative of Valverde's time trial potential because he has this as an objective and knows he is in contention. His sprinting is evidence of his latent power so you could extrapolate potential with his dedication. Expect him to reverse those numbers and take time from Heras.

This year the constitution of the time trials is a little different, the mountain time trial is the 30 km ascent of the Sierra Nevada, 20 kilometers further climbing.
1420 @ 4.8% average versus
610 @ 5.6% for last year's mountain time trial

This obviously advantages the climbers in the precarious time trialer versus climber balance. Nozal gave up 2'23'' to Heras in the final mountian time trial last year which was 57% shorter than this years vertical ascent.

I would think this favours Valverde, and he might be able to
neutralize the gains made by Hamilton Landis and Aitor Gonzalez on the flat time trials.

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