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Date Posted: 18:01:25 09/08/04 Wed
Author: LAHobo
Subject: Re: Heras has some serious competition this year
In reply to: ChrisH 's message, "Re: Heras has some serious competition this year" on 17:19:32 09/08/04 Wed

>Why not pick the whole frickin' peloton? Cunego might
>finish in the top 5, but you can forget about Hamilton
>and Beloki. Valverde and Menchov are the only two guys
>left that might challenge Heras. I'm not saying it's
>over like it was for Armstrong before the Tour even
>started. Heras still has to finish the race. :)

I'm glad to see you're supporting your guy, and I will admit things are looking better for Heras now that Vino is out of contention and Sevilla doesn't seem to have recovered from his injuries. However, I wouldn't be so dismissive of Beloki and Hamilton. The jury is still out on whether Beloki has regained his form but he looked much better than I expected today and should be able to put some serious time into Heras in the ITTs. In regards to Hamilton, based on the current times and factoring the two flat time trials, Heras will probably have to make up 4-5 minutes in the mountains. If Hamilton has form anywhere even close to his peak it's going to be a big hurdle for Heras to overcome.

I agree about Cunego, and I would also add that I am skeptical about Menchov (I'm unconvinced he can keep up in the high mountains). Valverde is going to be tough, though, and I wouldn't rule out Mancebo or Sastre from contention.

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