Re: Strength of Schedule -- fifl

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Date Posted: 00:51:17 07/30/04 Fri
Author: John (Fargo Freeze)
Author Host/IP: 216.40.221.57
Subject: Re: Strength of Schedule
In reply to: Mike 's message, "Re: Strength of Schedule" on 18:49:09 07/29/04 Thu

Won't argue with that kind of endorsement.

Cheers,
John
Fargo Freeze

>Thanks Guys. Just wanted to know how much I could
>expect to improve, if any this year. I sympathize with
>Fargo...but were you planning to make a move to the
>playoffs this year? I wasn't, just wondering how far I
>could go.Maybe I could sneak in, only to be walloped
>by top teams I never had to face all year.
>
>If Fargo makes it to the playoffs, I vote John for GM
>of the year.
>
>Mike
>
>
>>There is a tool out there where you can import your
>>own schedule. I may try this... I could also
>>entertain making it a 16-game schedule instead of 14
>>(since this is possible), but since we have 7 seasons
>>under our belts of 14-games, I'd hate to change
>>'tradition'.
>>
>>
>>
>>>Yup, ran the numbers for MAD again by hand to
>confirm.
>>> What it boils down to is 7 games against teams that
>>>had sub .500 records, 5 of which are against teams
>>>that won 4 games or less (2 v. FWS (3), 2 v. STL (4),
>>>1 v. LIN (3)). Looks good for them statistically,
>but
>>>I know I would never count LIN out of any game I was
>>>playing them.
>>>Interestingly, FGO ends up playing the cream of the
>>>crop in inter-conference play (LOU fifl bowl, AUS
>>>playoffs), pretty stiff scheduling for a 6-8 team.
>>>
>>>>Thanks for putting this together John!! Not a
>single
>>>>team in the Great Plains Division has a SOS under
>>>>0.51...
>>>>
>>>>And, is that number for Madison right?
>>>>
>>>>TC
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>Here are the numbers using this years schedule and
>>>>>last years standings. FGO gets the toughest draw
>>>this
>>>>>season.
>>>>>
>>>>>POR : 0.4642857142857143
>>>>>AUS : 0.4744897959183674
>>>>>COL : 0.4846938775510204
>>>>>HON : 0.5204081632653061
>>>>>FGO : 0.5612244897959184
>>>>>WCH : 0.5153061224489796
>>>>>BLK : 0.5408163265306122
>>>>>SPR : 0.5357142857142858
>>>>>LIN : 0.5561224489795918
>>>>>BIL : 0.5510204081632654
>>>>>MOB : 0.5102040816326531
>>>>>MIS : 0.5051020408163265
>>>>>LOU : 0.4846938775510204
>>>>>MAD : 0.413265306122449
>>>>>DAY : 0.4336734693877551
>>>>>STV : 0.4846938775510204
>>>>>STL : 0.5153061224489796
>>>>>FTW : 0.44897959183673464

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