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Subject: RPI Ramblings


Author:
Go Bison!
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Date Posted: 19:41:31 12/04/05 Sun

I realize it's early in the season to put any real merit into RPI calculations - but I was scanning the RPIs on kenpom.com and found the following interesting (this includes all games as of yesterday):

1. The most significant victory RPI-wise in the league for a team not named Bucknell is Army's victory over #191 Columbia. (Fordham is 207, so this is unchanged as of today's HC win).

2. The league (excluding Bucknell) is 1-22 versus top 200 RPI opponents (see #1 for the victory). Bucknell is 5-0 in this category.

3. The league is 11-5 versus opponents with RPIs greater than 200 (note that neither Bucknell or American has played an opponent with this rating).

4. There is a clear divide in schedule strength amongst the teams - with Bucknell, HC, American, Army & Navy all in the top 130 - and Lehigh, Laf & 'Gate all over 260.

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Replies:
[> Subject: Re: RPI Ramblings


Author:
eric...
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Date Posted: 20:20:00 12/04/05 Sun

well, its terribly early to be looking at the rpi. there just isnt enough data in the system. things will really start to take shape over the next month, though. regardless, the leagues collective strength of schedule this year will help come march. combined with the fact that we as a league are winning most of the games we should (note that 11-5), i am generally pleased to this point, especially with issues with key players at american, colgate, holy cross and lehigh. (thank you, lafayette and army, for being respectable!)

anyway, i was looking through the patriot league scoring leaders today. going into this season i thought that this would be the year that the league would make its biggest stride forward. however, it looks like next year is an even better candidate. obviously, bucknell is losing lee and bettencourt and holy cross is losing hamilton. however, NO other patriot league senior is currently averaging 10 points per game. pet betley at lafayette is averaging 9.6, alvin reed at colgate 9.0 and andrew capusan also at lafayette 7.6. that makes for SIX seniors in the top THIRTY. there are FIFTEEN juniors on the same list to go with five sophomores and four freshmen. talk about a competitive patriot league in 06-07.

ray bucknell! less than 48 hours to go!
[> Subject: Re: RPI Ramblings


Author:
Bison137
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Date Posted: 22:49:42 12/04/05 Sun

I agree 100%. It should be a more balanced league next year as the Bison lose two key players and H.C. also loses two starters, including all-everything Kevin Hamilton. The one other squad that gets hurt is Lehigh, who loses 3 of their top 6 players at the moment(although none is very good) and also loses Joe Knight, who would be their leading scorer this year if the NCAA can be convinced to allow internet courses in basket-weaving to count for full credit. They do have what appears to be a good recruiting class coming in, however, which should let them compete at a decent level. American will return everyone (plus who knows what transfers are in the pipeline), Navy will only graduate 1 important player, and Army will return all 10 of their players who are seeing 10+ minutes PPG.

I think, however, that the Bison will still be the dominant team. Sure, Lee and Bettencourt are great players, but I think there are pretty good replacements lined up. Griffin had an impressive freshman year and, per minute, his production was actually very similar to Bettencourt (although their roles were a bit different). Giving Griffin the same 32.2 mpg as Bettencourt, their 2004-05 stats look like this:

Pts,Reb,.Ast,TO,.Stl,PPG,...FG%,.3PT%,.FT%
Bettencourt - 417, 97, 79, 77, 55, 12.6, .356, .353. .888
Griffin.... - 389,102, 87, 71, 53, 11.8, .421, .395, .839

I didn't see enough of them to compare them defensively, but overall it appears that Griffin may be able to fill the void pretty well. Also, Vegotsky is supposed to be a great pure shooter.

As far as Lee goes, there will definitely be some falloff but some combination of Brown, Clark, Behan, and maybe Evans/Tyree can hopefully do the job. Definitely need some development from Mastropaolo offensively however.


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