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Date Posted: Thu, July 04 2002, 0:02:09
Author: Keith Busmente
Subject: Re: Stocks versus Bonds
In reply to: Art Rossetti 's message, "Re: Stocks versus Bonds" on Mon, July 01 2002, 16:57:27

Well, although the Dow may not have performed, I'm sure there were other sectors of the market that did produce handsome returns (hence a perfect example of utilizing diversification). I read an interesting article regarding the S&P 500 last week that I think was at CBS.marketwatch.com. It referred to the fact that the S&P 500 is not really a passive index because McGraw Hill is constantly determining who should and should not be in the index; therefore, those who believe it is a true representation of the market may be misled. I don't know. That's why I started this thread--to get some input on other's opinions.

>>I remember some time back when Brent posted something
>>in another forum regarding the bear market and
>>honey-dripped asses. Somebody had made the remark
>>that any idiot could get an average 15% return on
>>their investments. Anyways, my question is what
>>others think realistic returns from equtiies will be
>>for, say, the next ten years. Is the market still
>>expensive or fairly priced. Perhaps bonds will
>>outperform? How will this "war on terror" affect us?
>
> >in either depending on the circumstances!
>
>In regards to predictions, I make none. I do know
>that from 1968-1982 there was no appreciable growth in
>the DOW. We could very well be in another period like
>that. I think if there is another terrorist hit equal
>to 9-11, the market will take a big dive. I think
>there would be little appreciable effect from a 3rd,
>4th, 5th, etc.... hit and eventually the market would
>become immune to them.

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