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Subject: Re: Off to the Races


Author:
Jung
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Date Posted: 19:53:14 01/26/04 Mon
In reply to: Marc 's message, "Re: Off to the Races" on 15:02:30 01/23/04 Fri

Good points all. I think that it will be easy for the Bush campaign to tear Kerry apart. I guess comparing him to the likes of Clark and Dean is what makes him look like a half decent alternative.

On a demographic note - it's not only the south that is going to give the Democrats problems - watch out for the Mountain West, now a consolidated conservative power-base, with a small but growing electorate, mainly in the Colorado and nothern Utah Valley areas. With a small population, they still have electoral votes that add up. In a race that's about winning states and not a popular vote, the demographic makeup of the south and west benefit the GOP - that's exactly what happened in 2000, and unless a democrat can win broad support (which will be tough for Kerry), they don't have a prayer in those states.

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