| Subject: Re: Wait. What? A Fascinating Data Point Which Does Not Fit My Model |
Author:
An Observer
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Date Posted: 16:39:47 07/23/25 Wed
In reply to:
Tiger81
's message, "Re: Wait. What?" on 15:26:12 07/23/25 Wed
T81,
Thank you for the color, which I find absolutely fascinating. I picture top-rated, high academic football recruits as facing a decision tree that appears this way:
FIRST, you decide whether to go for the highest level football which will have you.
Once you decide to go big time, THEN you can consider the program, the head coach, the offensive coordinator and the NIL money.
Only AFTER you decide to forego high level FBS football, would I expect you to start evaluating academically elite universities such as the Ivies.
If this view of the recruit's decision tree is accurate, I would expect a top level quarterback who was not immediately happy during his pre-freshman year spring football practice to only go back one branch in the decision tree.
That is, if you don't want to stay at Utah, you're going to step back to considering Oregon and Georgia.
Instead of this, young Mr Becker went back TWO branches in the decision tree and said to himself, "I don't like the Utah playbook. I wonder what Coach Surace is drawing up for his passing game. Lemme call Princeton."
I'm shocked that a kid would enroll at a proven, solid FBS program and then decide to go Ivy.
As I said before, if this guy actually shows up in August and straps on an orange helmet, what a coup for Coach Surace.
The only way that this would not be a happy outcome for Princeton and all Ivies is if some Tiger booster ponied up to write a big check to the player. I really really hope that the financial calculus was not involved.
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