| Subject: What?! Rain was Good for Columbia, Not Princeton |
Author:
UT
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Date Posted: 12:34:27 05/14/26 Thu
In reply to:
The Mountain Lion
's message, "Columbia's Standout Softball Pitcher Mads Lawson" on 19:49:06 05/08/26 Fri
My take is that the rain was an advantage for Columbia, not Princeton.
First and foremost, given Columbia’s heavy reliance on Lawson, any delay or elongation of the series is good for her and therefore good for the Lions. Originally, the first game of the two-game (if necessary) championship series was scheduled for noon.
The night before, the powers that be took a look at the weather forecast and postponed first pitch to 5:00.
Why on Earth would you make that decision the night before? Both teams are already there in Princeton. Why not wake up Saturday morning and look up into the sky? As it turned out, the skies were cloudy but not raining from noon until 5:00. Then the drops started falling. They could have already played two by then.
Anyway, any delay — before or during the game — is good for Lawson, coming off 402 pitches and 26 innings of work over two days. The best case outcome for Columbia was a 5:00 PM deluge leading to a Sunday rescheduled championship day.
Secondly, Princeton was the better team. If you’re the better team, you want clear skies, a dry track and no wind. You want conditions to not be a factor, because you’re the favorite over the long run. If you’re the weaker team, as Columbia was, you want rain, you want wind, you want delays. You want as many exogenous variables as possible, creating variance and randomness.
Rain was good for Columbia, not bad.
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