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Date Posted: 14:58:25 04/06/04 Tue
Author: 柏林
Author Host/IP: pcd287170.netvigator.com / 203.218.77.170
Subject: 文章分享

科學家計出﹕神存在可能性67%

【明報專訊】世上究竟有沒有神﹖英國一位物理學家就茬o個問題,以數學公式找出答案,結果是﹕「神存在」和「神不存在」的或然比率為2比1。

畢業於倫敦大學帝國學院的昂溫,利用有200年歷史的貝氏定理(Bayes' Theorem)設定公式,最後計算出神存在的或然率為67%。這比率對一些科學家來說是出奇地高,但對昂溫這位虔誠基督徒來說卻是意外地低。

在計算中,昂溫選取了多個證明神存在與否的因數,包括超自然現象、禱告後出現的奇蹟、人的自由意志和與生俱來的良知、道德感,以及世上一切邪惡和苦難。

在 P(G | E)=A.P(G).P(E | G) 公式中,G代表神存在的命題,E 則代表神存在的[象,P代表或然率。昂溫將出版《神的或然率》一 書作出詳述。

------泰 晤 士 報

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