Re: Some observations -- Sask. Ridings To Watch

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Date Posted: 01:36:22 10/27/03 Mon
Author: Clay
Subject: Re: Some observations
In reply to: Malcolm 's message, "Some observations" on 16:24:31 10/26/03 Sun

I think Malcolm may have have been taking a few too many NDP pills.... Need to get out of the house more, dude!

>>Saskatoon-Northwest: I really think you are
>overestimating the Grits here. While McDonough is one
>of their better candidates, being a former educational
>bureaucrat is hardly high profile. And I've never
>heard anything to suggest the pro-life movement is any
>stronger here than any other urban seat in the
>province -- that is to say, not very. Melenchuk won
>last time on the personal capital of being a party
>leader, narrowly defeating an NDP incumbent. If he
>can hold most of the NDP vote and carry over any
>significant amount of personal vote, he'd be hard to
>beat. Merriman is probably the best SaskParty
>candidate in Saskatoon. They'd have been better off
>running him in another seat, methinks. Barring a
>rout, I think Melenchuk holds.
>
>
>>Saskatoon-Eastview: Junor is far and away the weakest
>member of the NDP cabinet. Heck, she got booted out
>of it twice for failing without a real portfolio
>(minister for seniors, minister for the status of
>women, provincial secretary, associate minister of
>health -- not a real job among them). But I can't see
>the Liberals coming on enough to put her into third.
>The seat is likely the best SaskParty prospect in
>Saskatoon.
>
>>
>>Saskatoon-Meewasin: Interesting tidbit -- NDP
>candidate Frank Quennell is the older brother of
>Liberal leader and candidate David Karwacki's Chief of
>Staff Les Quennell. I'd say the edge is to Frank in
>this family feud, but Karwacki's status as leader
>could put him over the top.
>
>>
>>Yorkton: This seat has had a government MLA since at
>least 1971 (and I think since the 1950s). This could
>be the first time in a generation or more that the
>Yorkton MLA -- whoever wins -- is relegated to the
>opposition benches.
>
>>
>>Regina-Qu�Appelle Valley: Darlene Hincks' strength as
>a candidate is not her civil service job but the name
>recognition of many years on city council. In fact,
>the name recognition was enough to get her ex-husband
>Terry elected in her old ward. But this is a better
>seat for Wartman than the one he took in 1999.
>Probably the SaskParty's best prospect in Regina.
>
>>
>>Melville-Saltcoats (note the correct name of the
>seat): What I'm hearing is that you can stick a fork
>in Bjornrud, he's done. One of my contacts even
>figures he may end up behind the Liberal in fourth,
>though I find that a little hard to swallow. Slight
>edge to Schmidt, but Osika could yet pull it off.
>
>The interesting seat I think you are missing is Regina
>Albert South, where the Liberal candidate is former
>Catholic school board chair, former SSTA president and
>former national Catholic trustee association president
>Debbe Ward. A long time Liberal, she did flirt with
>the SaskParty for about a year before returning to her
>roots. She is probably the strongest Liberal prospect
>in the province apart from Karwacki himself. She is
>up against young Andrew Thomson in a seat that is not
>a natural NDP hold -- never held it prior to 1991.
>
>The other interesting race is in North Battleford
>where, according to some reports, Liberal incumbent
>Jack Hillson is running third. The NDP candidate is
>former MP and more recently city councillor Len Taylor
>-- the first person ever to win the Battlefords
>federal seat twice in a row, and the person who topped
>the civic election ballot in 2000. I haven't heard of
>the SaskParty candidate, but apparently it is a race
>between these two.
>
>There are two rural seats (besides Melville-Saltcoats)
>where the SaskParty may be in some trouble. Both
>Saskatchewan Rivers and Lloydminster, I'm hearing,
>have seen some momentum to the NDP, but I'm not
>confident in the credibility of my source.

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Replies:

Hey, Clay -- Malcolm, 08:43:53 10/27/03 Mon
Hey, Clay -- Malcolm, 08:45:17 10/27/03 Mon
Re: Some observations -- Anonymous, 12:34:40 10/29/07 Mon