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>I think Malcolm may have have been taking a few too >many NDP pills.... Need to get out of the house more, >dude! > >>>Saskatoon-Northwest: I really think you are >>overestimating the Grits here. While McDonough is one >>of their better candidates, being a former educational >>bureaucrat is hardly high profile. And I've never >>heard anything to suggest the pro-life movement is any >>stronger here than any other urban seat in the >>province -- that is to say, not very. Melenchuk won >>last time on the personal capital of being a party >>leader, narrowly defeating an NDP incumbent. If he >>can hold most of the NDP vote and carry over any >>significant amount of personal vote, he'd be hard to >>beat. Merriman is probably the best SaskParty >>candidate in Saskatoon. They'd have been better off >>running him in another seat, methinks. Barring a >>rout, I think Melenchuk holds. >> >> >>>Saskatoon-Eastview: Junor is far and away the weakest >>member of the NDP cabinet. Heck, she got booted out >>of it twice for failing without a real portfolio >>(minister for seniors, minister for the status of >>women, provincial secretary, associate minister of >>health -- not a real job among them). But I can't see >>the Liberals coming on enough to put her into third. >>The seat is likely the best SaskParty prospect in >>Saskatoon. >> >>> >>>Saskatoon-Meewasin: Interesting tidbit -- NDP >>candidate Frank Quennell is the older brother of >>Liberal leader and candidate David Karwacki's Chief of >>Staff Les Quennell. I'd say the edge is to Frank in >>this family feud, but Karwacki's status as leader >>could put him over the top. >> >>> >>>Yorkton: This seat has had a government MLA since at >>least 1971 (and I think since the 1950s). This could >>be the first time in a generation or more that the >>Yorkton MLA -- whoever wins -- is relegated to the >>opposition benches. >> >>> >>>Regina-Qu’Appelle Valley: Darlene Hincks' strength as >>a candidate is not her civil service job but the name >>recognition of many years on city council. In fact, >>the name recognition was enough to get her ex-husband >>Terry elected in her old ward. But this is a better >>seat for Wartman than the one he took in 1999. >>Probably the SaskParty's best prospect in Regina. >> >>> >>>Melville-Saltcoats (note the correct name of the >>seat): What I'm hearing is that you can stick a fork >>in Bjornrud, he's done. One of my contacts even >>figures he may end up behind the Liberal in fourth, >>though I find that a little hard to swallow. Slight >>edge to Schmidt, but Osika could yet pull it off. >> >>The interesting seat I think you are missing is Regina >>Albert South, where the Liberal candidate is former >>Catholic school board chair, former SSTA president and >>former national Catholic trustee association president >>Debbe Ward. A long time Liberal, she did flirt with >>the SaskParty for about a year before returning to her >>roots. She is probably the strongest Liberal prospect >>in the province apart from Karwacki himself. She is >>up against young Andrew Thomson in a seat that is not >>a natural NDP hold -- never held it prior to 1991. >> >>The other interesting race is in North Battleford >>where, according to some reports, Liberal incumbent >>Jack Hillson is running third. The NDP candidate is >>former MP and more recently city councillor Len Taylor >>-- the first person ever to win the Battlefords >>federal seat twice in a row, and the person who topped >>the civic election ballot in 2000. I haven't heard of >>the SaskParty candidate, but apparently it is a race >>between these two. >> >>There are two rural seats (besides Melville-Saltcoats) >>where the SaskParty may be in some trouble. Both >>Saskatchewan Rivers and Lloydminster, I'm hearing, >>have seen some momentum to the NDP, but I'm not >>confident in the credibility of my source.

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