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Date Posted: 15:01:18 10/22/02 Tue
Author: Richard
Author Host/IP: 1Cust200.tnt1.gainesville.fl.da.uu.net / 67.243.7.200
Subject: Discussing Paul Krugman's thoughts on the income gap

Hi eveyrone,

If you don't know Paul Krugman, he is a professor of economics at Princeton University and columnist for the NY Times. He wrote a long piece this weekend concerning the income gap in America. You can read more about Mr. Krugman at his bio page: Krugman Bio.

The article under discussion can be seen at: For Richer, NY Times Magazine, Oct 20, 2002.

Mr. Krugman's article claims that there is a widening gap between the rich and the poor in American and the middle class is disappearing. He goes on to discuss why this is bad and what we can do about it.
My sense is that few people are aware of just how much the gap between the very rich and the rest has widened over a relatively short period of time. In fact, even bringing up the subject exposes you to charges of ''class warfare,'' the ''politics of envy'' and so on. And very few people indeed are willing to talk about the profound effects -- economic, social and political -- of that widening gap.

Yet you can't understand what's happening in America today without understanding the extent, causes and consequences of the vast increase in inequality that has taken place over the last three decades, and in particular the astonishing concentration of income and wealth in just a few hands. To make sense of the current wave of corporate scandal, you need to understand how the man in the gray flannel suit has been replaced by the imperial C.E.O. The concentration of income at the top is a key reason that the United States, for all its economic achievements, has more poverty and lower life expectancy than any other major advanced nation. Above all, the growing concentration of wealth has reshaped our political system: it is at the root both of a general shift to the right and of an extreme polarization of our politics.
(emphasis is mine)

As we wade through Mr. Krugman's thoughts, we shall see that his main complaint is that a concentration of wealth is bad for the general population. I emphasized this in the above quote, so we can watch for evidence that substantiates the claim.

Mr. Krugman takes a few paragraphs to try and explain the phenomena of how wealth gravitates to the few at the expense of the many. He dismisses the three common theories which are; 1)globalization; 2)new technology; 3)superstars are overly compensated. He embraces a fourth theory that he explains as follows:
Some -- by no means all -- economists trying to understand growing inequality have begun to take seriously a hypothesis that would have been considered irredeemably fuzzy-minded not long ago. This view stresses the role of social norms in setting limits to inequality. According to this view, the New Deal had a more profound impact on American society than even its most ardent admirers have suggested: it imposed norms of relative equality in pay that persisted for more than 30 years, creating the broadly middle-class society we came to take for granted. But those norms began to unravel in the 1970's and have done so at an accelerating pace.

What economists like Piketty and Saez are now suggesting is that the story of executive compensation is representative of a broader story. Much more than economists and free-market advocates like to imagine, wages -- particularly at the top -- are determined by social norms. What happened during the 1930's and 1940's was that new norms of equality were established, largely through the political process. What happened in the 1980's and 1990's was that those norms unraveled, replaced by an ethos of ''anything goes.'' And a result was an explosion of income at the top of the scale.
.
Whether all that is true or not, can be debated. It is what follows, that wrinkles a brow. The professor draws a parallel to the relatively low but equal wages in Sweden to their living standard and our higher but unequal wages and a lower standard of living.

The moral of this comparison is that even if you think that America's high levels of inequality are the price of our high level of national income, it's not at all clear that this price is worth paying. The reason conservatives engage in bouts of Sweden-bashing is that they want to convince us that there is no tradeoff between economic efficiency and equity -- that if you try to take from the rich and give to the poor, you actually make everyone worse off. But the comparison between the U.S. and other advanced countries doesn't support this conclusion at all. Yes, we are the richest major nation. But because so much of our national income is concentrated in relatively few hands, large numbers of Americans are worse off economically than their counterparts in other advanced countries.

This is where he extends his theories too far, and they begin to fail. First, comparing the two countries and their economies is invalid. Sweden is a country of approximately 9-million people, agriculture is less than 3% of the GDP, industrial production 27% of GDP, and service 70% of GDP. Purchasing power per capita is about $23,000. Sweden generates most of its wealth by selling its iron ore and electric power, half of which is from nuclear. If left to its own resources, it couldn't feed itself.

Sweden also follows a strict policy of neutrality. Therefore it has a small standing military. Sweden spends only about 2% of its GDP on the military as opposed to 3.2% in the U.S. Sweden does not have a population growth rate (.02%) or an influx of immigrants. So, if the U.S. switched to a service economy that sold its natural resources abroad, disbanded most of our military, sealed off our borders to immigration, and built hundreds of nuclear power plants to sell power to Canada and Mexico, we might be able to provide more public services too. If we did, would the Swedes have a market for their service economy though? How much iron ore could they sell if the U.S. stopped buying foreign goods?

Of course his essay eventually comes around to politics. And being from the NY Times, the politics are anti-Republican. Mr. Krugman explains that concentrated wealth will eventually evolve into a plutocracy (rule by a few elite), aided by contribution-hungry politicians. Therefore, we must have an estate tax to keep the rich from getting ever richer by keeping their money in the family. Whether it will or not is for the fortune tellers to predict. I doubt we could draw any valid conclusions from what little has been said.

But to get back to the original premise; "The concentration of income at the top is a key reason that the United States, for all its economic achievements, has more poverty and lower life expectancy than any other major advanced nation". Mr. Krugman has made a very weak case. The Swedish comparison is really no comparison at all. And trying to extrapolate those false comparisons into a case for more socialist policies is an example of poor science (to put it euphimistacally).

Rather, it seems that Mr. Krugman (and the liberals) have a sore spot against the wealthy. And the more wealthy they are, the sorer that spot becomes. If equality of wages and material ownership is the goal, why not just propose a range and put it up for public debate. Let's say that the government establishes the minimum level of permissable poverty. They also establish a maximum amount of permissable wealth at not more than ten times that of the poverty level. That would lower the range of the gap between the poverty class and the wealthiest class. Theoretically, it would solve all those problems he has mentioned in his article.

Of course it would never become law. That idea is too foreign to a society whose roots are spread throught the soil of capatalism. That is why he and the other liberals prefer to nip around the edges. As it stands, our tax system targets the successful and productive. Only government sanctioned ownership is encouraged such as home ownership. For some reason wealthy individuals are considered bad for our society. If you had limited Bill Gates to one house, two cars, a small retirement fund, and as many kids as he could produce, would he have worked his whole life to develop Windows? How do you gauge his contribution to our economic success? How do you reward it?

How do you reward Sam Walton for providing more shopping time and less commute time (and less gas consumption) by building over 2,000 Wal-Mart Stores? How about all the jobs and expanded markets for those cheaper goods?

How do you reward Henry Ford for the concept of assembly line produciton methods?

How do you reward any of the thousands of dreamers who have improved the quality of life world-wide? The only way we know how is to let the market decide. That may not be the best way, but it is far better than penalizing them because of some misconceived notion of economic equality.

On the other hand, maybe we could rebuild our economic system so everyone is equal and then depend on the Swedes to provide the technical innovation to improve our standards of living.

Richard

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