Family Group Sheet Estimation -- The Brick Walls Message Board

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Date Posted: 21:57:51 03/24/04 Wed
Author: Mike Smith
Author Host/IP: 63.78.214.19
Subject: Family Group Sheet Estimation

I have written a genealogy tool and put it up on the web for all to see and comment on.

It can be found at www.ukcs.net/genes

I call it Family Estimator.

It will take a single date and event for one person and estimate and build a whole family group sheet for them.
It comes from over 100,000 computerized genealogical records from Western Europe and North America taken from the LDS databases. The logic is that people marry about 18-24, without birth control, the first child will come 1 year later, and so forth. The logic carries that each person will live an average of X years depending on when they were born. Women will live longer than men. It is for the end of a line. It will give you a point in time to start looking plus or minus 8 yrs. The data is statistical using quadratic and linear equations, so each year and circumstances will produce different data. It takes into account that medicine has improved so has the human life span. It cannot take into account war, plague, illegitimate children, early birth, accidental death or divorce.
I would appreciate any comments or queries on this matter.

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