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Date Posted: Sun 19/12/04 15:06:50
Author: Simba Chan (Sing Yin)
Author Host/IP: N51cd-02p30.ppp11.odn.ad.jp / 61.116.104.30
Subject: Once every 30 years

Recently I am reading Margaret MacMillan's book 'Peacemakers'. It's a book about the Paris Conference in 1919. We should know this very well as the question of Shandong resulted in the May Fourth Movement that had changed the course of the Chinese history.

The Chinese always say, which sounds a bit unfair and prejudicial to me, that the Japanese are not honest in depicting the history. However, the Chinese are really the gurus in lying in history.

Not a single book I know written in Chinese has ever told us that the main thing the Japanese delegation wanted to do at the Paris Conference was to put a clause of racial equality to the Peace Conference, and the to-be-established League of Nations. It was USA, Great Britain and France found it was too difficult to accept this, but also worried Japan would walk out of the Conference like Italy did, agreed to sacrifice Shandong. Not their land anyway.

Well, I am not here to "defend" Japan but I found an interesting coincident in the years of history:

1919 - May Fourth Movement. Arguably the year of the birth of communism in China.
1949 - Communist took over of China.
1979 - Beijing Spring and opening up of China.
So, what about 2009? 4 years later, after the Beijing Olympics?
Very likely China will follow the same fate of the old Korean regime. It may be the end of the PRC, but of course China will still be under some sort of dictatorship for some more years.

It is very likely to happen in our lifetime.

Have a Happy New Year, anyway.

Will be in HK tomorrow.

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