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Subject: ERG cyclical history 20/2/03 to the 8/8/03


Author:
ERG Sells Motorola's Shares at 1.85--March 2001
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Date Posted: 1/09/03 10:08:22pm

ERG cyclical history 20/2/03 to the 8/8/03
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1)February. Feb 20th day Sydney was announced--reached a high of 18 with a vwap of 16.53. (previous to Sydney it had been retreating.) volume was 68,543,590.
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2) March It went down into the release of financials on March 6th--it bottomed on March 12 2003---the low was 8.1--the high was 90 last price traded 8.4 vwap 8.5. volume equalled--10,094,738
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3) April It went up to the 23/4/03--reaching a high of 11.5 a low of 10.5 finishing at 11 the vwap was 11.77 volume--equalled 6,035,094. Proton confirmed as sold on the 29/4/03 (previously announced--26/3/03) There were also other things during this period.
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4)May It went down to the 29/5/03 and the 30/5/03 bottoming over two days with the low on both occasions at 8.1. 29/5/03--high 8.3 low 8.1 vwap 8.19 volume 4,197,166. 30/5/03 Last trades 8.3 4.10pm (8.4 at 3.59pm) vwap 8.28 volume2,135,676. In May ERG shareholders approved the conversion debt for equity. (other things as well.)The Ingot Entities became a subtantial shareholder on the 27th--announced the 30th.
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5) June. It went up to the 6/6/03 reaching a high of 9.1 volume was 3,031,558 low was 89 close was 89
ERGN traded to the 10-Jun 03:56:28 pm high was 88 low was 86 finish was 86.
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6)June/July It went down to the 23/6/03 low was 7.5 vwap 7.68 high was 7.9 volume was 18,731,502 ceased trading.
6B) The first day of ERGDA was the 24/6/03 Opened at 75 low 75 high 79 finished 75 vwap 76.84 vol 555,635. Last day for ERGDA 7/7/03 -- Last 80 vwap 80.97 volume 203,116
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7) JulyERG commenced trading again (merged with ERGDA and ERGN) on the 8/7/03 low was 79 high was 81 it finished at 81 volume was 5,950,638 The next day 9/7/03 the high was 83 the low 80 closed 83 volume was 1,012,359
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July ERG rose to the 16/7/03 and the 17/7/03 doing a double top of 118 on both days on the 16/7/03 the low was 1.11 the hiogh 118 the finish 116 volume equalled 7,982,222 The 17/7/03 high 1.17 low 97 finished 103-volume equalled 11,274,934 --ERG then began declining--doing a double top again on the 22/7 and 23/7 108.
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9) July/August ERG declined from the 16th and the 17th of July 118 down to the 8/8/03 at 82c vwap 86.2 high was 89 finished at 88 volume 2,645,774
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ERG Sells Motorola's Shares at 1.85
Transit industry technology specialist ERG has sold the 82.6 million shares held by Motorola to a "range of investors" for 1.85, raising $185 million.
Sold by the 5th of March 2001 18.5 divided by 2 equals 9.25
9.25 x 9 =83.25---x 8 = 74---61.8% level = 115.784
High March 2001 185 and the Low June 25 2003-- 73
82.5% retracement 92.6
100 day moving average 92.6-- 22/8/03
30 months since March 2001--to August 2003.
Sale of Proton World - 26/3/03 8.4% of capital 30 divide 185 = 0.162162 divided by 2=8.1%--Motorola 8.1% of capital.
Immediate need to cover post 12/9--clean balance sheet--writedowns confined to FY3 leading into--or post 12/9

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Replies:
Subject Author Date
April 16th Australian time 200316th of August 2000.Australian time 2/09/03 12:28:34am
31/8/03 American time 1/9/03 Australian time.(psuedo pocahontas removed by American short coverers at another place.) 2/09/03 12:33:13am
ERG will trade on and above its pivot level of 0.873cps.2/9/03 pivot level--nothing lower than 87c. 2/09/03 12:35:11am
Jul 16 2003 at 10.42am Australian time --till 7th August. 2003ERG 2/09/03 12:59:01am
Australian institutions cover first followed by American (foreign) institutions (NT)not unique to ERG many other stocks listed as well. 2/09/03 1:01:55am
Richard Fleming 2nd of September Update Sydney 4th of September 2.15pmre: erg--sanfran--a link short sold 117 118 level16-07-2003--17-07-2003 2/09/03 4:04:50am
Sarbanes-Oxley Act(CFO sign offs)Aug 29thU.S bananapassion 8/28/02 09:27 (NT)This time 12 months ago---U.S. 2/09/03 4:14:07am
The 8/8/03--bottom 82 vwap 86.2--it progressed to the 3/9/03--the high 100 vwap 97.47Cyclical history.--20/2/03--to 3/9/03 4/09/03 10:30:08pm
Re: ERG cyclical history 20/2/03 to the 8/8/03 (NT)Monday the 8/9/03 will make 1 month since the low 8/8/03 5/09/03 12:17:03am
Indeed, there are 2 ways of seeing a triple bottom here.Either a] the Dec/Mar/Jun lows OR b] the Mar/Jun/Aug lows.No matter how the sandwich is cut, the story looks bullish.Market Mads comments dated the 3rd of Septemberfrom atop 0.82, the outlook is bullish.If below 0.82 the pattern will be broken,On that basis, 0.82 is a Key LevelIn addition, there's something of a triple bottom in place. 7/09/03 5:29:29am
Re: ERG cyclical history 20/2/03 to the 8/8/03 (NT)institution finished selling on the 5/9/03--averge price sold 92c13/09/03 11:38:38pm
In tally with the 16th and 17th of July a bottoming process has occured (NT)on the 16 and 17th of September 2003.18/09/03 1:01:02am


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