| Subject: US in trouble |
Author:
F.5c
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Date Posted: 08:08:41 04/01/03 Tue
In reply to:
反戰人
's message, "美軍失敗之原因" on 01:42:17 03/29/03 Sat
still, I am still believing a Us winning, but that will certainly be longer than what US can face. Back to what is so called 'what US can face', after integrated all sides view, the max. US can loss before it become a 'loser' in this war will be stated as below:
1.The length of the war is longer than 51 days, which US oil reserve can stay for. If US army is not able to defeat Iraq, economic effect will be seen.
2.The total death of US army is larger than about 2000, that would cause great anti-war feelings, and MR. Bush(Bushit) is nearly have no chance for his second term.
3.More than 400 oil bumpers are DESTROYED by Iraq. If this happen, oil export of Iraq after the war can never reach the pre-war level.And oil price will rise above US$35/barral for quit a long time. And US economy will be in great problem...
Any way, hope the war can end earlier.
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