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Date Posted: 03:08:24 02/14/03 Fri
Author: tell the Security Council in a critical report Friday
Subject: Mixed Iraq report expected at U.N.deep divisions
In reply to: Tax credits$600 to $1,000 this yearinstead of in 2010 's message, "Bush stimulus unveiled Jan. 7.92 mill taxpayers would receive an average tax cut of $1,083 in 2003" on 03:03:28 02/14/03 Fri


Mixed Iraq report expected at U.N.

Blix, ElBaradei
to address Security Council on compliance
IAEA nuclear weapons chief Mohammed ElBaradei, left, and U.N. chief weapons inspector Hans Blix, in Baghdad, February 2003.



NBC, MSNBC AND NEWS SERVICES

UNITED NATIONS, Feb. 14 — Top U.N. arms inspectors are expected to tell the Security Council in a critical report Friday that Iraq has not fully cooperated with disarmament demands but they will refrain from saying Baghdad has been totally noncooperative. On the eve of that presentation, U.N. nuclear agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei said inspections should continue for months because “we are moving forward.” For Washington, the report by ElBaradei and chief U.N. inspector Hans Blix could be key to drawing support from other nations for a new resolution sanctioning military action against Iraq.







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SECRETARY OF STATE Colin Powell has called the report and council’s decision on the next step in the months-long Iraq crisis a “moment of truth” for the United Nations.
“We’re expecting a mixed bag,” a senior Bush administration official told Reuters.
If so, the inspectors’ presentation is unlikely to resolve the deep divisions between the United States and other Security Council members over whether inspections should continue, or whether the council should begin debate on a new resolution authorizing military force against Iraq.
Another element was added into the debate earlier this week when U.N. arms monitors’ disclosed that Iraq’s al-Samoud 2 missile has a greater operational range than is permissible under U.N. resolutions.
It remained unclear, however, whether the missile would provide the piece of evidence needed for U.S. officials to convince opponents that Iraq is bent on foiling weapons inspections.
Blix will tell Security Council members that although he is “not impressed” with Baghdad’s cooperation with the inspectors, he will stop short of saying Iraq has been totally non-cooperative with the process, The Washington Post, citing unnamed U.N. officials, reported Friday.
ElBaradei, meanwhile, said inspections should continue.
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“We’re still in midcourse,” ElBaradei, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said Thursday night. “But we are moving forward, and I see no reason for us to bring the inspection process to a halt.”
ElBaradei also said he did not consider war a foregone conclusion provided “we see some progress on the part of Iraq” in revealing any hidden weapons of mass destruction.

RALLYING THE TROOPS
President Bush, who maintains that President Saddam Hussein means to foil the inspections process, issued a challenge to the international body: The council “can now decide whether or not it has the resolve to enforce its resolutions,” he said Thursday.
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Bush issues challenge to U.N. on Iraq
February 13, 2003 — The Security Council will hear reports from U.N. weapons inspectors in a critical meeting at the United Nations on Friday. NBC’s Andrea Mitchell has a preview.

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Rallying troops, Bush said he was confident they were ready to win a potential war with Iraq and urged the United Nations to ensure its credibility by enforcing demands that Saddam disarm.



February 13 — NBC’s Tom Brokaw spoke with Britain’s Foreign Minister Jack Straw about tomorrow’s U.N. Security Council session.



If war comes, “America will act deliberately, America will act decisively and America will act victoriously with the world’s greatest military,” Bush said at the naval base near Jacksonville, Fla.
Though a rift with Security Council members France and Germany, who want more time for inspectors to do their work, showed no signs of easing, Bush said he was optimistic that “free nations will show backbone and courage.”

MISSILE FINDING
U.S. Ambassador John Negroponte and Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Yuri Fedotov said U.N. experts found that the al-Samoud 2 missile went more than 20 miles beyond the 93-mile limit. But this conclusion was not final, according to Fedotov, who argued that the finding shows inspections are working and Iraq is cooperating, since it reported the missile systems.
Council diplomats said the experts recommended that inspectors ask the Iraqis for more technical information about the al-Fatah missile system, which also could exceed the limit.






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Powell characterized the finding as “a serious matter.”
If Blix confirms the report on Friday, “it shows continued Iraqi non-compliance,” Powell told the House Budget Committee.
Blix refused to comment on the experts’ findings, saying, “I will tell the Security Council on Friday.”
But Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz said the missiles “are still within limits that are decided by the United Nations.”
Aziz said the missiles were short-range and do not have a guidance system. Without the weight of a guidance system, a missile may fly as far as 10 miles beyond its normal range, he told reporters as he arrived in Rome on Thursday. “That is not very dangerous.”
What's behind Europe's objections?

U.S.: ‘UNACCEPTABLE’ U-2 CONDITIONS
The United States also is expected to take issue with what it says are “unacceptable” conditions imposed by Iraq on the overflight of U-2 reconnaissance flights. U.S. officials say the conditions violate the latest U.N. resolution, which puts no limits on overflights.




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However, Blix is expected to write back to Iraq that two of the conditions it has placed on the use of the planes are unacceptable, U.N. officials told NBC News, offering no further details.
The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, also said that the new documents on raw materials that Iraq recently provided to Blix on “initial glance haven’t brought up anything remarkably new,” adding that they have not disclosed files on VX or anthrax that inspectors have sought.

FRENCH PROPOSAL: EXPAND INSPECTIONS
Also on the table is a French proposal — with support from Russia, Germany, Mexico and several other Security Council members — that calls for tripling the number of U.N. inspectors to make inspections more targeted and intrusive.
The Bush administration has dismissed the idea, and Powell indicated he intends to aggressively challenge the reluctant U.S. allies.



“France and Germany are resisting,” he said. “They believe that more inspections, more time” should be allowed.
“The question I will put to them is: Why more inspections? And how much more time?” Powell said. “Or are you just delaying for the sake of delaying in order to get Saddam Hussein off the hook and no disarmament? That’s a challenge I will put to them.”
“More inspectors aren’t the issue,” Powell said. “Dr. Blix hasn’t asked for more inspectors.”

NEW RESOLUTION?
The United States is instead angling for a U.N. resolution giving explicit authorization to use force to disarm Iraq, although Bush has insisted that U.N. Resolution 1441 grants that authority. Spain has also promised support for a new resolution authorizing force.


fact file
Broad ranges of views

How the Security Council feels about Iraq
Permanent members
• United States
• Russia
• China
• Britain
• France
Elected members
• Angola
• Bulgaria
• Cameroon
• Chile
• Guinea

• Germany
• Mexico
• Pakistan
• Syria
• Spain


The United States: Iraq is developing weapons of mass destruction, is failing to cooperate with weapons inspectors and is violating its obligations under U.N resolutions. Washington says it already has Security Council authorization to use military force to disarm Iraq.

Russia: Iraq is cooperating with inspectors and there is no evidence it is rearming. Russia wants economic sanctions, imposed after Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990, to eventually be lifted and says the council must authorize any use of force.

China: Supports continued inspections.
Britain: Prefers a second Security Council resolution authorizing any military action, but is expected to join U.S.-led action without one. Says Iraq is not cooperating or disarming and that time is running out for it to do so through weapons inspections.

France: Says inspections are starting to work and sees no justification for military action now. Paris has hinted it could use its veto to block council authorization for military action at this stage.
Angola: Supports continued inspections in Iraq.
Bulgaria: Indicated it would support U.S.-led military intervention without a Security Council authorization.
Cameroon: Supports continued inspections and has not taken a position regarding military action.
Chile: Supports continued inspections and has not taken a position regarding military action.
Guinea: Supports continued inspections and has not taken a position regarding military action.
Germany: Insists Iraq must be disarmed peacefully and has said it will not participate in any military intervention, even if the Security Council authorizes such action.
Mexico: Supports continued weapons inspections and could support military intervention authorized by the Security Council.
Pakistan: Supports continued weapons inspections and a diplomatic resolution of the conflict.
Syria: Damascus says Iraq is cooperating with its obligations under U.N. resolutions and has called for U.N. sanctions to be lifted.
Spain: Supports the Bush administration’s stance on Iraq. Believes military intervention could proceed without Security Council authorization.


Last updated: Feb. 4, 2003
Source: The Associated Press
Printable version

But Germany says the resolution alone does not automatically authorize the use of force.
Britain, the strongest international backer of a tough U.S. line against Iraq, said Friday it was “fairly confident” of seeing a second U.N. resolution passed on Iraqi disarmament.
“We are going to wait until we see what Dr. Blix and Dr. ElBaradei say before we make final decisions about tabling a second resolution,” Foreign Secretary Jack Straw told the British Broadcasting Corp.
“We have always said we would much prefer a second resolution if we believe that military action is necessary and appropriate,” Straw said.
Britain has sent 42,000 troops to the gulf to support a buildup of U.S. forces for possible war. Defense officials told NBC News that the total number of American troops in the gulf region was about 140,000, with another 16,000 on ships in the Mediterranean Sea and thousands more on the way.
The five permanent nations on the Security Council — China, France, Russia, Britain and the United States — are the only ones who hold veto power.

DEFENDING TURKEY
Also Thursday feuding NATO allies failed to break a deadlock over a U.S. request for support for Turkey in the event of a war. Meanwhile, Turkey’s foreign minister, Yasar Yakis, held talks in Washington on basing U.S. troops in Turkey for use against Iraq.
In a related issue, France, Germany and Belgium have rejected plans to send anti-missile batteries and surveillance aircraft to Turkey, saying such a move would wrongly send a signal that war was inevitable.
Despite repeated hints at an imminent breakthrough on the issue, no announcement of a deal has been forthcoming.

U.S. works to link bin Laden, Iraq


What's on MSNBC TV?

Thursday on "Hardball": 9 p.m. ET
• "Hardball" at 9 p.m.: Former Secretary of State Alexander Haig on what it will take to rally the international community against Saddam. "Hardball" with Chris Matthews at 9 p.m. ET on MSNBC.








NBC’s Linda Fasulo at the United Nations; Jim Miklaszewski and Tammy Kupperman at the Pentagon; The Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report.

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