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Tue, May 19 2026, 9:22:53Login ] [ Contact Forum Admin ] [ Main index ] [ Post a new message ] [ Search | Check update time | Archives: 12[3]4 ]
Subject: 為敵喝采(2004/02/20)


Author:
舒展超
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Date Posted: 11:23:40 02/21/04 Sat

問你一個問題:假使你是一隊著名球隊A的成員,不論你是球隊經理、職員、教練、球員以至球迷都好,反正你就是A隊的忠心一族。可惜,這天A隊卻敗給了死敵B隊。
請問,下次當你以旁觀者的身分,觀看B隊與其他隊伍比賽時,你會希望B隊敗陣,抑或希望它勝出?
如果A隊和B隊在聯盟中屬同一組別,即是說B隊敗下會對A隊的排名有利,那麼釵h人的答案,就一定簡單直接:當然是希望B隊輸波。
若不論組別、不理排名,相信釵h人的答案仍然一樣,想B隊輸!別忘了,B隊是死敵呀!就讓其他隊為我們報上次一箭之仇吧!這純粹是復仇心理。
不過,球類比賽的統計學中有一樣東西叫做「SOS」(Strength of Schedule,可姑且譯為「賽程強度」)。從這個角度看,反而應該希望死敵B隊勝出!因為B隊的成績愈好,即該隊愈強,相對地就顯得上次A隊敗給B隊,是較可接受的。反之,如果B隊在打敗A隊後,接下來卻連輸幾場給一些弱隊,就倍令A隊臉上無光!
這種「希望敵人贏」的心理,很有趣。你會為你的敵人喝采嗎?

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