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Date Posted: 11:43:56 09/13/04 Mon
Author: Nick
Subject: Re: Floyd Ullrich or Jan Landis?
In reply to: ChrisH 's message, "Re: Floyd Ullrich or Jan Landis?" on 11:39:48 09/13/04 Mon

As a matter of interest, ChrisH, are you watching this or are you relying on live tickers?

On the evidence of my own eyes, he looks less strong than you credit him. I'd like him to win - but I don't think he will

>>It has always struck me that Heras's chances depend on
>>the number of 15% gradients in the race.
>15% is rather high. At 7% and above, it's almost all
>about power to weight ratio.
>It is only on
>>these very steep pitches that he is able to drop the
>>field, although this year, he is not finding it so
>>easy. When it is less steep, his lack of brutal power
>>seems a liability.
>Sure, if he just wants to ride guys off of his wheel,
>15% pitches are good, but at lesser gradients, he can
>just put in some acclerations.
>I feel if he is going to win, he
>>has to take out bigger chunks of time (both today and
>>yesterday) than he has been.
>You should know that this year's climb of Aitana
>wasn't normal. Normally, the climb starts from around
>250 m elevation. This year, it began at around 700 m
>yet out of tradition, it was still called a special
>category climb. The Cati only gained around 450 m in
>elevation. The stage 12 finishing climb to Calar Alto
>climbs around 1350 m. The fact that Heras was able to
>gain time (on everyone) in these lesser mountain
>stages instead of losing time shows how strong he is.
>Even when he won by 2:33 in 2000, he was 2:41 down at
>this point in the race. Now he's only down 0:46.

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