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Date Posted: 17:57:56 07/11/04 Sun
Author: FIFL Commish
Author Host/IP: 209.86.240.125
Subject: Re: Draft - Please someone with time take a look
In reply to: John (Fargo Freeze) 's message, "Re: Draft - Please someone with time take a look" on 18:12:30 07/07/04 Wed

John... thanks for your work on this. Since nobody else had any ideas on this, I will go with what I have now.


>I don't know what criteria the computer is using to
>come up with the draft order, but here is what I came
>up with using the (NFL) criteria below which I got
>from the source listed at the end of this email. From
>the look of things, the computer disagrees with me on
>a few spots. Madison moves down the draft order due
>to its win in the Division playoff game. Lincoln,
>sporting a higher SoS, moves down *after* Billings,
>even though the scoring differential disagrees,
>because that tie breaker comes after SoS. Dayton and
>Austin move down the order because they made the
>playoffs.
>
>I set this up with the lower SoS score taking higher
>position in the order, but I am not sure this is
>correct, and the tie breaker info isn't absolutely
>clear. It just seems reasonable this way. An
>arguement could be made for it to go the other way.
>
>DO Team Win Str. of Sched.
> 1 FWS 3 0.52551020408163
> 2 BIL 3 0.55612244897959
> 3 LIN 3 0.57142857142857
> 4 STL 4 0.46428571428571
> 5 MOB 5 0.50510204081632
> 6 STV 6 0.44387755102040
> 7 FGO 6 0.55612244897959
> 8 MIS 7 0.49489795918367
> 9 HON 8 0.49489795918367
>10 SPR 8 0.54081632653061
>11 DAY 8 0.43877551020408
>12 AUS 8 0.47959183673469
>13 BLK 9 0.52551020408163
>14 WCH 10 0.53061224489795
>15 MAD 9 0.42346938775510
>16 POR 11 0.46938775510204
>17 LOU 8 0.49489795918367
>18 COL 10 0.48469387755102
>
>
>TIE-BREAKING PROCEDURE FOR SELECTION MEETING
>If two or more clubs are tied in the selection order,
>the strength-of-schedule tie breaker is applied,
>subject to the following exceptions for playoff clubs:
>
>1. The Super Bowl winner is last and the Super Bowl
>loser next-to-last.
>2. Any non-Super Bowl playoff club involved in a tie
>shall be assigned priority within its segment below
>that of non-playoff clubs and in the order that the
>playoff clubs exited from the playoffs. Thus, within a
>tied segment a playoff club that loses in the
>Wild-Card game will have priority over a playoff club
>that loses in the Divisional playoff game, which in
>turn will have priority over a club that loses in the
>Conference Championship game. If two tied clubs exited
>the playoffs in the same round, the tie is broken by
>strength of schedule.
>
>If any ties cannot be broken by strength of schedule,
>the divisional or conference tie breakers, whichever
>are applicable, are applied. Any ties that still exist
>are broken by a coin flip.
>
>http://www.nfl.com/news/981202ties.html
>
>Hope this helps some
>
>Cheers,
>John
>
>
>>Can someone take a look at the draft order for the
>>first 3 picks. Can someone answer what made the
>>computer determine the order?
>>
>>1) Lincoln
>>2) Fort Wayne
>>3) Billings
>>
>>Lincoln was 1-1 vs. Billings, but outscored 50-55, so
>>Billings definitely drafts after Lincoln. How is the
>>computer determining that Fort Wayne is #2 rather than
>>#1?
>>
>>Click "PAST SEASONS" on the left to view the 2005
>>schedule.

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