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Date Posted: 18:12:30 07/07/04 Wed
Author: John (Fargo Freeze)
Author Host/IP: 216.40.218.96
Subject: Re: Draft - Please someone with time take a look
In reply to: FIFL Commish 's message, "Draft - Please someone with time take a look" on 11:53:34 07/07/04 Wed

I don't know what criteria the computer is using to come up with the draft order, but here is what I came up with using the (NFL) criteria below which I got from the source listed at the end of this email. From the look of things, the computer disagrees with me on a few spots. Madison moves down the draft order due to its win in the Division playoff game. Lincoln, sporting a higher SoS, moves down *after* Billings, even though the scoring differential disagrees, because that tie breaker comes after SoS. Dayton and Austin move down the order because they made the playoffs.

I set this up with the lower SoS score taking higher position in the order, but I am not sure this is correct, and the tie breaker info isn't absolutely clear. It just seems reasonable this way. An arguement could be made for it to go the other way.

DO Team Win Str. of Sched.
1 FWS 3 0.52551020408163
2 BIL 3 0.55612244897959
3 LIN 3 0.57142857142857
4 STL 4 0.46428571428571
5 MOB 5 0.50510204081632
6 STV 6 0.44387755102040
7 FGO 6 0.55612244897959
8 MIS 7 0.49489795918367
9 HON 8 0.49489795918367
10 SPR 8 0.54081632653061
11 DAY 8 0.43877551020408
12 AUS 8 0.47959183673469
13 BLK 9 0.52551020408163
14 WCH 10 0.53061224489795
15 MAD 9 0.42346938775510
16 POR 11 0.46938775510204
17 LOU 8 0.49489795918367
18 COL 10 0.48469387755102


TIE-BREAKING PROCEDURE FOR SELECTION MEETING
If two or more clubs are tied in the selection order, the strength-of-schedule tie breaker is applied, subject to the following exceptions for playoff clubs:

1. The Super Bowl winner is last and the Super Bowl loser next-to-last.
2. Any non-Super Bowl playoff club involved in a tie shall be assigned priority within its segment below that of non-playoff clubs and in the order that the playoff clubs exited from the playoffs. Thus, within a tied segment a playoff club that loses in the Wild-Card game will have priority over a playoff club that loses in the Divisional playoff game, which in turn will have priority over a club that loses in the Conference Championship game. If two tied clubs exited the playoffs in the same round, the tie is broken by strength of schedule.

If any ties cannot be broken by strength of schedule, the divisional or conference tie breakers, whichever are applicable, are applied. Any ties that still exist are broken by a coin flip.

http://www.nfl.com/news/981202ties.html

Hope this helps some

Cheers,
John


>Can someone take a look at the draft order for the
>first 3 picks. Can someone answer what made the
>computer determine the order?
>
>1) Lincoln
>2) Fort Wayne
>3) Billings
>
>Lincoln was 1-1 vs. Billings, but outscored 50-55, so
>Billings definitely drafts after Lincoln. How is the
>computer determining that Fort Wayne is #2 rather than
>#1?
>
>Click "PAST SEASONS" on the left to view the 2005
>schedule.

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