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| Subject: Nasdaq analysis Oct1st by Nadsaq countentry patternOct1st | |
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Author: med av special= 949217849832.3 by Steve at 22/7/2003Correction exact low 92- 29/7/03BK--Steve 20/8/03 by internet connection cut off |
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Date Posted: Friday, October 31, 10:03:02am Your chance to voice your opinions, or raise questions, at the Investors Speaker's Corner. All we ask is that you keep it clean, and remember these are independent opinions, not specific financial advice. (Click here to view the most recently posted messages.) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Author: Date: 18/5/2003 10:56:16 AM Subject: ERG Message: ERG17 mill profit eps of 0.635503119634908601606760406225362-est2,675,045,877 shares. SMH May 16th 03--17 mill profit next year May 16 2003 http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/05/15/1052885346472.html No urge for ERG ERG's recapitalisation is due to take place over the coming weeks, with $250 million worth of convertible notes being exchanged for 1.6 billion shares in the company. But the market is still showing distaste for ERG's market-listed securities, which are trading much lower levels than the predicted 15c, which represents the nominal share conversion rate of the notes. Shares are trading near all-time lows below 9c, with the notes similarly weak at marginally above $7. With each note converting to 90 ordinary shares in ERG, note holders are still favoured in the equation, effectively picking up shares at just under 8c each at recent prices while shares closed yesterday at 8.7c. These prices compare to an estimated net asset backing of 11c per share after the recapitalisation. Paterson Ord Minnett, the only broker still following the ticketing vendor - and which is advising ERG on the restructure - said the company could report a $17 million profit on revenues of $300 million to $350 million next year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If market sentiment has improved by then and ERG doesn't continue its track record of disappointment, the result could underpin a share price of 15c to 20c based on current market earnings ratios, the broker said. Post a Reply Back to the Folder -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stocks and Shares -- Investments opportunities, tips and discussion ERG by Steve at 18/5/2003 10:56:16 AM Re: ERG by john clipsham at 28/5/2003 10:45:23 PM Re: ERG NTA 8.5 (7.198) by Steve at 18/6/2003 1:16:27 PM Re: ERG NTA 8.5 (7.198) by Steve at 18/6/2003 1:19:12 PM ERGda low was 7.3x10-73 by Steve. at 28/6/2003 5:47:18 AM ERG-Investorweb San Francisco by Steve at 30/6/2003 11:17:36 AM clean balance sheet post June 30 by Steve at 30/6/2003 11:26:03 AM Perth Lazio receivable SanFran soon by Steve at 2/7/2003 7:55:04 PM 6/7/03-NTA7.925143668855580783555739593341x 10 by Steve at 8/7/2003 6:37:14 AM 8-JulyAnalysts-US say by Steve at 9/7/2003 8:17:55 AM Short sell/cover reSMH15/1heaviestt postJ30 by Steve at 9/7/2003 8:23:25 AM PerthJuly 8thsuccess tendererticketingwithinweeks by Steve at 9/7/2003 9:59:21 AM Provision/doctrine of conservatism 1.00 by Steve at 11/7/2003 3:56:40 PM Lost has made a post on market caps Ozestock by Steve at 11/7/2003 4:02:11 PM NTA immediate extreme79cInvestorweb by Steve Stebbing at 13/7/2003 6:47:14 AM You'll have 14 days to respond then plaint by Steve at 13/7/2003 6:55:55 AM AMP 4.93 7 to 8 year view Investorweb by Steve at 13/7/2003 7:02:49 AM Doing some figures on ERG93c by Steve at 13/7/2003 7:12:03 AM Anyway all the best ERG by Steve Stebbing at 13/7/2003 7:33:00 AM Perth/30m/lost--reserve tenderer.17/7/03 by Steve at 18/7/2003 10:23:00 AM Yorkshire due July by Steve at 18/7/2003 10:23:46 AM Gann 82.5% 101.5 17/7/03 by Steve at 18/7/2003 10:24:48 AM NTA$1.00Melbourne Age 17/7/03 by Steve at 18/7/2003 10:27:06 AM MelbAge0.9756898573080499 by Steve at 18/7/2003 2:07:20 PM Perth unsuccesful/reserve tenderer by Steve. at 20/7/2003 8:39:41 AM Yorkshire decision expected July by Steve. at 20/7/2003 8:41:16 AM sanfrancisco stage 2 23/7/03 u.s 24th ozmtc meet by Steve. at 20/7/2003 8:48:52 AM Lazio substantial receivable collect by Steve. at 20/7/2003 8:51:17 AM Thinking the same thing by Steve. at 22/7/2003 5:15:03 PM Re: sanfrancisco Jul. 24 details by Steve. at 26/7/2003 10:58:17 AM Number/shares/given 23/6 ---267,503,037 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:28:43 AM recon-unlock-93.344734624452132855598964421585 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:30:30 AM Re: recon-unlock-93.344734624452132855598964421585 by Calculation done/recon/13dayma 22/9 at 23/9/2003 2:15:41 PM ASX announcements nominal conv15x10=1.50 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:32:10 AM Fractions will be disregarded 23/6 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:32:55 AM Exact low 0.990 18/7/03 by Steve. at 20/7/2003 9:07:19 AM Last 108 vwap 108.97 vol= 5,762,351 21/7/03 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:15:33 AM Re: Exact low 25/7 --97 by Steve. at 26/7/2003 11:02:05 AM Correction exact low 92- 29/7/03 by ##19 10:03:32 am 92 13,107 1 $12,058 1## at 1/8/2003 1:05:41 AM Re: Correction exact low 92- 29/7/03 by Last 97vwap 95.51 vol= 3,037,541-29/7/03 at 1/8/2003 1:12:30 AM morning pre open 31/7/03 by Steve. at 1/8/2003 1:15:02 AM Re: Yorkshire overdue by Yorkshire overdo at 23/9/2003 7:15:03 AM Herdal stuff ERG by Steve. at 21/7/2003 7:34:05 AM 1 dollarERGShort distort verses herdal by Steve at 21/7/2003 7:53:51 AM Shorting?--no objection to the practice by Steve at 21/7/2003 8:02:34 AM In toto with fundamentals by Steve at 21/7/2003 7:38:59 AM if your not investing in it San Franup by if your not investing in it San Franup at 21/7/2003 4:48:56 PM Gann 1x1 trendline--125 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:01:24 AM Re: Gann 1x1 trendline--125 by 13's from 73 at 17/10/2003 12:21:25 PM Cubic6 mthmarginMarch smartcardclose to 10% by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:02:08 AM fy3--30/6/02 to 30/6/03--report September. by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:03:03 AM Underlying/result-show great improvement-fy3 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:03:59 AM ERG loss for fy3--then profits fy4 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:04:43 AM The Proton transaction is profit 2nd half-fy3 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:11:48 AM ERG is currently in fy4--with fy3 reported Sept by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:17:31 AM Work/Wash/within/30days/25/6/03 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:23:59 AM I do not expect ERGto go below $1 again. by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:24:49 AM The new ERG is inspiring. by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:25:34 AM There is no suggestion that the VIC Govt by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:26:25 AM intends to break it's contract with ERG by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:27:06 AM 02--rev=171.31M-result=3.697MMargin2.16%ERG by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:34:34 AM The trend at each level like Wilkinson swords. by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:40:58 AM 8 is for MOT 8.1-bull/7 supp/restistance by Steve. at 22/7/2003 11:49:20 AM 977.08 S&P50021/7/03 U.S.22/7/03 Oz timetech falls by Steve at 22/7/2003 5:08:56 PM Today's close for instance 21/7/03--MOTreverse 108 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:51:02 AM ERGDA low 25-06-2003 by Steve. at 20/7/2003 9:00:55 AM Either Lazio or Yorkshire before San Fran by Steve Stebbing. at 22/7/2003 10:49:58 AM 16/7/03--0.884407888918369151852834527283983 by Steve at 22/7/2003 10:52:34 AM 17/7/03-931445603576751117734724292101341 by Steve at 22/7/2003 10:53:23 AM 18/7/03-1.0318000560067208649677961355363 by Steve at 22/7/2003 10:54:05 AM med av special= 949217849832.3 by Steve at 22/7/2003 10:54:50 AM PWR has risen above 3.1 supp/res level21/7CBA 125. by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:00:05 AM 115 is an important area to break over by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:06:24 AM ##$5.358Million Profit##SydpostJ30F/Y4 by Steve at 22/7/2003 11:38:10 AM 61.8%105.75--74.37---73-- 85.5295 by 85.5295----86.35716 at 8/8/2003 5:30:53 AM Cubic6th of August Oz time(5thU.S.)Expected Earn by Steve. at 26/7/2003 10:54:31 AM serious investors by S&P500 at 28/7/2003 6:36:20 AM ERG San Francisco August now by San Fran at 29/7/2003 2:21:31 PM The next immediate thing ERG/margins/Cubic by Cubic margins/smartcard at 31/7/2003 11:17:00 PM Sector itself signs of life IHG CAT KYC by sector/CAT/IHG/KYC at 31/7/2003 11:21:45 PM The sharetrend is now cyclical by fundamental/cyclical/early days at 31/7/2003 11:26:09 PM 1.003540008407456 by 23/6/03--93.344734624452132855598964421585 --93c at 31/7/2003 11:35:26 PM Large short seller at 94 moved down from 96 by July 31st---morning at 31/7/2003 11:40:37 PM LE reduce margin on ERG down to 45% by Friday August 1st at 31/7/2003 11:44:01 PM Large short seller has exchanged by July 31st---morning--94 at 1/8/2003 12:02:47 AM as a rough cycle the following by Cycle at 1/8/2003 12:37:17 AM 2 large brokers/upgrade July16 by Two large brokers/upgrade ERG July 16 at 31/7/2003 11:18:43 PM Whoever reads this place the odd person by Steve. at 1/8/2003 12:28:14 AM There is no need to have fear fantasy/necessary by Head games/artificial fear fanatasy states at 1/8/2003 12:49:39 AM ERG Gann time cycle to it by Steve. at 24/8/2003 10:46:36 AM Recent low 8/8/03 (7/8) --82 vwap 86.2 by Steve. at 24/8/2003 10:55:53 AM NTA is confirmed approx 1.00 dollar975689857308049 by Steve. at 24/8/2003 11:01:10 AM ERG will report12/9/03--confirmed loss by Steve. at 24/8/2003 11:07:36 AM ERG charting state of play 23/8/03 bull.81. by Steve. at 24/8/2003 11:16:48 AM 86.1666666666666666666666666666667---28/8/03 by Steve at 29/8/2003 5:18:34 PM 27/8/03 Receives sign-offPhase1SanFrancisco by Steve at 29/8/2003 5:20:57 PM double bottom26/27th Aug 85 by Steve at 29/8/2003 5:22:07 PM Re: double bottom26/27th Aug 85--24/280 by Steve at 8/9/2003 1:55:31 AM 12/9/03roughly 6.235 Million loss by ERG Sells Motorola's Shares at 1.85--March 2001 at 8/9/2003 1:50:33 AM ERGLoss profit San Francisco2short covering by Steve at 3/9/2003 12:12:54 AM Re: ERGLoss profit San Francisco2short covering by Steve Canada at 8/9/2003 1:44:28 AM Cash per share within 2 months Sept 3rd53.15c by Steve Canada at 8/9/2003 7:11:40 AM ERG triple witch 19/9/03--U.S. time by Steve at 3/9/2003 12:15:31 AM RHere are some trading paremters Globalhelp-2/9/03 by Steve at 3/9/2003 12:22:15 AM JipP Fog 1/9/03--changed style 12/9 by Steve at 3/9/2003 12:25:16 AM San Fran 2 delayed till at least 24/9 25/9 by Steve at 8/9/2003 1:58:03 AM 3/9 T plus 6 =Wednesday 10/9. by Steve at 9/9/2003 3:06:55 PM Re: ERG by Hartley's finished covering/book12/9 at 15/9/2003 4:01:20 AM Re:better than main stream media/still pretending by ERG at 15/9/2003 4:44:10 AM With clean balance sheet/profit. FY4 by ERG at 15/9/2003 4:45:25 AM NTA dated 30/6/03 36c--reported 12/9 by NTA at 15/9/2003 4:49:38 AM Institution finished selling 92c 5/9/03 average by ERG at 15/9/2003 4:55:57 AM 12/9/03 price data/mainstream/alternate media by ERG at 15/9/2003 5:03:30 AM 12/9/03--movement greater 3 to 5% by ERG at 15/9/2003 5:07:41 AM Magin lenders preceeding 12/9 shorts by ERG at 15/9/2003 5:12:17 AM Re: ERG by Brett at 16/9/2003 1:57:07 AM two dates 16 and 16th of Sept important cycle by Steve at 23/9/2003 7:10:38 AM Re: two dates 16 and 17th of Sept important cycle by Steve at 23/9/2003 7:13:14 AM October(15) 16 17th important cycle by Cycle at 17/10/2003 9:44:31 AM Re: October 1st--also 2nd 3rd by Cycle at 17/10/2003 9:45:43 AM Re: October 14th also important by October 14--correlating Sept14 at 17/10/2003 12:23:55 PM 200 day 13 day 100 dayMA19/9/03 by Moving average16/7 17/7 18/7 at 23/9/2003 7:22:14 AM Re: ERG by planning med perspective at 13/10/2003 11:14:58 PM Update SanFran MTC Sept24-U.S. time by San Francisco. at 15/9/2003 4:41:12 AM Re: Cognitive dissonance at Google by ERG at 15/9/2003 10:54:58 AM 1 dollar extreme valuation volatilitynarrow22/9/03 by singing at 23/9/2003 6:53:22 AM MTC meet 24/9/03 U.S. time 25/9/03 Oz by SanFran2 at 23/9/2003 6:57:51 AM NTA is 36c--end 30/6/03--reported 12/9 by NTA at 23/9/2003 7:00:30 AM AGM--26/11/03 10am by AGM at 23/9/2003 7:04:36 AM AGM 26/11/03 is Perth time 10.10am by AGM at 30/9/2003 4:59:36 AM A sinificant point within ERG the share102-26/9/03 by Significant point at 30/9/2003 5:03:44 AM Re: Cognitive dissonance at Google by Steve at 21/10/2003 11:32:36 PM Re: Cognitive dissonance at Google by the instigator of rumour of at 21/10/2003 11:37:42 PM Re:SanFran2common knowlege by SanFran2/some profit taking at 21/10/2003 11:45:05 PM 21/10/0lowest sell side 1.24--matching 20/10--arvo by ERGFinancial year4 profitability at 22/10/2003 12:04:46 AM Re:21/10/03-6c-diff buy sellmorn by ERGFinancial year4 profitability at 22/10/2003 12:06:28 AM Nasdaq analysis Oct1st by Nadsaq countentry patternOct1st at 22/10/2003 12:41:02 AM bonkers lambchops by Official statement by bonkers at 22/10/2003 12:51:03 AM Re: 21/10/0lowest sell side 1.24--matching morn... by 3c diff instead of 6c--consolidation at 22/10/2003 6:48:23 AM Re: ERG trade note 26/9/03--Friday--SanFran2- by Steve at 30/9/2003 4:43:24 AM SanFranciscites/asopposed to Ergitesplussanites by Steve at 30/9/2003 4:53:43 AM Some recent infoERG-9/10 by ERG at 9/10/2003 8:47:54 PM Re: ERG by ERG--projected eps at 13/10/2003 11:07:18 PM Re: ERG FY4 profit/projections by ERGFinancial year profitability at 21/10/2003 11:09:14 PM Low 23/10/03--1.21 by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:31:42 PM Re: Low 23/10/03--high 1.32 by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:32:35 PM vwap23/10/03--127.47-vol6,198,894 by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:34:26 PM 24/10/03password cannot be found by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:36:12 PM announcements 22/10--to 23/10 by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:37:57 PM 24/10--(register32days24/11) by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:40:57 PM 24/10AGM brochure snail mail by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:42:07 PM P Fog step down Jan 1st 2004 by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:43:48 PM Nov 1st April 30 period by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:48:28 PM Re: 24/10AGM page21Yorkshire by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:54:00 PM Note page 27 subsequentyear end by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:56:03 PM Program Trading/safety gain by ERG at 27/10/2003 7:58:30 PM Re: ERG trade note 26/9/03--Friday--SanFran2- by Steve at 30/9/2003 4:43:02 AM 17/10/03--deodorant by ERG at 21/10/2003 10:22:48 PM 17--20/10/03--low 1.24--1x1 trendline by ERG at 21/10/2003 10:25:24 PM putcalls expiry 30/10/03--1.35 rounded 21 med av by median average 135 rounded at 21/10/2003 10:29:21 PM bonkers 18/9/03 14/9--20/10 by bonkers. ---lol at 21/10/2003 10:38:38 PM Re: BK--Steve 20/8/03 by internet connection cut off at 21/10/2003 10:43:55 PM Re: BK--Steve 20/8/03 by internet cutoff at 21/10/2003 10:47:18 PM Re:Steve Stockcentral--BK by banningbonkers26/9/03200maU.S.quarter at 21/10/2003 10:57:18 PM Re:Steve Stockcentral--BK by passwordcannotbe found20/10/03Monday at 21/10/2003 11:16:34 PM Re:Stockhouse 21/10/03 by Website observer at 21/10/2003 11:22:30 PM Re:Stockhouse 26/9/03 by A very nice person at S/H at 21/10/2003 11:28:22 PM Nice person comments by Sharepricesgo down go up at 22/10/2003 12:17:08 AM Re:Steve Tplus3--from 16th-19/9/03Friday by This occurred on the S&P500 at 21/10/2003 11:03:13 PM Re: crossings 20/10/03 by crossings124to126 at 21/10/2003 11:12:59 PM at approx 1.35 1.36 ErnstYoung (Lazio) by ernst--approx 28/10/03 at 29/10/2003 4:35:36 AM [ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ] |
| Subject | Author | Date |
| triple top 1.32 15/10/03 16/10/3 23/10/03 ERG has reappeared on shorts list--after long absence 8/10/03 ERG. Thu, Oct 09 2003, 10:33:35 | *!*Last 1.42--vwap (effected by options.) vwap 138.79--vol | Friday, October 31, 02:45:54pm |
| WACC of 17% with Beta of 2 | equity portion of this company with the npv of at least AUD 600 mil and that equates to about AUD 2 | Friday, October 31, 02:50:16pm |
| 2028/14.61= 138.8090349076-----vwap = 31/10/03 138.79 | matched at 1.28--still not enough on buyside yet--sell side--not lower than 1.27--buyside 1.29--arvo 27/10/03--Monday | Friday, October 31, 03:02:27pm |
| Wacca aplet | wacca | Friday, October 31, 03:18:12pm |
| Applet (NT) | Applet. | Friday, October 31, 03:25:28pm |
| Calculator | calulator | Friday, October 31, 03:48:07pm |
| 200 day mov average 1.044--- 31/10/03 Ergtradedata | #######sell side 1.38--arvo###### 31/10 Ergtradedata #######sell side 1.38--arvo###### 31/10 Ergtradedata | Saturday, November 01, 07:30:28am |
| Posted 28/10/03 16:39 - 461 reads never close above $1.30. Posted 28/10/03 17:40 - 417 reads Charts look like $1.80 is next stopPosted 28/10/03 17:44 - 411 readsERG stormed up 23c or 20% to $1.50 would have to rise to $6 a share.. | it broke past old 15c equiv. of $24.00 over three years Epitan is doing brilliantly | Saturday, November 01, 07:39:59am |
| 10.632/deemed 5% 10.1004 at 1/4/0362,499,492...CTTY(post | Jul 20Legal papers being served Stockgroup/Ozestock...CTTY | Saturday, November 01, 07:52:33am |
| undisclosed buyer at 90--11/8/03--01:45 pm, 11 August 2003 6 114,500 * .900 8 324,475 | On the 17/7/03 bonkers the stock declined from the 117 to 118 area--big short seller | Saturday, November 01, 07:55:47am |
| Qantas is at lower end of trading range--dated the 13/8/03 | AMP low 23 x 61.8%=14.214 ---8.786---50% retrace=439.3Pracom off it's all time low--13/8/03 | Saturday, November 01, 08:05:29am |
| RE: Guess who's back ... iliketopokearoundabit 7/21/03 | (Steve Stebbing---- Chris.--hi how are are things going okay?)--7/21/03 | Saturday, November 01, 08:08:39am |
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| ############141##############31/10 Institution finished selling 5/9/03 av 92c | Last 91 vwap 88.49 vol=3,035,438--2/9/03 Ergtradedata | Saturday, November 01, 08:19:22am |
| Oct 31 SAN DIEGO, Oct 30, 2003CubwonAtlanta CUB(post 121) | Oct 23 1018.93375--92.95 divide 8--1030.5525 _INX(post | Saturday, November 01, 08:22:13am |
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| ERG NSW privacy laws Ozestock Barry Pittman Hotcopper Robert Tidy ..13 Aug 2003 by Steve. -. | aus.invest - 13 Aug 2003 by Steve. - View Thread (1 article) | Saturday, November 01, 08:30:05am |
| Author Topic: Opinions on ERG trading aspect sought | A Simple Moving Average Trading System - 3x13x39 | Saturday, November 01, 08:41:17am |
| The low is recorded on the 25/6/03 as 7.3 x 10=73 the vwap 74.37--ERGDA | The low for yesterday 15/9/03--was 92c--this is not recorded by some data gatherers. | Saturday, November 01, 08:42:42am |
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| BB's one of which is a shithouse lawyer Chris Murphy--ringing was to play a chatsite fiddle | -SHIT ****IN WEBSITES--I"ll sue ther ****in lot of you----talk about making the stockmarket unpleasant. | Saturday, November 01, 08:59:35am |
| Net tangible assets 30/6/03 36c. October 8th will make 36 trading days including the days themselves till AGM on the 26/11/03--October the tenth will make 34 trading days including the days themselves till AGM 26/11/03 | It will be a strong support point If 1.24--is the low for 22/10/03 Gann 22/10/2003 (4:29 p.m.) 0 Replies | Saturday, November 01, 09:09:07am |
| Note for legals the persistent question--are you bonkers?--with the intention of getting the poster banned and their I P protocol recorded--so it can be used to harras and vilify the person (NT) -- elsewhere--shove into solicitor for legal action if needed--if Hammond does not stop the harrasment., | 03:27:10 08/17/03 Sun | Saturday, November 01, 09:16:10am |
| ERG fell to 1.21 on Thursday October 23rd--Don't cry for me Argentina on the 22/10/03 following The night they drove ol'e Ergie down October 2nd | Approved net Short Sale positions as at end of day 29-Oct-2003 ERG ERG LIMITED 236,890 26,749,555 .08 shorts have inreased 04:33:45 10/30/03 Thu | Saturday, November 01, 09:30:53am |
| Short covering J.B. Were Reported on the 10/10/03 14/10/2003 (3:49 a.m.) 0 Replies | By law,mutual fund's portfolio Calculated once a day, usually at 4 p.m 13/10/2003 (8:05 a.m.) 0 Replies | Saturday, November 01, 09:34:58am |
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