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Date Posted: 18:36:37 07/02/03 Wed
Author: 張公
Subject: 走勢縱橫 恆指整固持續尋找低點

昨天的股市,恆指的低點跌落9512點,高點升上9650點,下午以9602點收市,比前天升25點。日線圖的升跌韻律,持續維持弱勢,自恆指見10067.9後,未試過連升兩天;由於昨天的收市指數上升,若然今天續升,將形成連升兩天,打破上述的韻律,反映此項指標有機會轉穩。

  移動平均線方面,恆指繼續跌穿十天及二十天線,昨天出現十天跌穿二十天線的訊號;但恆指繼續守穩於五十、一百天及二百天線之上,後市不跌穿五十天線,不用擔心,目前的反覆仍以升後整固視之。

  昨市的低點9512點,是自10067.9回落以來的新低指數,以收市指數計算,則本周一的9577點為低位。由上周二恆指日中低位跌穿9600點以來,已歷時六個交易日,大市很可能正在尋找調整的低點。

  到日線圖的升跌韻律轉強,例如連升三天,恆指亦升回十天及二十天線之上時,則可證明大市已回穩,隨時可再度回升。7月份的股市可看高一線,恆指升越10067.9,並不稀奇。

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