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Date Posted: 07:42:49 06/30/03 Mon
Author: x
Subject: 股市走勢 連升八周獲利回吐

恆指經連續八周上升後，上周出現回吐，上周五以9657點收巿，比前周收巿9930點，下跌273點。7月大勢分析如下︰

　　(1恆指5月以大陽燭上升，以「早晨之星」升破長期降軌8900點。6月再急升至10068點，才出現獲利回吐，掉頭全月以巨大「射擊之星」回挫，反映經8332點大幅上升至10068點，共升1736點，回吐力強。

　　(2上周恆指陰陽燭以大陰燭回落，反映前周最高恆指10068點已短期見頂。

　　(3仍假設大巿進行4浪反覆整固，以波浪理論分析，由於2浪簡單，目前4浪料較複雜，十分波動閃縮，恆指及各股亦然，9800點有阻力。

　　(4紅籌指數上周五升17.54，收1065點，升破二十天線1059點，如守其上。上試1080至1120點。華晨（1114）收二元二角，「頭肩底」上升目標二元四角五仙。駿威（203）收三元七角，上升目標四元。

　　▅國企指數上周五升22.3，收2749點，守2700點，上試2800點。慶鈴（1122）上周五收一元二角四仙，守一元一角八仙，如升破一元三角五仙及守穩，上望一元五角。

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