VoyForums
[ Show ]
Support VoyForums
[ Shrink ]
VoyForums Announcement: Programming and providing support for this service has been a labor of love since 1997. We are one of the few services online who values our users' privacy, and have never sold your information. We have even fought hard to defend your privacy in legal cases; however, we've done it with almost no financial support -- paying out of pocket to continue providing the service. Due to the issues imposed on us by advertisers, we also stopped hosting most ads on the forums many years ago. We hope you appreciate our efforts.

Show your support by donating any amount. (Note: We are still technically a for-profit company, so your contribution is not tax-deductible.) PayPal Acct: Feedback:

Donate to VoyForums (PayPal):

Login ] [ Contact Forum Admin ] [ Main index ] [ Post a new message ] [ Search | Check update time | Archives: 1234 ]


[ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ]

Date Posted: 02:15:40 10/03/03 Fri
Author: 簡Sir
Subject: 美股後抽恆指受制通道頂部

受經濟數據參差影響,華爾街股巿大幅波動。周二道指跌105.18,收9275.06,以9月最低指數收巿,比8月收巿9415.82,下跌140點,全月形成「射擊之星」,最低曾見9230點,也是9月新低。

  由於八個交易天之內,道指已由全月最高9686.08,跌至全月最低9230點,共跌456點,本周三10月首個交易天出現強力反彈,升194.14,收9469.2,暫以跌破上升楔形升軌後的技術後抽視之【圖一】。

  十天及二十天線阻力分別在9462點及9486點,如受阻及下破9月底部9230點,則(2)浪仍下望8000-8200點。道指2浪底部出現於3月,周三圖中的2浪誤植於5月,現更正。道指的(1)浪上升,由於2浪簡單,因而4浪複雜,交替運行,5浪以i、ii、iii、iv及v浪運行,已見頂了。

  港股昨天跟隨美股急升,最高11548點,升318點出現爭持,全日收11546點,升316點;成交一百九十八億元,未創今年新高。下文分析10月大巿動向︰

  (1港股走勢一向跟隨美股,因此美股9月全月下跌,只不過港股的周期常比美股稍遲,昨天雖再創今年新高,但已經升抵上升通道頂部。

  (2技術上,恆指上升通道頂,11550-11600點阻力大,9月份上升楔形已形成【圖二】,恆指出現三頂,分別是11242點、11445點及11548點,但9RSI大幅背馳,反映5-v-v浪升勢近尾聲。

  ▃留意9月至今出現三個上升底部,即10762點、10822點及本周一的11104點,後巿如守11104點仍強,一旦失守則跟隨美股回落,10月杪至11月下望10200點水平。

  ▄10月期指昨天裂口高開,最高11594點,升369點,受制上升通道頂部,9RSI背馳,出現爭持,全日收11580點,升355點,已出現「三頂背馳」以及v浪已發展至i、ii、iii、iv及v浪,不宜下破上升楔形升軌11300點,否則10月先揚後挫。

  ▅國企指數昨天升46點,收3267.6,形成「吊頸」,9月以3416點見頂後,(4)-a浪先跌至2930點,b浪反彈,昨天最高3277點,料3300點阻力重重,如下破2930點,c浪下望2800點,料強力反彈。

  ▆紅籌指數昨天升26點,收1234點,1250-1260點阻力增。

  ▇匯控(005)最高一百零六元五角,受制上升楔形頂部,9RSI背馳,最近六個交易天形成V頂,頸線一百零三元(本周一底部),須守其上,如失守,則確認(1)浪見頂了。

  (8中移動(941)昨天收二十元八角形成「吊頸」,雙頭走勢威脅仍在。其認沽9858及9758似形成「頭肩底」。

  ▏資金流入,港股炒到如火如荼,新地(016)半年內升幅102%,已過熱,大巿一旦回吐,大多港股可以下調半年內總升幅40-60%,升得大跌得重,五十年不變。

  (1「八卦」分析,「秋官效應」分別在91年的《大時代》、97年的《江湖奇俠傳》及2000年的《世紀之戰》播映,股巿均急跌,下周一播《非常外父》……會唔會……?

[ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ]

Post a message:
This forum requires an account to post.
[ Create Account ]
[ Login ]
[ Contact Forum Admin ]


Forum timezone: GMT-8
VF Version: 3.00b, ConfDB:
Before posting please read our privacy policy.
VoyForums(tm) is a Free Service from Voyager Info-Systems.
Copyright © 1998-2019 Voyager Info-Systems. All Rights Reserved.