VoyForums
[ Show ]
Support VoyForums
[ Shrink ]
VoyForums Announcement: Programming and providing support for this service has been a labor of love since 1997. We are one of the few services online who values our users' privacy, and have never sold your information. We have even fought hard to defend your privacy in legal cases; however, we've done it with almost no financial support -- paying out of pocket to continue providing the service. Due to the issues imposed on us by advertisers, we also stopped hosting most ads on the forums many years ago. We hope you appreciate our efforts.

Show your support by donating any amount. (Note: We are still technically a for-profit company, so your contribution is not tax-deductible.) PayPal Acct: Feedback:

Donate to VoyForums (PayPal):

[ Login ] [ Contact Forum Admin ] [ Main index ] [ Post a new message ] [ Search | Check update time | Archives: 1, 2, 3, [4], 5 ]

[ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ]

Date Posted: 11:32:04 1/14/23 Sat
Author: Jasper
Subject: An opinion

.
Taps Coogan – January 13th, 2022

The yield on the 2-year treasury has dropped below the upper bound of the Fed Funds rate for the first time during this tightening cycle, a signal that has traditionally signaled the end of a tightening cycle.

It’s hardly news to markets that the Fed is approaching a pause, but this provides further evidence that such a pause is imminent. Perhaps more importantly, this point in the monetary policy cycle – the ‘pause,’ is typically the preamble to the actual recession. That lines up well with market expectations that the bear market pauses for a while before a proper recession kicks in later this year. Rarely do widely held market expectations around recessions (or a lack thereof) pan out perfectly, so we’ll see.

https://thesoundingline.com/2-year-fed-funds-inversion-signals-fed-pause/

[ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ]

[ Contact Forum Admin ]

Forum timezone: GMT-5
VF Version: 3.00b, ConfDB:
Before posting please read our privacy policy.
VoyForums(tm) is a Free Service from Voyager Info-Systems.
Copyright © 1998-2019 Voyager Info-Systems. All Rights Reserved.