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Date Posted: 10:57:52 05/13/03 Tue
Author: James
Subject: Slightly worried...

I guess the suicide bomb attacks on Western compounds in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia have been reported in the US press - apparently so far they think 30 dead, 200 wounded. My dad used to work in the Middle East and I even lived for 6 months in one of those compounds in Riyadh - the type that got attacked, maybe even the same one.

Anyway, I phoned home the other day and my dad said he'd got a job in Manama - Manama? Yes, Manama, capital of Bahrain (ie right next to Saudi). He's going there for 3 months, maybe more, leaving next week - so now after these bomb attacks I'm pretty worried.

My theory is that bin Laden is in fact in Saudi Arabia where he has a lot of support (remember where the majority of the 9/11 hijackers came from?). Now the US have just said they're withdrawing from Saudi for the first time since the Gulf War. It's a perfect opportunity for Al Qaeda to take advantage of the situation and try to destabilise the Saudi government, especially since the land is currently run by the Crown Prince rather than the King Fahd, who has been incapacitated by recent strokes.

Saudi has a LOT of islamic extremists, and bin Laden still has a grudge because the Saudis let in the US troops in '91 instead of bin Laden's Islamic mujahedeen to fight Iraq. Also, he wants to turn it into a strict Islamic state - and what better time than when there's so much anti-American feeling in the region.

Recently there was a discovery of a large weapons cache in Riyadh - and with these bombers around it makes me wonder whether Al-Qaeda will resurface to try a putsch on the Saudi royal family and seize power. I don't think they will be able to - but it's pretty frightening. Let's just hope they don't target the US Navy's Fifth Fleet in Bahrain.

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