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[> Subject: Re: EXPLANTION ON JUDGING - Don't know if this will change your predictions but here are here are two of the groups of ten (2 out of each will make top 10) (OK, CA, CO, DC, KS, CO, CT, NM, VT, FL) (TX, UT, WI, ID, VA, MI, TN, SD, MN, ND)
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Date Posted: 14:22:28 12/16/21 Thu
>Happy Miss America Day!
>
>It has been a rough week for a lot of us, but just for
>today, I am putting all of the problems of this week
>aside and am going to enjoy the day. I am looking
>forward to the competition tonight. In around 9 hours
>we will have a new Miss America! I am doing this post
>first because there are a lot of things to consider
>with judging, particularly this year.
>
>I want to remind everyone of a few things. First, if
>your favorite does not make the top 10, it is not
>likely an indictment on them. I said it in 2019 and
>will say it again. This is not normal judging. And
>this year, it was even worse because the "red carpet"
>competition really couldn't be judged. The
>contestants had a microphone in their hands and were
>approaching the judges to answer a question. They did
>not get to model their gowns. So essentially, you are
>being judged on talent and speaking. You do not have
>anything else. What you had to do was set yourself
>apart from the people in your group, essentially.
>This week, there was a lot of congestion. There were
>a lot of effective speakers, and they might have been
>average in talent. So, you are going to have to
>really stand out. Second, it is harder to judge on
>two nights because you have a tendency to zone out. I
>know I did watching the preliminaries. It all kind of
>runs together. You may be wowed by someone if you
>didn't have one right after the other. So, all of
>these things together are going to potentially affect
>results.
>
>In regard to this judging panel, they were young and
>modern. I will say more about them when the top 10
>results actually shake out, but I was actually
>encouraged by this judging panel. I really do not
>think that old, stodgy pageantry is going to fly with
>them. I think they will pick more interesting, modern
>young women. I mentioned this before, but this
>particular panel seemed to award higher scores to
>later contestants. Could we see the majority of the
>contestants from later slots in their group? It is
>very important to know that preliminary wins do not
>necessarily equate to a slot in the top 10. But, that
>was in years past. We only have one year to compare
>this new judging to. Victoria Hill was a double
>preliminary winner, Camille won talent and won, and
>Jade Glebs made the top 15. There is only a top 10
>this year, and we do not know who was 8-15 in 2019.
>So, there are a lot of things we really do not know
>about this judging, and we do not have a lot to draw
>on.
>
>Tonight we are only going to have 3 judges. I was not
>really a fan of it in 2019 and I am not a fan of it
>now. To clarify-I really do not mind a panel of all
>former Miss Americas judging if there is not a
>daughter of a former Miss America competing. I am not
>going to litigate the Shindle situation once again,
>but any question of ethics need to be avoided.
>Especially now. That being said, I am really not sure
>that VA will make the top 10, anyway. I do not have
>her as a contender to win the crown, either. Her
>talent was too weak. All of this aside, having only 3
>judges are going to skew any kind of result. One
>judge CAN make a difference. Debbye judged Miss
>America before, Heather and Katie have not. I would
>have preferred to see someone who had previous judging
>experience. There is a lot of chatter and rumors
>about when these judges were actually asked. We will
>never really know for sure. But, we are dealing with
>what we have right now. I am sure Debbye will be the
>head judge.
>
>So, we will have a lot of wild cards and
>unpredictability tonight. It might make it a lot of
>fun! I am thinking back to 2019 and truthfully, I did
>not have CT or MO in the top 5. There is always one
>surprise who moves along every year, and this should
>be no exception. I "got" that OK was in the top 5 but
>I thought some in the top 7 were stronger. My pick
>was Victoria Hill to win, and she was first runner-up.
> This year, and I will put this in my next post, is
>really not clear cut to me.
>
>Prediction post next!
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