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Date Posted: 12:35:13 10/26/03 Sun
Author: Peter Ryan
Subject: Saskatchewan Election 2003 - Ridings to Watch

Saskatchewan Election 2003 - Ridings to watch

As voters in Saskatchewan prepare to cast their ballots, pundits acknowledge that the race is too close to call. Indeed, this is borne out by a recent newspaper poll that puts the incumbent NDP and upstart Saskatchewan Party neck and neck. Conventional wisdom dictates that the election will be won around several key ridings whose outcomes could determine the direction of the province over the next four years. The following competitive races are certain to entertain the keen political watchers, who tune in to the election coverage November 5th.

Saskatoon-Northwest: This riding is likely the most watched in the province, with three political heavyweights vying for the post of MLA. Controversial finance minister and former Liberal leader Jim Melenchuk tries his luck as a New Democrat against former Saskatoon Man of the Year Ted Merriman for the Saskatchewan Party, as well as ex-Catholic school board superintendent Ken McDonough. This upscale seat has been NDP and Liberal over the past ten years, but is likely to punish Melenchuk for his appalling handling of the provincial budget, as well as his participation in the coalition government. Merriman is said to be the odds on favourite, but the personable and anti-abortion McDonough may capitalise on a heavy pro-life element that resides in this seat.

Saskatoon-Eastview: Incumbent NDP cabinet minister Judy Junor faces a tight race against outgoing school board trustee Robin Bellamy for the Saskatchewan Party, as well as upstart Liberal Rob Norris. While Bellamy will capitalise on his name recognition and reputation for fiscal accountability, sources on the ground indicate that the Liberal campaign has taken flight, and could provide an upset on election night. Junor, whose career as an MLA has been extremely controversial, could conceivably come third.

Saskatoon-Meewasin: Liberal leader David Karwacki has yet to win a seat in Saskatchewan’s legislature, and has targeted this riding as his beachhead. However, his apparent lack of attention to this constituency, especially in face of the dynamic campaigns of Saskatchewan Party candidate Shelley Hengen and New Democrat Frank Quennell could make this an interesting three way race. Saskatchewan rarely shuts out a party leader, but will Saskatoon-Meewasin be so kind to the Grit chief?

Yorkton: NDP Deputy Premier Clay Serby has held this riding since 1991, but barely edged out the Saskatchewan Party in 1999. Yorkton is considered an urban riding, but its proximity to the country makes it vulnerable to agriculture-related issues, which are an achilles heel for the New Democrats. Saskatchewan Party candidate Randy Atkinson is expected to put up a tough fight, and could conceivably trounce Serby. The Liberal candidate is not expected to make a significant impact.

Regina-Qu’Appelle Valley: Controversial highways minister Mark Wartman faces an angry constituent base in this rural-urban split riding. Once the fiefdom of ex-Tory heavyweight Gary Lane, the NDP has held this seat since 1991, and will have an uphill battle to fend off civil servant Darlene Hincks. Wartman, who has a reputation for a fiery temper, will need all the vigour he can muster to keep his job.

Melville: Perhaps the most interesting race in Saskatchewan, given its colourful cast of characters. One of the few Liberals elected in 1999, incumbent Ron Osika quickly joined the coalition government with the NDP. A former Liberal Party leader and Reform Party nomination contender, Osika takes on Bob Bjornrud, who also hails from a Liberal past, having joined the Saskatchewan Party caucus in 1997. However, throw in Independent candidate Grant Schmidt, who wrested the Saskatchewan Party nomination from Bjornrud in March only to have the decision of the riding’s membership reversed a few weeks later, and the possibility of an electoral backlash is in the cards.

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